Relationship Between Expected Treasury Bill and Eurodollar Interest Rates: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis

Relationship Between Expected Treasury Bill and Eurodollar Interest Rates: A Fractional... In this paper, we extend Booth and Tse's (BT)1995 analysis of fractional cointegration between theexpected Eurodollar and Treasury bill interest ratesimplied by their respective futures contracts. Thedefinition of fractional cointegration suggested byCheung and Lai (1993) and used by BT is refined sothat it requires the cointegrating relationship to bestationary as well as mean-reverting. In addition tothe Geweke and Porter-Hudak method used by BT, a moreefficient Maximum Likelihood (ML) method is used toestimate the cointegrating relationship. The LM (Engle(1982)) test indicates the possible existence of aheteroscedastic cointegrating relationship. Therefore,we use heteroscedastic models (GARCH and ExponentialGARCH) to represent the cointegrating regressioninstead of the simple homoscedastic model used by BT.The empirical evidence cannot reject the nullhypothesis of a stationary fractional cointegrationrelationship between the Eurodollar and Treasury billinterest rates. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Springer Journals

Relationship Between Expected Treasury Bill and Eurodollar Interest Rates: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis

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Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Finance; Corporate Finance; Accounting/Auditing; Econometrics; Operation Research/Decision Theory
ISSN
0924-865X
eISSN
1573-7179
D.O.I.
10.1023/A:1008340408261
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

In this paper, we extend Booth and Tse's (BT)1995 analysis of fractional cointegration between theexpected Eurodollar and Treasury bill interest ratesimplied by their respective futures contracts. Thedefinition of fractional cointegration suggested byCheung and Lai (1993) and used by BT is refined sothat it requires the cointegrating relationship to bestationary as well as mean-reverting. In addition tothe Geweke and Porter-Hudak method used by BT, a moreefficient Maximum Likelihood (ML) method is used toestimate the cointegrating relationship. The LM (Engle(1982)) test indicates the possible existence of aheteroscedastic cointegrating relationship. Therefore,we use heteroscedastic models (GARCH and ExponentialGARCH) to represent the cointegrating regressioninstead of the simple homoscedastic model used by BT.The empirical evidence cannot reject the nullhypothesis of a stationary fractional cointegrationrelationship between the Eurodollar and Treasury billinterest rates.

Journal

Review of Quantitative Finance and AccountingSpringer Journals

Published: Oct 3, 2004

References

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