Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
Loading next page...
/lp/university-of-california-press/the-effects-of-economic-growth-on-the-aid-conflict-nexus-y0dXytSVWF
References (113)
-
Kristopher Preacher, Derek Rucker, A. Hayes (2007)
Addressing Moderated Mediation Hypotheses: Theory, Methods, and PrescriptionsMultivariate Behavioral Research, 42
-
A. Maruta, Rajabrata Banerjee, Tony Cavoli (2020)
Foreign aid, institutional quality and economic growth: Evidence from the developing worldEconomic Modelling, 89
-
(2019)
Development Aid at a Glance: Statistics by Region -
Yunhee Choi (2022)
Foreign Aid and Donor’s Exports to the RecipientsKorea Observer, 53
-
P. Panday, Ishtiaq Jamil (2009)
Conflict in the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh: An Unimplemented Accord and Continued ViolenceAsian Survey, 49
-
Paul Collier (2007)
The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done about It
-
A. Alesina, N. Roubini, G. D. Cohen (1997)
Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy
-
J. Azam, V. Thelen (2010)
Foreign Aid Versus Military Intervention in the War on TerrorJournal of Conflict Resolution, 54
-
J. Edwards, L. Lambert (2007)
Methods for integrating moderation and mediation: a general analytical framework using moderated path analysis.Psychological methods, 12 1
-
John Bellows, E. Miguel (2006)
War and institutions : New evidence from sierra leoneThe American Economic Review, 96
-
E. Miguel, S. Satyanath, E. Sergenti (2004)
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables ApproachJournal of Political Economy, 112
-
L. Wagner (2014)
Identifying thresholds in aid effectivenessReview of World Economics, 150
-
Herschel Grossman (1992)
Foreign aid and insurrectionDefence and Peace Economics, 3
-
Richard Nielsen, Michael Findley, Z. Davis, T. Candland, D. Nielson (2011)
Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed Conflict Supporting Information Appendix -
J. Fearon, D. Laitin (2003)
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil WarAmerican Political Science Review, 97
-
Karen Ballentine, Jake Sherman (2003)
Beyond Greed and Grievance: The Political Economy of Armed Conflict
-
Gary M Jackson (2012)
Predicting Malicious Behavior: Tools and Techniques for Ensuring Global Security
-
J. Ree, Eleonora Nillesen (2009)
Aiding Violence or Peace? The Impact of Foreign Aid on the Risk of Civil Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaPhysica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications
-
Yunhee Choi (2023)
Foreign Aid, Winning Coalitions, and Economic GrowthAsian Survey
-
S. Destradi (2012)
India and Sri Lanka's Civil War: The Failure of Regional Conflict Management in South AsiaAsian Survey, 52
-
Joseph K. Young, Michael G. Findley (2011)
Promise and Pitfalls of Terrorism ResearchInternational Studies Review, 13
-
M. Nasir, F. Rehman, M. Orakzai (2012)
Exploring the nexus: Foreign aid, war on terror, and conflict in PakistanEconomic Modelling, 29
-
Samuel Malone (2011)
Sovereign Indebtedness, Default, and Gambling for Redemption, 63
-
Jean-Paul Azam, Alexandra Delacroix (2006)
Aid and the Delegated Fight against TerrorismReview of Development Economics, 10
-
Timur Dadabaev (2019)
Afghanistan in 2018: Shifts in Domestic, Regional, and Global DynamicsAsian Survey, 59
-
M. Gassebner, Simon Luechinger (2011)
Lock, stock, and barrel: a comprehensive assessment of the determinants of terrorPublic Choice, 149
-
Håvard Hegre, Nicholas Sambanis (2006)
Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War OnsetJournal of Conflict Resolution, 50
-
T. Gurr (1968)
A Causal Model of Civil Strife: A Comparative Analysis Using New IndicesAmerican Political Science Review, 62
-
Nernatullah Bizhan (2018)
State-Building in Afghanistan: Aid, Politics, and State CapacityAsian Survey, 58
-
(2023)
