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Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral insulin clearance characterize abnormal temporal patterns of serum insulin in diabetic subjects

Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral insulin clearance characterize abnormal temporal... www.nature.com/npjsba ARTICLE OPEN Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral insulin clearance characterize abnormal temporal patterns of serum insulin in diabetic subjects 1 1,2 3 3 4 4 4 Kaoru Ohashi , Masashi Fujii , Shinsuke Uda , Hiroyuki Kubota , Hisako Komada , Kazuhiko Sakaguchi , Wataru Ogawa and 1,2,5 Shinya Kuroda Insulin plays a central role in glucose homeostasis, and impairment of insulin action causes glucose intolerance and leads to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). A decrease in the transient peak and sustained increase of circulating insulin following an infusion of glucose accompany T2DM pathogenesis. However, the mechanism underlying this abnormal temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration remains unknown. Here we show that changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance characterize this abnormal temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration observed in T2DM. We developed a mathematical model using a hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp in 111 subjects, including healthy normoglycemic and diabetic subjects. The hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance significantly increase and decrease, respectively, from healthy to borderline type and T2DM. The increased hepatic insulin clearance reduces the amplitude of circulating insulin concentration, whereas the decreased peripheral insulin clearance changes the temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration from transient to sustained. These results provide further insight into the pathogenesis of T2DM, and thus may contribute to develop better treatment of this condition. npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 4:14 ; doi:10.1038/s41540-018-0051-6 INTRODUCTION circulating insulin concentration transiently increases during the first 10 min and then continuously increases during the following Insulin is the major anabolic hormone regulating the glucose 120 min, which are known as the first and second phase of insulin homeostasis. The impaired action of insulin is a characteristic of 1 12 secretion, respectively. type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), accompanied by abnormality in 2–4 These temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration the temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration. The differ between normal glucose tolerance (NGT), borderline type, circulating insulin concentration changes over the course of 24 h, including a persistently low level during fasting and a surge in and T2DM. Based on an OGTT, a subject with FPG <110 mg/dL response to food ingestion, consisting of basal and additional (6.1 mM) and 2-h PG <140 mg/dL (7.8 mM) is categorized as NGT. 5,6 secretions from the pancreas, respectively. A subject with FPG of 110–125 mg/dL (6.1–6.9 mM) or 2-h PG of Ability of additional insulin secretion is assessed by the oral 140–199 mg/dL (7.8–11.0 mM) is categorized as borderline type, glucose tolerance test (OGTT), in which a subject’s ability to and those with FPG ≥126 mg/dL (7.0 mM) or 2-h PG ≥200 mg/dL tolerate the glucose load (glucose tolerance) is evaluated by (11.1 mM) as T2DM. In general, plasma insulin concentration measuring the circulating glucose concentration after an over- during the late-phase secretion of an OGTT in borderline type night fast (fasting plasma glucose concentration; FPG) and again subjects is higher than in NGT subjects, whereas the concentration 2 h after a 75-g oral glucose load (2-h post-load glucose during the early-phase secretion is similar in NGT and borderline concentration; 2-h PG). During this test, the circulating insulin 9,10 type subjects. Plasma insulin concentration during the first- concentration transiently increases and then continuously phase secretion of an IVGTT decreases as glucose intolerance increases or decreases, known as the early and late phases of 9,10 progresses, whereas that during the second-phase secretion is insulin secretion, respectively. The direct contribution of 2–4 relatively maintained. Such changes of the temporal patterns of circulating glucose concentration to circulating insulin concentra- circulating insulin concentration during the progression of glucose tion is assessed by the use of an intravenous glucose tolerance intolerance from NGT to T2DM suggest that these temporal test (IVGTT). This test excludes the effects of intestinal patterns are involved in the maintenance and impairment of absorption of glucose and incretins secretion that trigger insulin glucose homeostasis. Together with the measurement of circulat- secretion, thus permitting quantitative estimates of the ability of circulating glucose to initiate insulin secretion. During this test, the ing glucose concentration, the time