Stability of the Interpretative Risk Percentages for the RRASOR and Static-99

Stability of the Interpretative Risk Percentages for the RRASOR and Static-99 Current procedures to estimate sex offender recidivism risk typically involve actuarial instruments, either alone or in combination with adjustments based on other considerations. Two of the most commonly employed actuarial instruments for the assessment of sexual recidivism risk are the Rapid Risk Assessment for Sex Offender Recidivism (RRASOR; R. K. Hanson, 1997) and the Static-99 (R. K. Hanson & D. Thornton, 2000). Although multiple studies of the interrater reliability and predictive validity of these instruments have been completed, with very supportive results, there have to date not been any studies of the degree to which the specific risk percentages attached to each instrument's score replicate and remain stable despite changes in underlying samples' recidivism base rates. This study, using data from multiple sources, investigated this issue. The findings indicated that the 5-year risk percentages for the RRASOR were replicated and were remarkably stable despite changes in the sample's underlying recidivism base rate. The Static-99 5-year risk percentages were mostly replicated and were stable across varying base rates, but to a lesser degree than was found for the RRASOR. Implications of these results are discussed. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment Springer Journals

Stability of the Interpretative Risk Percentages for the RRASOR and Static-99

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2004 by Plenum Publishing Corporation
Subject
Psychology; Sexual Behavior; Psychiatry; Clinical Psychology; Criminology and Criminal Justice, general
ISSN
1079-0632
eISSN
1573-286X
D.O.I.
10.1023/B:SEBU.0000006282.36584.a0
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Current procedures to estimate sex offender recidivism risk typically involve actuarial instruments, either alone or in combination with adjustments based on other considerations. Two of the most commonly employed actuarial instruments for the assessment of sexual recidivism risk are the Rapid Risk Assessment for Sex Offender Recidivism (RRASOR; R. K. Hanson, 1997) and the Static-99 (R. K. Hanson & D. Thornton, 2000). Although multiple studies of the interrater reliability and predictive validity of these instruments have been completed, with very supportive results, there have to date not been any studies of the degree to which the specific risk percentages attached to each instrument's score replicate and remain stable despite changes in underlying samples' recidivism base rates. This study, using data from multiple sources, investigated this issue. The findings indicated that the 5-year risk percentages for the RRASOR were replicated and were remarkably stable despite changes in the sample's underlying recidivism base rate. The Static-99 5-year risk percentages were mostly replicated and were stable across varying base rates, but to a lesser degree than was found for the RRASOR. Implications of these results are discussed.

Journal

Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and TreatmentSpringer Journals

Published: Sep 30, 2004

References

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