The Transitory Nature of Negative Earnings and the Implications for Earnings Prediction and Stock Valuation

The Transitory Nature of Negative Earnings and the Implications for Earnings Prediction and Stock... The value-irrelevance of losses largely results from the transitory nature of losses and the diminished relationship between current and future earnings. This study develops a sales-based model of future normal earnings that is useful in analyzing future earnings prospects of loss firms. Results indicate that the developed model is associated with future earnings realizations and current stock price and is shown to be incrementally value-relevant (with book value) in price regressions for loss firms. Investigation of the relative valuation role of the prediction model provides evidence that the model is associated with equity value for loss firms expected to survive. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Springer Journals

The Transitory Nature of Negative Earnings and the Implications for Earnings Prediction and Stock Valuation

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2003 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Finance; Corporate Finance; Accounting/Auditing; Econometrics; Operation Research/Decision Theory
ISSN
0924-865X
eISSN
1573-7179
D.O.I.
10.1023/B:REQU.0000004784.30694.0c
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The value-irrelevance of losses largely results from the transitory nature of losses and the diminished relationship between current and future earnings. This study develops a sales-based model of future normal earnings that is useful in analyzing future earnings prospects of loss firms. Results indicate that the developed model is associated with future earnings realizations and current stock price and is shown to be incrementally value-relevant (with book value) in price regressions for loss firms. Investigation of the relative valuation role of the prediction model provides evidence that the model is associated with equity value for loss firms expected to survive.

Journal

Review of Quantitative Finance and AccountingSpringer Journals

Published: Oct 4, 2004

References

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