Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
Paul Warwick (1992)
Economic Trends and Government Survival in West European Parliamentary DemocraciesAmerican Political Science Review, 86
M. Gasiorowski (1995)
Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change: An Event History AnalysisAmerican Political Science Review, 89
Léonard Wantchékon (2002)
Why do Resource Abundant Countries Have Authoritarian GovernmentsThe Journal of African Development, 5
(2000)
The Resource Curse: Are Civil Wars Driven by Rapacity or Paucity
N. Gleditsch, P. Wallensteen, M. Eriksson, M. Sollenberg, Håvard Strand (2002)
Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New DatasetJournal of Peace Research, 39
(2000)
Why Lagged Dependent Variables Can Suppress the Explanatory Power of Other Independent Variables
J. Herbst (2014)
States and Power in Africa: Comparative Lessons in Authority and ControlForeign Affairs, 80
E. Bellin (1994)
The politics of profit in Tunisia: Utility of the rentier paradigm?World Development, 22
P. Kivisto, D. Horowitz (1986)
Ethnic Groups in Conflict.International Migration Review, 21
(2001)
World Development Indicators
Arthur Banks (2006)
Cross-national time-series data archive
J. Hayden (1928)
Annual Meeting of the American Political Science AssociationAmerican Political Science Review, 22
T. Gurr (1994)
Peoples Against States: Ethnopolitical Conflict and the Changing World System1994 Presidential AddressInternational Studies Quarterly, 38
Michael Ross (1999)
The Political Economy of the Resource CurseWorld Politics, 51
(1996)
The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order
James Dunkerley (1997)
The political economy of democratic transitionsBulletin of Latin American Research
Nathaniel Beck, Jonathan Katz, Richard Tucker (1998)
Taking Time Seriously: Time-Series-Cross-Section Analysis with a Binary Dependent VariableAmerican Journal of Political Science, 42
(1987)
Depoliticisation of a Rentier State: the case of Pahlavi Iran
Gurr Gurr (1994)
Peoples Against States: Ethnopolitical Conflict and the Changing World SystemInternational Studies Quarterly, 38
P. Collier, Anke Hoeffler (1998)
On economic causes of civil war, 50
F. Gause (1998)
The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-StatesMiddle East Journal, 52
J. Fearon, D. Laitin (2003)
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil WarAmerican Political Science Review, 97
Håvard Hegre, T. Ellingsen, S. Gates, Petter Gleditsch (2001)
Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816–1992American Political Science Review, 95
E. Bellin (2004)
The Robustness of Authoritarianism in the Middle East: Exceptionalism in Comparative PerspectiveComparative politics, 36
S. Huntington (1969)
Political Order in Changing Societies
(2000)
Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800– 1999
Karen Remmer (1999)
Regime Sustainability in the Latin Caribbean, 1944-1994
Michael Ross (2001)
Does Oil Hinder Democracy?World Politics, 53
D. Vandewalle (1998)
Libya since Independence: Oil and State-building
Gwenn Okruhlik (1999)
Rentier Wealth, Unruly Law, and the Rise of Opposition: The Political Economy of Oil StatesComparative politics, 31
T. Skocpol (1982)
Rentier state and Shi'a Islam in the Iranian RevolutionTheory and Society, 11
K. Chaudhry (1997)
The Price of Wealth: Economies and Institutions in the Middle East
S. Huntington (1991)
The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century
T. Karl (1997)
The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-States Berkeley
Andrew Parasiliti (2003)
The Causes and Timing of Iraq's Wars: a Power Cycle AssessmentInternational Political Science Review, 24
Michael Herb (1999)
All in the Family: Absolutism, Revolution, and Democracy in the Middle Eastern Monarchies
Lee Onn (2003)
Timber Booms and Institutional Breakdown in Southeast Asia (review)ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 20
J. Crystal (1989)
Coalitions in Oil Monarchies: Kuwait and QatarComparative politics, 21
M. Lewis-Beck (1986)
Interrupted Time Series
(2001)
“ Ethnolinguistic Fractionalization ( ELF ) Indices , 1961 and 1985 . ” February 16
A. Gelb (1988)
Oil Windfalls: Blessing or Curse?
G. Davis (1995)
Learning to love the Dutch disease: Evidence from the mineral economiesWorld Development, 23
Léonard Wantchékon (1999)
Why do Resource Dependent Countries Have Authoritarian Governments ? ¤
Jacques Delacroix (1980)
The distributive state in the world systemStudies In Comparative International Development, 15
This article examines contrasting claims made by scholars of oil and politics that oil wealth either tends (1) to undermine regime durability or (2) to enhance it. Using cross‐sectional time‐series data from 107 developing states between 1960 and 1999, I test the effects of oil wealth on regime failure, political protests, and civil war. I find that oil wealth is robustly associated with increased regime durability, even when controlling for repression, and with lower likelihoods of civil war and antistate protest. I also find that neither the boom nor bust periods exerted any significant effect on regime durability in the states most dependent on exports, even while those states saw more protests during the bust. In short, oil wealth has generally increased the durability of regimes, and repression does not account for this effect. Future research focused on the origins of robust coalitions in oil‐rich states is most likely to provide fruitful explanations to this puzzle.
American Journal of Political Science – Wiley
Published: Apr 1, 2004
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.