course of circulating insulin 1 2 Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan; Molecular Genetics Research Laboratory, Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan; Division of Integrated Omics, Research Center for Transomics Medicine, Medical Institute of Bioregulation, Kyushu University, 3-1-1 Maidashi, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka, Fukuoka 812-8582, Japan; Division of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, 7-5-1 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe, Hyogo 650-0017, Japan and CREST, Japan Science and Technology Corporation, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan Correspondence: Shinya Kuroda (skuroda@bs.s.u-tokyo.ac.jp) Received: 23 May 2017 Revised: 12 February 2018 Accepted: 12 February 2018 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. 26–28 concentration is used to assess the insulin secretion from the concentration by accounting for this mutual dependence. The pancreas and insulin sensitivity. model known as the minimal model is used to estimate insulin However, it is difficult to assess the insulin secretion and sensitivity and insulin secretion abilities for each individual based sensitivity of body tissues directly from the circulating insulin on the time courses of circulating glucose and insulin concentra- concentration because of the negative feedback between tions during IVGTT. Furthermore, from the parameters of the circulating insulin and glucose. A rise in circulating glucose model, Bergman et al. identified a relationship between the concentration stimulates insulin secretion, and the resultant rise in subject’s glucose intolerance and the product of insulin secretion circulating insulin concentration stimulates glucose uptake, and sensitivity. causing circulating glucose concentration to fall. This feedback We previously developed a mathematical model based on time means there is mutual dependence between glucose and insulin, courses of plasma glucose and serum insulin during consecutive making it difficult to distinguish the effect of insulin secretion and hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp condi- sensitivity directly from the circulating insulin concentration. tions, and estimated the parameters of insulin secretion, To directly assess insulin secretion without the effect of the sensitivity, and peripheral insulin clearance for each subject. We feedback from insulin to glucose, DeFronzo et al. developed the found that peripheral insulin clearance significantly decreased hyperglycemic clamp technique, in which insulin secretion is from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. However, the hepatic and measured while circulating glucose concentration is at a fixed peripheral insulin clearance could not be distinguished because C- hyperglycemic plateau maintained by exogenous continuous peptide was not incorporated in the model. glucose infusion. The measurements of circulating insulin Hepatic insulin clearance is calculated as the difference concentration during the first 10 min and after 10 min are used between pre-hepatic and post-hepatic insulin concentrations to assess the insulin secretion ability and are known as the first- assessed by comparing circulating C-peptide and insulin concen- 13,14 and second-phase insulin secretions, respectively. trations, because C-peptide, unlike insulin, is not removed by the Conversely, to directly assess insulin sensitivity without the liver. Since the circulating C-peptide concentration is also effect of the feedback from glucose to insulin, the controlled by its secretion and clearance, a mathematical model hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was developed. In this for C-peptide kinetics was developed. The models for circulating method, circulating insulin concentration is maintained at a fixed insulin and C-peptide have been used to estimate the secretion hyperinsulinemic plateau and circulating glucose at a fixed normal and kinetics of insulin and C-peptide, as well as hepatic insulin 32–39 plateau by continuous infusion of both insulin and glucose. Tissue clearance. However, peripheral insulin clearance was not insulin sensitivity is defined as the ratio of the glucose infusion assessed in the models, because exogenous insulin infusion, rate to the circulating insulin concentration when they reach which is required for accurate estimation of peripheral insulin 13,14 plateaus. clearance, was not performed. The body controls the circulating insulin concentration by 40 Recently, Polidori et al. reported that both hepatic and balancing insulin secretion and insulin clearance. The major extrahepatic insulin clearance, corresponding to peripheral insulin organs responsible for insulin clearance are the liver, which clearance, can be estimated by modeling analysis using plasma 15,16 removes portal insulin during first-pass transit, and insulin- insulin and C-peptide concentrations obtained from the insulin- sensitive tissues such as muscle, which remove insulin from the modified frequently sampled IVGTT. The parameters of hepatic systemic