Recent work has shown that several well‐known models in the system dynamics literature contain previously unsuspected regimes of deterministic chaos. Two of the most extensively analyzed are Sterman's model of the economic long wave and the production‐distribution model of the Beer Distribution Game. The significance of these theoretical developments hinges on whether the chaotic regimes lie in the realistic region of parameter space. There are also questions regarding the descriptive accuracy of models of human systems that exhibit chaos. Because of data limitations and the inability to conduct controlled experiments, empirical studies at the aggregate level are not likely to resolve these questions.
System Dynamics Review – Wiley
Published: Jan 1, 1988
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