The constraints of demographic trends, particularly population growth rates, on participation in the Kyoto Protocol have not been taken into account by previous researchers. Here I assess the effect of projected population growth on (1) the degree of restrictions in carbon dioxide emissions nations negotiated during the development of the Protocol, and (2) whether or not nations ultimately ratified the Protocol. The results indicate that nations with higher expected population growth rates negotiated higher carbon targets than other nations and were ultimately less likely to ratify the Protocol.
Population Research and Policy Review – Springer Journals
Published: Jul 25, 2005
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