We propose a procedure for the construction of prognostic models of ecological economical systems based on the combination of dynamical models of natural environments with conceptual models of natural economical complexes. This procedure enables one to study space and time distributions of ecological and economical parameters parallel with the fields of physical, chemical, biological, and other characteristics of the natural environment. With the help of a conceptual model of the “sea-land” natural economical complex in the Sea of Azov used asan example, we show that it is possible to relate the dynamics of the concentrations of pollutants and biological resources of the sea with the economical profitability of fishery and the rates of ecological fines controlling the costs of production.
Physical Oceanography – Springer Journals
Published: Sep 27, 2006
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