circulation. The insulin clearance from portal vein in the and peripheral insulin clearance in the model were not highly liver and from peripheral plasma in other organs is called hepatic correlated, suggesting that the two types of insulin clearance are and peripheral insulin clearance, respectively. Although the regulated differently. In addition, hepatic insulin clearance was relationship between changes of insulin clearance and the negatively correlated with insulin secretion, and peripheral insulin progression of glucose intolerance have been reported, the clearance was positively correlated with insulin sensitivity. effects of insulin clearance are controversial. Some studies found However, hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance in T2DM that during the progression of glucose intolerance, insulin 18–21 subjects and the roles of both types of clearance in the changes clearance decreased, whereas hepatic insulin clearance 22 18,23 in temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration during the increased or decreased. Thus, the hepatic and peripheral progression of glucose intolerance have yet to be examined. insulin clearances were not explicitly distinguished, making it In this study, we developed a mathematical model based on the difficult to interpret the effect of both types. time course of the serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations Hepatic insulin clearance cannot be assessed directly from during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- circulating insulin concentration because insulin is extracted from euglycemic clamp conditions, and estimated the hepatic and the liver before secreted insulin is delivered into the systemic peripheral insulin clearance for each subject. The parameters from circulation. However, insulin is secreted at an equimolar ratio with 111 subjects (47 NGT, 17 borderline type, and 47 T2DM) showed a C-peptide, a peptide cleaved from proinsulin to produce insulin, significant increase in hepatic insulin clearance and significant which is not extracted in the liver. Thus, by measuring circulating decrease in peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to borderline C-peptide concentration simultaneously with circulating insulin type and T2DM, respectively. We also found that hepatic and concentration, the pre-hepatic insulin concentration can be peripheral insulin clearance play distinct roles in the abnormal accurately assessed. The C-peptide index, which is the ratio of temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration from NGT to circulating glucose to C-peptide concentration, is an index of borderline type and T2DM, namely an increase in hepatic insulin insulin secretion with clinical utility. Hepatic insulin clearance is clearance reduces the amplitude of serum insulin concentration, clinically quantified as the ratio of circulating insulin to C-peptide whereas a decrease in peripheral insulin clearance changes the concentration during the first 10 min under the hyperglycemic temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration from transient to clamp condition. sustained. The clinical indices of insulin secretion and clearance are indirect measures because they are obtained from temporal patterns of circulating concentrations, which are simultaneously RESULTS affected by insulin secretion and clearance. Therefore, the clinical Consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic index of insulin secretion implicitly involves the effect of insulin clamp data clearance and vice versa. Mathematical models have been developed for specifically quantifying insulin secretion, sensitivity, We calculated the averaged time courses of concentrations of and clearance abilities from temporal patterns of circulating plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide during consecutive npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute 1234567890():,; Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp condi- Mathematical model for serum insulin and C-peptide tions of NGT (n = 50), borderline type (n = 18), and T2DM (n = 53) concentrations 14,30 (Fig. 1, Supplementary Figure S1). During the hyperglycemic Many mathematical models that reproduce circulating insulin and 29,32–37 clamp, plasma glucose concentrations at the hyperglycemic C-peptide concentrations have been developed. We devel- plateau were similar among the NGT, borderline type, and T2DM oped six mathematical models based on these models, and the best model was selected for reproducing measured serum insulin groups. and C-peptide concentrations during consecutive hyperglycemic Both the first (0–15 min) and second phase of insulin secretion 14,30 and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp (Supplementary Fig- (15–90 min) were clearly observed in the NGT and borderline type ure S2). These models contain serum insulin and C-peptide subjects, whereas the two phases of insulin secretion were concentrations including both insulin and C-peptide secretion and significantly reduced in the T2DM subjects. Serum C-peptide their hepatic and peripheral