The explanatory power of representative agent earnings momentum models

The explanatory power of representative agent earnings momentum models This paper examines the predictive performance of two representative agent models of earnings momentum using the US S & P 500 sample frame in the years 1991–2006. For successive sequences of quarterly earnings outcomes over a three year horizon of quarterly increases/decreases, etc., we ask whether these models can capture the likelihood of reversion and, secondly, the stock market response to observed quarterly earnings change sequences for our chosen sample. We find evidence of a far greater frequency of persistent quarterly earnings rises and hence a more muted reaction to their occurrence. Persistent losses are both far less common and more salient in their impact on stock prices. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Springer Journals

The explanatory power of representative agent earnings momentum models

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Springer US
Copyright © 2013 by Springer Science+Business Media New York
Economics / Management Science; Finance/Investment/Banking; Accounting/Auditing; Econometrics; Operations Research/Decision Theory
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