Optimized cropping patterns under climate-change conditions

Optimized cropping patterns under climate-change conditions A mathematical model is developed in this study with the goal of maximizing agricultural benefits in the Aidoghmush river basin, Iran. The results show that the cultivated area of various crops and their agricultural benefits would be increased over the planning horizon with proper management and modification of cropping patterns despite the decline in streamflow and increasing water demand under climate-change conditions. Therefore, considering the optimal cropping pattern increases agricultural benefits by 14 and 17% under baseline climatic and climate-change conditions, respectively, compared to present conditions. This paper’s results indicate that areas cultivated with various crops would increase under climate-change conditions compared to baseline climatic conditions, except for alfalfa. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Climatic Change Springer Journals

Optimized cropping patterns under climate-change conditions

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Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 by Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
Subject
Earth Sciences; Atmospheric Sciences; Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
ISSN
0165-0009
eISSN
1573-1480
D.O.I.
10.1007/s10584-017-1998-9
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

A mathematical model is developed in this study with the goal of maximizing agricultural benefits in the Aidoghmush river basin, Iran. The results show that the cultivated area of various crops and their agricultural benefits would be increased over the planning horizon with proper management and modification of cropping patterns despite the decline in streamflow and increasing water demand under climate-change conditions. Therefore, considering the optimal cropping pattern increases agricultural benefits by 14 and 17% under baseline climatic and climate-change conditions, respectively, compared to present conditions. This paper’s results indicate that areas cultivated with various crops would increase under climate-change conditions compared to baseline climatic conditions, except for alfalfa.

Journal

Climatic ChangeSpringer Journals

Published: Jun 12, 2017

References

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