clearance. Plasma glucose perturba- concentration showed a similar increase during the first and tion and insulin infusion were used as inputs (Supplementary second phase of insulin secretion in the NGT and borderline type Figure S1). For each of the 121 subjects, parameters of the six subjects, whereas serum C-peptide concentration was significantly models were estimated by using measured concentrations of lower in the T2DM subjects during both phases. Although insulin plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide. The resulting model and C-peptide should be secreted in an equimolar manner, the was selected based on minimizing the Akaike information serum C-peptide concentration was higher than the serum insulin 41 criterion (AIC), taking into account model complexity and concentration because insulin—but not C-peptide—was removed goodness of fit of serum insulin and C-peptide time courses. by the liver and C-peptide clearance in the periphery was slower The model consisting of four variables (Model VI in Supplemen- than insulin clearance. tary Figure S2) was selected as the best model with the minimum During the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp at 100–220 min, AIC for 76 of 121 subjects (Fig. 2a, Table 1). In this model, the serum insulin concentration was at a steady-state plateau of variables I and CP correspond to serum concentrations of insulin hyperinsulinemia, but serum insulin concentration differed and C-peptide, respectively. The variable X corresponds to stored significantly from the NGT to borderline type and T2DM subjects. insulin and C-peptide in β-cells or β-cell masses. Because the The average serum insulin concentration of the NGT subjects was amounts of stored insulin and C-peptide are equal, a single lowest and that of the borderline type subjects was highest. These variable, X, is used for both. The variable Y is the insulin provision rate depending on plasma glucose concentration. The differential differences indicate that the ability to remove infused insulin from equations of the model are as follows: serum is different among the three groups and suggest that the difference lies in the peripheral insulin clearance. The plasma dY αfβðG  hÞ YgðG>hÞ ¼ ; Yð0Þ¼ 0 (1) glucose concentration returned to the basal level from hypergly- dt αY ðG  hÞ cemia at a different decay rate among the three groups. The average decay rate was lowest in the T2DM subjects and highest Y  m  X ðÞ G>h dX ¼ Y  v ¼ ; Xð0Þ¼ X (2) in the NGT subjects, suggesting that insulin sensitivity, which is CPin b dt YGðÞ  h the ability to promote the hypoglycemic effect in response to serum insulin, decreases from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. dI ¼ k  v  v þ influx ratio CPin Iout The serum C-peptide concentration returned to the fasting level in dt all groups, and differed significantly between the NGT and k  m  X  k ðÞ I  I þ fðtÞ ðÞ G>h ratio Iout b borderline type subjects. Only insulin was infused during ¼ ; Ið0Þ¼ I k ðÞ I  I þ fðtÞ ðÞ G  h Iout b the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp, indicating that serum (3) C-peptide was derived only from endogenous secretion. Fig. 1 Concentrations of plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps. The mean ± SD among the subjects for NGT (green, n = 50), borderline type (red, n = 18), and T2DM (blue, n = 53) of experimental (upper 3 panels) and simulation with Model VI (lower 2 panels) time courses are shown. Hyperglycemic clamp (HGC) was performed for 90 min and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp (HEC) for 120 min with a 10-min interval. The plasma glucose level is the average value calculated every 5 min of the measurements made every 1 min, and the serum insulin and C-peptide levels are measured values at sampling time (Methods). Simulation time courses are plotted every 10 min. Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S1 illustrate the significant difference of concentrations at each time point among the three groups Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. For the 45 of 121 subjects who were not optimal for this model Table 1. Comparison of the models based on the Akaike information (Fig. 2a; Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2), the distributions of criterion (AIC) the residual sum of squares (RSS) between modeled and measured concentrations of insulin and C-peptide in this model Model No. subjects of min NGT Borderline T2DM AIC mean ± were not significantly different from the distributions of the RSS of AIC SD the remaining 76 subjects who were optimal with minimum AIC I 25 7 4 14 −21.1 ± 22.9* for this model (Supplementary Figure S3). There also seems to be no bias in the distribution of the NGT, borderline type, and T2DM II 531 1 −19.0 ± 24.2* subjects among the best models (Table 1). Model VI was also III 000 0 −16.2 ± 24.9* selected when AIC of each model was calculated using measured IV 700 7 −17.2 ± 25.3* time courses of all 121 subjects (Supplementary Table S2). V 843 1 −28.4 ± 26.2 However, in the RSS distributions of all 121 subjects in this model, VI 76 36 10 30 −31.4 ± 