Single Multiplicative Neuron Model Artificial Neural Network with Autoregressive Coefficient for Time Series Modelling

Single Multiplicative Neuron Model Artificial Neural Network with Autoregressive Coefficient for... Single multiplicative neuron model and multilayer perceptron have been commonly used for time series prediction problem. Having a simple structure and features of easily applicable differentiates the single multiplicative neuron model from the multilayer perception. While, multilayer perceptron just as many other artificial neural networks are data-based methods, single multiplicative neuron model has a model structure due to it is composed of a single neuron. Multilayer perceptron can highly compliance with data by changing its architecture, though single multiplicative neuron model, in this respect, is insufficient. In this study, to overcome this problem of single multiplicative neuron model, a new model that its weights and biases are obtained by way of autoregressive equations is proposed. Since the time indexes are considered to determine weights and biases from the autoregressive models, the proposed neural network can be evaluated as a data-based model. To show the performance and capability of the proposed method, various implementations have been executed over some well-known data sets. And the obtained results demonstrate that data-based proposed method has outstanding forecasting performance. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Neural Processing Letters Springer Journals

Single Multiplicative Neuron Model Artificial Neural Network with Autoregressive Coefficient for Time Series Modelling

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 by Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
Subject
Computer Science; Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics); Complex Systems; Computational Intelligence
ISSN
1370-4621
eISSN
1573-773X
D.O.I.
10.1007/s11063-017-9686-3
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Single multiplicative neuron model and multilayer perceptron have been commonly used for time series prediction problem. Having a simple structure and features of easily applicable differentiates the single multiplicative neuron model from the multilayer perception. While, multilayer perceptron just as many other artificial neural networks are data-based methods, single multiplicative neuron model has a model structure due to it is composed of a single neuron. Multilayer perceptron can highly compliance with data by changing its architecture, though single multiplicative neuron model, in this respect, is insufficient. In this study, to overcome this problem of single multiplicative neuron model, a new model that its weights and biases are obtained by way of autoregressive equations is proposed. Since the time indexes are considered to determine weights and biases from the autoregressive models, the proposed neural network can be evaluated as a data-based model. To show the performance and capability of the proposed method, various implementations have been executed over some well-known data sets. And the obtained results demonstrate that data-based proposed method has outstanding forecasting performance.

Journal

Neural Processing LettersSpringer Journals

Published: Aug 16, 2017

References

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