Price discovery in stock index: an ARDL-ECM approach in Taiwan case

Price discovery in stock index: an ARDL-ECM approach in Taiwan case In this study, we examine the lead-lag effect between stock index futures and its spot markets in Taiwan by employing a newly developed econometrics method, ARDL-ECM approach. The advantage of applying such technique is to avoid earlier ambiguous causality testing procedure, and it can provide more clearly representation of a stable unidirectional price discovery process. By verifying intraday data, we find that the futures prices lead spot markets for about 30 min during the year 2004. Moreover, during the presidential election period which caused political turbulent in Taiwan, the function of future market supposed as the dominated role of price discovery becomes futility. Such findings are consistent with the ‘surprising election outcomes’ phenomenon. Quality & Quantity Springer Journals

Price discovery in stock index: an ARDL-ECM approach in Taiwan case

Loading next page...
Springer Netherlands
Copyright © 2011 by Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
Social Sciences; Methodology of the Social Sciences; Social Sciences, general
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site


You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.

DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Unlimited reading

Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.

Stay up to date

Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.

Organize your research

It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

Monthly Plan

  • Read unlimited articles
  • Personalized recommendations
  • No expiration
  • Print 20 pages per month
  • 20% off on PDF purchases
  • Organize your research
  • Get updates on your journals and topic searches


Start Free Trial

14-day Free Trial

Best Deal — 39% off

Annual Plan

  • All the features of the Professional Plan, but for 39% off!
  • Billed annually
  • No expiration
  • For the normal price of 10 articles elsewhere, you get one full year of unlimited access to articles.



billed annually
Start Free Trial

14-day Free Trial