25.2 RSS values of three subjects were relatively high and detected as Total 121 50 18 53 outliers, and the three subjects were excluded from the analysis in this study (Supplementary Figure S3). In addition, there seems to The number of subjects optimal for each model with minimum AIC is be no bias of temporal patterns of serum insulin and C-peptide shown (see Methods) concentrations among the subjects in each model (Supplementary *AIC different from Model VI (P < 0.01, corrected by the number of t-tests, Figure S4, Supplementary Table S3). Therefore, we selected the multiplied by 5) model (Fig. 2a; Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2) for further study because it was able to reproduce time courses of serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations for the remaining 118 sub- dCP ¼ v  v jects. The simulation with Model VI (Fig. 1, Supplementary Figure CPin CPout dt S1) reproduced measured concentrations of insulin and C-peptide, m  X  k ðÞ CP  CP ðÞ G>h CPout b and reflected significant differences among the NGT, borderline ¼ ; CPð0Þ¼ CP ; k ðÞ CP  CP ðÞ G  h type, and T2DM subjects. Seven subjects (one NGT, one borderline CPout b type, and five T2DM subjects) were excluded because their model (4) parameters were detected as outlier based on the adjusted where I and CP correspond to fasting (basal) serum insulin and b b outlyingness (Methods), and we analyzed the model for the C-peptide concentration, respectively, directly given by the remaining 111 subjects (47 NGT, 17 borderline type, and 47 T2DM) measurement, and X is an initial value of X to be estimated. (Supplementary Table S4). Equation 1 describes how insulin provision rate Y increases according to αβ(G − h) when G > h, and decreases with αY. This Changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral insulin means that provision of X, stored amounts of insulin and C- clearance from NGT to borderline type and T2DM peptide, depends on parameters α and β, and stimulated only We statistically compared the model parameters among the NGT, when the plasma glucose concentration exceeds the threshold borderline type, and T2DM groups (Fig. 2b and Methods). Four of value, h, which corresponds to FPG. the nine parameters, k , k , h, and X , were significantly Equation 2 describes how X increases according to the provision Iout ratio b different. rate Y and decreases according to the insulin and C-peptide The parameter k is the degradation rate of serum insulin and secretion v . v is X secreted at the rate m when G > h. Since Iout CPin CPin corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance. The value of k in X , which is the initial value of X, relates to the insulin and C- Iout the NGT subjects was higher than that in the borderline type and peptide secretion when G > h for the first time during hypergly- T2DM subjects (Fig. 2c), indicating that peripheral clearance cemic clamp, X is responsible for the first-phase secretion. decreases in development of glucose intolerance, which is Equation 3 describes how serum insulin concentration I 30,40 consistent with previous studies. increases according to the post-hepatic insulin delivery, k · ratio The parameter k is the ratio of post-hepatic insulin to C- , and decreases according to peripheral insulin clearance v . ratio CPin Iout I also increases according to infused insulin, influx. k · v is peptide, and (1 − k ) corresponds to the insulin extracted by ratio ratio CPin the liver, that is, hepatic insulin clearance. The value of (1 − k ) expanded as k · m · X, which corresponds to insulin delivered ratio ratio into peripheral circulation after passage through the liver when G in the NGT subjects was lower than that in the borderline type and > h. The parameter k is the molar ratio of post-hepatic insulin T2DM subjects (Fig. 2c), indicating the increase of hepatic insulin ratio clearance in the borderline type and T2DM subjects. This is to C-peptide, which represents the fraction of insulin delivered to the peripheral circulation without being extracted by the liver. consistent with an earlier clinical observation. Given that C-peptide is not extracted by the liver, k can The parameter h is the threshold of plasma glucose concentra- ratio represent the remaining fraction of insulin after the extraction by tion for the insulin secretion and corresponds to FPG. This the liver over the total amount of secreted insulin, and ranges parameter in the T2DM subjects was significantly higher than that from 0 to 1. Therefore, (1 − k ) represents the fraction of insulin in the NGT subjects (Fig. 2b), consistent with the fact that FPG is ratio 9,10 extracted by the liver and not delivered to the peripheral higher in T2DM. circulation and corresponds to hepatic insulin clearance; influx is The parameter X is the initial value of X, which corresponds to the insulin infusion rate during hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic the stored amounts of insulin and C-peptide or β-cell masses clamp. The infusion rate at time t is represented by the function before the start of the hyperglycemic clamp. This parameter