Investor sentiment and interest rate volatility smile: evidence from Eurodollar options markets

Investor sentiment and interest rate volatility smile: evidence from Eurodollar options markets This paper studies the extent to which investor sentiment affects the Eurodollar option smile and finds that there is the dynamic interplay between sentiment-driven investors and arbitrageurs. The results reveal a significant relation between investor sentiment and interest rate volatility smile. The significant relations are stronger for put options, for short-maturity options, and for periods with higher uncertainty. The results are robust when considering controlling variables, net buying pressure, different interest rate option models, model-free method, or excluding rational components from the sentiment measures. Our findings favor the limits to arbitrage hypothesis against the positive feedback hypothesis, suggesting that the sentiment effect is transitory. Change in investor sentiment explains the time-varying smile that can be explained neither by rational interest rate models nor by net buying pressure. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Springer Journals

Investor sentiment and interest rate volatility smile: evidence from Eurodollar options markets

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Springer US
Copyright © 2013 by Springer Science+Business Media New York
Economics / Management Science; Finance/Investment/Banking; Accounting/Auditing; Econometrics; Operations Research/Decision Theory
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