Uncertainty and forecasting local health professional shortages

Uncertainty and forecasting local health professional shortages We used a utilization-based scenario-forecasting model toassess the evidence for current and future imbalances between health professional supply and demand in Memphis-Shelby County, Tennessee. The scenario-forecasting model, based on qualitativeinformation collected from local health industry leaders, was shaped and limited by the types of current local area data available. This paper discusses methods that may prove useful to applied demographers making forecasts, given uncertain system change and poor data. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Population Research and Policy Review Springer Journals

Uncertainty and forecasting local health professional shortages

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Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © 2000 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Geography; Demography; Economic Policy; Population Economics
ISSN
0167-5923
eISSN
1573-7829
D.O.I.
10.1023/A:1010700930344
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

We used a utilization-based scenario-forecasting model toassess the evidence for current and future imbalances between health professional supply and demand in Memphis-Shelby County, Tennessee. The scenario-forecasting model, based on qualitativeinformation collected from local health industry leaders, was shaped and limited by the types of current local area data available. This paper discusses methods that may prove useful to applied demographers making forecasts, given uncertain system change and poor data.

Journal

Population Research and Policy ReviewSpringer Journals

Published: Oct 16, 2004

References

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