in the f(t) (Methods). v represents serum insulin degradation with the T2DM subjects was significantly lower than that in the NGT Iout rate parameter k . Therefore, k represents insulin degradation subjects (Fig. 2b), consistent with observations that β-cell masses Iout Iout 42–44 in the periphery and corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance. and stored insulin decrease in T2DM patients. Equation 4 describes how serum C-peptide concentration CP Using the same clamp data, we previously showed that insulin 14,30 increases according to the C-peptide secretion v and decreases secretion decreases from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. In CPin according to peripheral C-peptide clearance v . v is C- this study, however, the parameters α and β, related to insulin CPout CPin peptide secreted and delivered to peripheral serum without secretion, did not show any significant differences among the hepatic clearance. v represents serum C-peptide degradation NGT, borderline type, and T2DM subjects, possibly because CPout with the rate parameter k . previously defined insulin secretion is described by insulin CPout npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 2 Mathematical model of serum insulin and C-peptide. a The structure of the model (see also Eqs. 1–4 and Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2). I and CP are serum insulin and C-peptide concentration, respectively. X is the amount of stored insulin and C-peptide, and Y is the provision rate controlled by plasma glucose concentration, G. Arrows indicate fluxes with corresponding parameters (red). b The estimated parameters for the NGT (green), borderline type (red), and T2DM (blue) subjects. Each dot corresponds to the indicated parameter for an individual subject. c The parameters of k and (1 − k ), corresponding to peripheral and hepatic insulin clearance, respectively. *P < 0.05, Iout ratio **P < 0.01, NS not significant (two-sided Wilcoxon rank sum test with FDR-correction). Post-hoc statistical power analysis is shown in Supplementary Table S5. The bar and error bar show the median and lower and upper quartiles, respectively. Each dot corresponds to the indicated parameter for an individual subject secretion and delivery in this model, which depends on other finding that peripheral insulin clearance is highly correlated with parameters such as h, m, X , and k , and the parameters ISI and MCR. k is the degradation rate of serum insulin, which Iout b ratio depends on the number of insulin receptors on target tissues, involved in insulin secretion and delivery are too diverse. indicating that serum insulin degradation and insulin sensitivity The parameters k , k , k , h, and X show smaller ratio Iout CPout b are mutually correlated. Therefore, it is reasonable that k is variations than others (Fig. 2b). This is probably because Iout correlated not only with MCR but also with ISI. these parameters are directly related to the measured concentra- The model parameter showing the highest correlation with tions of serum insulin and C-peptide and plasma glucose, and insulin secretion during the first phase, AUC (see Methods), therefore can be accurately estimated, whereas other parameters IRI10 which is the index of insulin secretion, was k (r = 0.425, P < ratio are not, resulting in large variation possibly due to inaccurate 0.01). Note that (1 − k ) corresponds to hepatic insulin ratio estimation. clearance. Because the parameter k is the fraction of insulin ratio remaining after the hepatic extraction, its correlation with insulin Relationship between hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance secretion is reasonable. parameters and clinical indices of serum insulin regulation In addition, the model parameter showing the highest We examined the correlation of the estimated model parameters correlation with both FPG and 2-h PG, the main indices of glucose with clinical indices of circulating insulin regulation among tolerance, was h (r = 0.448 and 0.504, respectively, both P < 0.001), 111 subjects (Fig. 3, Supplementary Table S6). The model which is the threshold glucose concentration for insulin secretion. parameter showing the highest correlation with insulin sensitivity This finding is consistent with h corresponding to FPG. The model index (ISI) and with the metabolic clearance rate (MCR), which is parameter showing the highest correlation with the clamp the index of insulin clearance (see Methods for details), was disposition index, clamp DI, which is calculated as the peripheral insulin clearance, k (r = 0.761 and 0.790, respectively, product of insulin secretion AUC and ISI and is the index of Iout IRI10 both P < 0.001). This correlation is consistent with our previous glucose tolerance, was k · k (r = 0.540, P < 0.001). ratio Iout Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 3 Model parameters showing the highest correlation with clinical indices. a Scatter plots for the indicated measured clinical indices versus the highest correlated model parameters (Supplementary Table S6). ISI insulin sensitivity index, MCR metabolic