A causal analysis of unemployment and vacancies in British regions 1969–1974Hyman, G.; Palmer, D.
doi: 10.1080/09595238000185331pmid: N/A
Hyman G. and Palmer D. (1980) A causal analysis of unemployment and vacancies in British regions, Reg. Studies 14, 353–365. This paper investigates the causal relationship between unemployment and vacancies for British regions using monthly time series data. Six hypotheses are examined using a model based on the theory of feedback between stationary stochastic processes. The results of the analysis are used to construct a typology of effects that synthesize the associations between the separate hypotheses at the regional level and also to construct a typology of the regions.
A regional analysis of double jobholding in the U.K., 1969–1975Alden, J.D.; Saha, S.K.
doi: 10.1080/09595238000185341pmid: N/A
Alden J. D. and Saha S. K. (1980) A regional analysis of double jobholding in the U.K., Reg. Studies 14, 367–379. Part-time working is a growing phenomenon in many countries of which the holding of a second job is a significant component. The article presents for the first time in this country a regional analysis of double jobholding in the U.K. based on time series data. The main purpose of this analysis is to examine the nature and extent of second jobs in recent years and its relationship with other labour force variables. The analysis of second jobs is made at both a national and regional level for the U.K. In particular the article examines the holding of two jobs with respect to levels of income, unemployment and industrial structure.
Future changes in the size and composition of the British labour force—A regional projection exerciseJoseph, George
doi: 10.1080/09595238000185351pmid: 12310868
Joseph G. (1980) Future changes in the size and composition of the British labour force—a regional projection exercise, Reg. Studies 14, 381–397. The main purpose of this study is to develop a methodology for generating parallel projections of regional population and labour force which not only incorporates expected age/sex/marital-status/regional differences in the economic activity rates but at the same time takes account of demographic factors such as fertility, mortality and interregional migration in the overall projections. To this end, a matrix model is developed in terms of a number of transitions between age, marital status and economic activity status, which together with survival, birth, migration probabilities provide projections of both population and labour force. This model is then adapted to take account of data constraints, and forecasts of the numbers in two “regions”, North West and Rest of Britain, are made disaggregated by age/sex/marital status and economic activity status for the years 1976 and 1981. A comparison of these forecasts with the OPCS forecasts for the 2 yr indicate that the projection method developed in this study could be a useful alternative method.
Locational disadvantage and the regional problem: Manufacturing industry in Scotland, 1961–1971Rich, D.C.
doi: 10.1080/09595238000185361pmid: N/A
Rich D. C. (1980) Locational disadvantage and the regional problem: manufacturing industry in Scotland, 1961–1971, Reg. Studies 14, 399–417. Geographical disparities in economic growth performance are largely attributable to the operation of locational processes: manufacturing enterprises tend to seek locations which maximize the intensity and minimize the costs of potential input and output links, subject to the need to avoid the diseconomies of excessive urbanization. Spatial patterns of manufacturing employment change in Scotland between 1961 and 1971 were consistent with this explanation, particularly in times and industries experiencing net employment growth. Pre-existing industrial structure was of little importance in explaining local growth performance and is a product of the long-term evolution of the locational preferences of manufacturing. Regional policy was successful in raising the aggregate level of manufacturing activity in Scotland but appears not to have been a major determinant of the geographical pattern of change within Scotland.
Regional problems are “balance-of-payments” problemsThirlwall, A.P.
doi: 10.1080/09595238000185371pmid: N/A
Thirlwall A. P. (1980) Regional problems are balance-of-payments problems, Reg. Studies 14, 419–425. A demand-oriented model of regional growth and unemployment is developed in which it is argued that regional problems of slow growth and high unemployment are, in essence, balance-of-payments problems stemming from a weak trading sector, working through the Harrod trade multiplier. The model contrasts with the supply orientated models of neoclassical theory with their stress on factor supplies and productivity growth, apparently exogenously given and independent of demand. The model is in the Keynesian spirit, with supply adjusting to demand through factor mobility and with exports as the major component of autonomous regional demand.