Seismic hazard and probability assessment of Kashmir valley, northwest Himalaya, India

Seismic hazard and probability assessment of Kashmir valley, northwest Himalaya, India Nat Hazards https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3362-4 ORI G IN AL PA PER Seismic hazard and probability assessment of Kashmir valley, northwest Himalaya, India 1 1 1 • • • Rakesh Chandra Javid Ahmad Dar Shakil Ahmad Romshoo 1 2 1 • • • Irfan Rashid Imtiyaz A. Parvez Sareer Ahmad Mir Midhat Fayaz Received: 7 August 2017 / Accepted: 19 May 2018 Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature 2018 Abstract Seismic hazard analysis of the northwest Himalayan belt was carried out by using extreme value theory (EVT). The rate of seismicity (a value) and recurrence intervals with the given earthquake magnitude (b value) was calculated from the observed data using Gutenberg–Richter Law. The statistical evaluation of 12,125 events from 1902 to 2017 shows the increasing trend in their inter-arrival times. The frequency–magnitude relation exhibits a linear downslope trend with negative slope of 0.8277 and positive intercept of 4.6977. The empirical results showed that the annual risk probability of high magnitude earthquake M C 7.7 in 50 years is 88% with recurrence period of 47 years, probability of M B 7.5 in 50 years is 97% with recurrence period of 27 years, and probability of M B 6.5 in 50 years http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Natural Hazards Springer Journals

Seismic hazard and probability assessment of Kashmir valley, northwest Himalaya, India

Loading next page...
 
/lp/springer_journal/seismic-hazard-and-probability-assessment-of-kashmir-valley-northwest-QFVpDoZa94
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright
Copyright © 2018 by Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature
Subject
Earth Sciences; Natural Hazards; Hydrogeology; Geophysics/Geodesy; Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences; Civil Engineering; Environmental Management
ISSN
0921-030X
eISSN
1573-0840
D.O.I.
10.1007/s11069-018-3362-4
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Nat Hazards https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3362-4 ORI G IN AL PA PER Seismic hazard and probability assessment of Kashmir valley, northwest Himalaya, India 1 1 1 • • • Rakesh Chandra Javid Ahmad Dar Shakil Ahmad Romshoo 1 2 1 • • • Irfan Rashid Imtiyaz A. Parvez Sareer Ahmad Mir Midhat Fayaz Received: 7 August 2017 / Accepted: 19 May 2018 Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature 2018 Abstract Seismic hazard analysis of the northwest Himalayan belt was carried out by using extreme value theory (EVT). The rate of seismicity (a value) and recurrence intervals with the given earthquake magnitude (b value) was calculated from the observed data using Gutenberg–Richter Law. The statistical evaluation of 12,125 events from 1902 to 2017 shows the increasing trend in their inter-arrival times. The frequency–magnitude relation exhibits a linear downslope trend with negative slope of 0.8277 and positive intercept of 4.6977. The empirical results showed that the annual risk probability of high magnitude earthquake M C 7.7 in 50 years is 88% with recurrence period of 47 years, probability of M B 7.5 in 50 years is 97% with recurrence period of 27 years, and probability of M B 6.5 in 50 years

Journal

Natural HazardsSpringer Journals

Published: May 28, 2018

References

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 18 million articles from more than
15,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Search

Query the DeepDyve database, plus search all of PubMed and Google Scholar seamlessly

Organize

Save any article or search result from DeepDyve, PubMed, and Google Scholar... all in one place.

Access

Get unlimited, online access to over 18 million full-text articles from more than 15,000 scientific journals.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

DeepDyve

Freelancer

DeepDyve

Pro

Price

FREE

$49/month
$360/year

Save searches from
Google Scholar,
PubMed

Create lists to
organize your research

Export lists, citations

Read DeepDyve articles

Abstract access only

Unlimited access to over
18 million full-text articles

Print

20 pages / month

PDF Discount

20% off