Environ Dev Sustain https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0193-0 REVIEW Understanding the divergences between farmer’s perception and meteorological records regarding climate change: a review 1 1 1 Cristian Rogério Foguesatto · Felipe Dalzotto Artuzo · Edson Talamini · João Armando Dessimon Machado Received: 9 January 2018 / Accepted: 4 June 2018 © Springer Nature B.V. 2018 Abstract How farmers perceive climate change is linked to whether they are responding and adapting to it. However, often this perception does not correspond with what actu- ally happens. Based on a search of empirical studies carried out in Africa and Asia, this paper analyzes two factors that can influence farmers’ perception regarding climate change: expected utility maximization and availability heuristic. While expected utility maximi- zation refers to an expected change in farmers’ well-being, the availability heuristic is a mental shortcut based on the memory of occurrence of events. Generally, empirical stud- ies show that farmers’ perceptions are aligning with meteorological records regarding an increase in temperature. However, while there are no significant variations in rainfall trends, farmers perceive a reduction in rainfall in the last few years. The recent increase in drought frequency and severity may cause this divergence, because it affects farmers’ well- being, and extreme droughts have a central position in peoples’ memory. In this context, our findings
"Environment, Development and Sustainability" – Springer Journals
Published: Jun 6, 2018
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