World Development Indicators
-
B. Mesquita, Alastair Smith (2010)
Leader Survival, Revolutions, and the Nature of Government FinanceAmerican Journal of Political Science, 54
-
N. Gleditsch, P. Wallensteen, M. Eriksson, M. Sollenberg, Håvard Strand (2002)
Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New DatasetJournal of Peace Research, 39
-
A. Licht (2010)
Coming into Money: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Leader SurvivalJournal of Conflict Resolution, 54
-
(2020)
Terrorism in Bangladesh: Understanding a Complex Phenomenon -
B. Savun, Daniel Tirone (2018)
Foreign Aid as a Counterterrorism ToolJournal of Conflict Resolution, 62
-
Paul Collier, Anke Hoeffler (2002)
AID, Policy and Peace: Reducing the risks of civil conflictDefence and Peace Economics, 13
-
Michael Kugelman (2018)
Pakistan in 2017: A Year of Domestic TurmoilAsian Survey, 58
-
J. Londregan, K. Poole (1996)
Does High Income Promote Democracy?World Politics, 49
-
B. Mesquita, Alastair Smith (2009)
A Political Economy of AidInternational Organization, 63
-
Steven F. Messner, Richard Rosenfeld, M. Dwayne Smith, Margaret A. Zahn (1999)
Homicide: A Sourcebook of Social Research
-
Adi Brender, Allan Drazen (2008)
How Do Budget Deficits and Economic Growth Affect Reelection Prospects? Evidence from a Large Panel of CountriesThe American Economic Review, 98
-
Faisal Ahmed (2012)
The Perils of Unearned Foreign Income: Aid, Remittances, and Government SurvivalAmerican Political Science Review, 106
-
(2004)
Reward, Punishment or Inducement? -
Omolola Oluwatoyin Adeola (2017)
Foreign Capital Flows and Economic Growth in Selected Sub-Saharan African Economies
-
Richard A. Nielsen, Michael G. Findley, Zachary S. Davis, Tara Candland, Daniel L. Nielson (2011)
Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed ConflictAmerican Journal of Political Science, 55
-
Craig Burnside, David Dollar (2000)
Aid, Policies, and GrowthAmerican Economic Review, 90
-
A. Hayes (2015)
An Index and Test of Linear Moderated MediationMultivariate Behavioral Research, 50
-
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, James D. Morrow, Randolph M. Siverson (2003)
The Logic of Political Survival
-
U. Heo (2010)
The Relationship between Defense Spending and Economic Growth in the United StatesPolitical Research Quarterly, 63
-
Sandra Destradi (2012)
India and Sri Lanka’s Civil WarAsian Survey, 52
-
(2017)
Civil War and the Current International System -
Burcu Savun, Daniel C. Tirone (2018)
Foreign Aid as a Counterterrorism Tool: More Liberty, Less Terror?Journal of Conflict Resolution, 62
-
K. Edwards, Timothy Konold (2020)
Moderated Mediation Analysis: A Review and Application to School Climate ResearchPractical Assessment, Research and Evaluation, 25
-
J. Azam (1995)
How to pay for the peace? A theoretical framework with references to African countriesPublic Choice, 83
-
C. Bodea, Ibrahim Elbadawi, C. Houle (2017)
Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants?International Interactions, 43
-
D. Gershenson, Herschel Grossman (2000)
Civil ConflictJournal of Conflict Resolution, 44
-
Demet Mousseau (2020)
Does Foreign Development Aid Trigger Ethnic War in Developing States?Armed Forces & Society, 47
-
R. Looney (2004)
Failed Economic Take-Offs and Terrorism in Pakistan: Conceptualizing a Proper Role for U.S. AssistanceAsian Survey, 44
-
A. Leigh (2004)
Does the World Economy Swing National Elections?ERN: Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking
-
L. Cederman, A. Wimmer, B. Min (2010)
Why Do Ethnic Groups Rebel?: New Data and AnalysisWorld Politics, 62
-
J. Azam, V. Thelen (2008)
The roles of foreign aid and education in the war on terrorPublic Choice, 135
-
Mohita Bhatia (2014)
“Dalits” in Jammu and Kashmir: Resistance and Collaboration in a Conflict SituationAsian Survey, 54
-
