Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Start a 14-Day Trial for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

Why costs overrun: risk, optimism and uncertainty in budgeting for the London 2012 Olympic Games

Why costs overrun: risk, optimism and uncertainty in budgeting for the London 2012 Olympic Games The systematic under-estimation of costs in budgeting for large-scale projects raises the vexing question of why there are such incongruities between the projections made at initial stages and the eventual outturn cost. As a first step to understanding the sources of such budgeting overruns in the context of the Olympics, this research note outlines how the costs of the London 2012 Olympic Games were under-estimated in a series of budget forecasts, identifying sources of error and categorizing these according to the effects on budgeting of: (1) inattention to risk inside government; (2) biases in decision-making in the evaluation and use of information; and (3) uncertainty in project management and administration. These factors are accentuated through the planning and budgeting context, as estimates at different stages of the process serve alternative purposes and entail varying levels of knowledge and scrutiny. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Construction Management & Economics Taylor & Francis

Why costs overrun: risk, optimism and uncertainty in budgeting for the London 2012 Olympic Games

Construction Management & Economics , Volume 30 (6): 8 – Jun 1, 2012
8 pages

Loading next page...
 
/lp/taylor-francis/why-costs-overrun-risk-optimism-and-uncertainty-in-budgeting-for-the-kofwdiOuk1

References (31)

Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
Copyright Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
ISSN
1466-433X
eISSN
0144-6193
DOI
10.1080/01446193.2012.668200
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The systematic under-estimation of costs in budgeting for large-scale projects raises the vexing question of why there are such incongruities between the projections made at initial stages and the eventual outturn cost. As a first step to understanding the sources of such budgeting overruns in the context of the Olympics, this research note outlines how the costs of the London 2012 Olympic Games were under-estimated in a series of budget forecasts, identifying sources of error and categorizing these according to the effects on budgeting of: (1) inattention to risk inside government; (2) biases in decision-making in the evaluation and use of information; and (3) uncertainty in project management and administration. These factors are accentuated through the planning and budgeting context, as estimates at different stages of the process serve alternative purposes and entail varying levels of knowledge and scrutiny.

Journal

Construction Management & EconomicsTaylor & Francis

Published: Jun 1, 2012

Keywords: Cost overruns; mega-events; Olympics; optimism bias; risk

There are no references for this article.