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Original article 653 Trends and forecasts of hospital admissions for acute and chronic pancreatitis in the Netherlands a b Bernhard Werner Marcel Spanier , Marcel G.W. Dijkgraaf and Marco J. Bruno Background The incidence and prevalence of acute and regression model predicted 1868 (95% CI, 1619–2117) chronic pancreatitis have increased in Western countries. It and 3173 (95% CI, 2456–3890) admissions for 2007 and is likely, the number of hospital admissions has increased 2010, respectively, an additional increase of 77.2% in 2010 correspondingly. compared with 2004. Aims To analyze the trends in hospital admissions in the Conclusion Hospital admissions for acute and chronic Netherlands for acute and chronic pancreatitis from 1992 pancreatitis have increased substantially from 1992–2004. to 2004 and to forecast the number of admissions up to This trend will most likely continue for the near future 2010. and the burden and costs to the Dutch health care system will increase accordingly. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol Methods Analysis of hospital admissions for acute and 20:653–658 2008 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott chronic pancreatitis accumulated in a nationwide database. Williams & Wilkins. Curve fitting regression models were used to explore future trends. European Journal of Gastroenterology & Hepatology 2008, 20:653–658
European Journal of Gastroenterology & Hepatology – Wolters Kluwer Health
Published: Jul 1, 2008
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