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Risk‐Based Decision Making for Terrorism Applications

Risk‐Based Decision Making for Terrorism Applications This article describes the anti‐terrorism risk‐based decision aid (ARDA), a risk‐based decision‐making approach for prioritizing anti‐terrorism measures. The ARDA model was developed as part of a larger effort to assess investments for protecting U.S. Navy assets at risk and determine whether the most effective anti‐terrorism alternatives are being used to reduce the risk to the facilities and war‐fighting assets. With ARDA and some support from subject matter experts, we examine thousands of scenarios composed of 15 attack modes against 160 facility types on two installations and hundreds of portfolios of 22 mitigation alternatives. ARDA uses multiattribute utility theory to solve some of the commonly identified challenges in security risk analysis. This article describes the process and documents lessons learned from applying the ARDA model for this application. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Risk Analysis Wiley

Risk‐Based Decision Making for Terrorism Applications

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References (28)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
© 2009 Society for Risk Analysis
ISSN
0272-4332
eISSN
1539-6924
DOI
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01196.x
pmid
19187486
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This article describes the anti‐terrorism risk‐based decision aid (ARDA), a risk‐based decision‐making approach for prioritizing anti‐terrorism measures. The ARDA model was developed as part of a larger effort to assess investments for protecting U.S. Navy assets at risk and determine whether the most effective anti‐terrorism alternatives are being used to reduce the risk to the facilities and war‐fighting assets. With ARDA and some support from subject matter experts, we examine thousands of scenarios composed of 15 attack modes against 160 facility types on two installations and hundreds of portfolios of 22 mitigation alternatives. ARDA uses multiattribute utility theory to solve some of the commonly identified challenges in security risk analysis. This article describes the process and documents lessons learned from applying the ARDA model for this application.

Journal

Risk AnalysisWiley

Published: Mar 1, 2009

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