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/lp/wiley/is-it-too-late-to-stabilise-the-global-climate-xAUV6k80Hp
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2013 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd and Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Inc.
- ISSN
- 1364-985X
- eISSN
- 1467-8489
- DOI
- 10.1111/j.1467-8489.2012.00617.x
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
Assessment of the feasibility of stabilising the global climate requires consideration of trajectories for emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This study presents a simple and robust analysis of feasible emissions trajectories. Consideration of feasible trajectories suggests that if the current pace of mitigation efforts is sustained, the likely outcome will be stabilisation at concentrations close to 500 parts per million. Such an outcome will imply a higher than 50 per cent probability of substantial damage from climate change and an enhanced risk of a catastrophic outcome.
Journal
The Australian Journal of Agricultural Resource Economics – Wiley
Published: Jan 1, 2013
Keywords: ; ;