B. Savun, Daniel Tirone (2011)
Foreign Aid, Democratization, and Civil Conflict: How Does Democracy Aid Affect Civil Conflict?American Journal of Political Science, 55
-
Edward Sayre (2005)
Labor Market Conditions, Political Events, and Palestinian Suicide BombingsPeace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 15
-
Camilo Nieto-Matiz, Luis Schenoni (2017)
Backing Despots? Foreign Aid and the Survival of Autocratic RegimesDemocracy and Security, 16
-
M. Humphreys, J. Weinstein (2008)
Who Fights? The Determinants of Participation in Civil WarAmerican Journal of Political Science, 52
-
J. Cheibub, J. Gandhi, J. Vreeland (2010)
Democracy and dictatorship revisitedPublic Choice, 143
-
A. Hayes (2018)
Partial, conditional, and moderated moderated mediation: Quantification, inference, and interpretationCommunication Monographs, 85
-
D. Keen (2012)
Greed and grievance in civil warInternational Affairs, 88
-
M. Walton (2008)
Ethnicity, Conflict, and History in Burma: The Myths of PanglongAsian Survey, 48
-
Monty G. Marshall, Ted Robert Gurr (2020)
Data from Polity IV -
Timur Dadabaev (2019)
Afghanistan in 2018Asian Survey
-
James Piazza (2011)
Poverty, minority economic discrimination, and domestic terrorismJournal of Peace Research, 48
-
Xun Cao, Hugh Ward (2015)
Winning Coalition Size, State Capacity, and Time Horizons: An Application of Modified Selectorate Theory to Environmental Public Goods ProvisionInternational Studies Quarterly, 59
-
A. Alesina, Arnaud Devleeschauwer (2002)
Fractionalization * -
Mats R Berdal, David Malone (2000)
Greed & Grievance: Economic Agendas in Civil Wars
-
Roberto Ezcurra, D. Palacios (2016)
Terrorism and spatial disparities: Does interregional inequality matter?European Journal of Political Economy, 42
-
Robert Barro, Jong Wha Lee (2013)
A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950–2010Journal of Development Economics, 104
-
(1986)
Government Size and Economic Growth: A New Framework and Some Evidence from Cross-Section and Time-Series Data -
Jestin Wolfers (2002)
Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections -
Andrew F Hayes (2018)
Partial, Conditional, and Moderated Mediation: Quantification, Inference, and InterpretationCommunication Monographs, 85
-
P. Richards (2005)
To fight or to farm? Agrarian dimensions of the Mano River conflicts (Liberia and Sierra Leone)African Affairs, 104
-
R. Barro, Jong‐Wha Lee (2010)
A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010NBER Working Paper Series
-
T. Gurr, W. Moore (1997)
Ethnopolitical Rebellion: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the 1980s with Risk Assessments for the 1990sAmerican Journal of Political Science, 41
-
Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, T. Sandler, Javed Younas (2014)
Foreign direct investment, aid, and terrorism, 66
-
David Dollar, P. Collier (1999)
Aid Allocation and Poverty Reduction -
Sukhdev Shah (1988)
Nepal's Economic Development: Problems and ProspectsAsian Survey, 28
-
Paul Burke (2011)
Economic Growth and Political SurvivalThe B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 12
-
Joppe De Ree, Eleonora Nillesen (2009)
Aiding Violence or Peace? The Impact of Foreign Aid on the Risk of Civil Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaJournal of Development Economics, 88
-
J. Wolfers, Stanford Gsb, A. Alesina, James Alt, Olivier Blanchard, Robert Barro, Anne Case, A. Durell, Chris Foote, Edward Glaeser, Christopher Jencks, Larry Katz, Michael Knetter, D. Laibson, Jeffrey Liebman, Gregory Mankiw, Andrew Oswald, Sam Peltzman, Betsey Stevenson, James Williams
Research Paper Series Graduate School of Business Stanford University Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections -
Paul Collier, V. L. Elliott, Havard Hegre, Anke Hoeffler, Marta Reynal-Querol, Nicholas Sambanis (2003)
Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy
-
Dmitriy Gershenson, Herschel I. Grossman (2000)
Civil Conflict: Ended or Never Ending?Journal of Conflict Resolution, 44
-
Raul Caruso, F. Schneider (2013)
Brutality of Jihadist Terrorism. A contest theory perspective and empirical evidence in the period 2002-2010 -
(2020)
Freedom in the World
-
Moheddine Younsi, Hasna Khemili, Marwa Bechtini (2019)
Does foreign aid help alleviate income inequality? New evidence from African countriesInternational Journal of Social Economics
-
Ted Robert Gurr (2000)
Peoples versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century
-
A. Burnside, D. Dollar (1997)
Aid, Policies, and GrowthDevelopment Economics: Macroeconomic Issues in Developing Economies eJournal
-
Orlandrew Danzell, Emizet Kisangani, Jeffrey Pickering (2019)
Aid, Intervention, and Terror: The Impact of Foreign Aid and Foreign Military Intervention on Terror Events and Severity*Social Science Quarterly
-
U. Heo (1998)
Modeling the Defense-Growth Relationship around the GlobeJournal of Conflict Resolution, 42
-
N. Bizhan (2018)
State-Building in AfghanistanAsian Survey
-
Joseph Young, Michael Findley (2010)
Promise and Pitfalls of Terrorism ResearchConflict Studies eJournal
-
Masha Rahnama, Fadi Fawaz, Kaj Gittings (2017)
The effects of foreign aid on economic growth in developing countriesThe Journal of Developing Areas, 51
-
I. Soysa (2002)
Paradise is a Bazaar? Greed, Creed, and Governance in Civil War, 1989-99Journal of Peace Research, 39
-
(2002)
The Political Roots of Poverty: The Economic Logic of Autocracy -
Zeynep Taydas, Dursun Peksen (2012)
Can states buy peace? Social welfare spending and civil conflictsJournal of Peace Research, 49
-
J. Azam, Alexander Delacroix (2006)
Aid and the Delegated Fight Against TerrorismNew Institutional Economics eJournal
-
Yunhee Choi (2022)
Foreign Aid and Donor's Exports to the Recipients: The South Korean CaseKorea Observer - Institute of Korean Studies
-
H. Palmer, G. Whitten (1999)
The Electoral Impact of Unexpected Inflation and Economic GrowthBritish Journal of Political Science, 29
-
(2020)
Official Development Assistance: Net ODA -
Seung-Whan Choi, James Piazza (2016)
Internally Displaced Populations and Suicide TerrorismJournal of Conflict Resolution, 60
-
Robert Looney (2004)
Failed Econnomic Take-Offs and Terrorism in PakistanAsian Survey, 44
-
Mark McGillivray, Oliver Morrissey, T. Addison, A. Roe (2004)
Fiscal Policy for Development: Poverty, Reconstruction and Growth
-
R. Lucas (1988)
On the Mechanics of Economic Development
- Publisher
- University of California Press
- Copyright
- © 2024 by The Regents of the University of California
- ISSN
- 0004-4687
- eISSN
- 1533-838X
- DOI
- 10.1525/as.2024.2122898
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
Can foreign aid reduce violence in recipient countries? Empirical studies on the aid–conflict nexus have had mixed results. This paper argues that foreign aid can alleviate political violence in the recipient country, especially when it contributes to economic growth. To test this hypothesis, I collected data on aid-receiving countries in Asia from 1980 to 2010 and empirically examined the relationships among development aid, winning coalition size, economic growth, civil wars, and domestic terrorism using a moderated mediation model. I find that the impact of foreign aid on economic growth depends on the size of the winning coalition. Countries with larger winning coalitions tend to have faster economic growth. And consequently, these countries are less susceptible to civil wars and domestic terrorist attacks.
Journal
Asian Survey – University of California Press
Published: Aug 6, 2024
Keywords: Winning coalition; foreign aid; economic growth; political violence; moderated mediation