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T. MaCurdy, John Pencavel (1986)
Testing between Competing Models of Wage and Employment Determination in Unionized MarketsJournal of Political Economy, 94
Bruce Kaufman, J. Martínez-Vázquez (1987)
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Principles of econometrics
The authors of this paper use the median voter model to predict the patterns of rank-and-file voting on wage concessions in a multiplant setting, then test those predictions using data from the 1982 GM-UAW negotiations. The model predicts that workers in plants with large layoffs will vote in favor of a wage concession only if they believe that a concession will save their jobs. Surprisingly, workers in plants with growing or stable employment are also actually more likely to vote Yes. A third prediction is that the Yes vote will be smallest in plants with the most adversarial labor relations. The empirical analysis supports all three predictions.
ILR Review – SAGE
Published: Jan 1, 1988
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