clearance rate, AUC IRI10 amount of insulin secretion during the first 10 min of hyperglycemic clamp. Each dot indicates the value of an individual subject. The correlation coefficient, r, and the P value for testing the hypothesis of no correlation are shown. The partial correlation coefficients among k , ISI, and MCR are shown in Supplementary Figure S5. b Summary of the model parameters k and k showing the highest correlation Iout Iout ratio with the indicated clinical indices Considering that k is related to post-hepatic insulin delivery, secretion. Note that the decrease in k also increases the ratio Iout and k is related to insulin sensitivity, which depends on the amplitude of I. Iout Because both k and k decreased from NGT to borderline number of insulin receptors on target organs, it is reasonable that ratio Iout type and T2DM (Fig. 2b), we examined the effect of the the product k · k shows the highest correlation with clamp ratio Iout simultaneous changes of k and k on the amplitude and ratio Iout DI, which is also the product of clinically estimated insulin transient/sustained patterns of I. When both k and k ratio Iout secretion and sensitivity. increased with the same ratio, I increased during first-phase secretion (0–10 min), whereas I decreased during second-phase Selective regulation of amplitude and temporal patterns of serum secretion (10–30 min) (Fig. 4a, right panel, red line). Thus, insulin concentration by hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance simultaneous increase of k and k results in the increase of ratio Iout Because k and k were the parameters showing the highest Iout ratio peak amplitude of I and in changes in the temporal pattern of I correlation with clinical indices of insulin sensitivity and secretion, from sustained to transient. respectively, both of which are related to the progression of We quantified the role of k and k in the peak amplitude ratio Iout glucose intolerance and T2DM, we analyzed the roles of k and ratio and temporal patterns of I.Wedefined the index ipeak k in the temporal changes of serum insulin concentration (Fig. (incremental peak) for the peak amplitude of I, and the index Iout 4). We changed the originally estimated values of k or k or iTPI (incremental transient peak index; modified from Kubota ratio Iout −1 1 46 both by 2 to 2 times and simulated the time course of I, serum et al. ) for the temporal pattern of I (Fig. 4b), as follows: insulin concentration, during hyperglycemic clamp for each ipeak ¼ ItðÞ IðÞ 0 ; ItðÞ>IðÞ t ; (5) local max local max local max next subject (Supplementary Figure S6). Similar temporal changes of I versus changes in the parameters were observed in all 111 sub- Iðt ÞIðt Þ local max local min iTPI ¼ ; jects, so only the simulation result of subject #3 (NGT) is shown ipeak (6) (Fig. 4a). Iðt Þ<Iðt Þ; t >t ; local min local min next local min local max The time course of I with the original parameters in the model where I(t) represents I at time t, t is the time at which I local_max of subject #3 showed the transient increase (Fig. 4a, black line). As stops increasing for the first time from 0 min, t is the local_max_next k increased, I increased without changing the transient pattern ratio next sampling time of t , t is the time at which I local_max local_min (Fig. 4a, left panel, red line). Indeed, an increase of k affects the ratio stops decreasing for the first time after t , and t local_max local_min_next value of I similarly at any time point, because k controls the ratio is the next sampling time of t . local_min gain of time derivative of I.As k increased, I decreased and the Iout The index ipeak is the difference in I between the local temporal pattern became more transient with an earlier peak time maximum I(t ) and the initial fasting concentration I(0) and local_max (Fig. 4a, middle panel, red line). Conversely, as k decreased, I Iout represents the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase increased and the temporal pattern became more sustained with secretion. The index iTPI is the ratio of the difference of I between a delayed peak time (Fig. 4a, middle panel, blue line). This result the local maximum I(t ) and the local minimum I(t ) local_max local_min suggests that k controls the shift in the temporal patterns of I Iout of I against ipeak, which reflects the ratio of I during the first- and from transient to sustained. These changes in the temporal second-phase secretions. As iTPI approaches 1, the difference in I pattern of I are characterized by a relative decrease in the first- between the first- and second-phase secretions becomes larger, phase secretion and relative increase in the second-phase meaning that the temporal change of I becomes more transient. npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 4 The roles of k and k in the amplitude and temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration. a Simulated time course of serum ratio Iout insulin concentration I during hyperglycemic clamp of subject #3 by changing k or k or both by scaling the fitted parameter value with ratio Iout −1.0 −0.5 0.5 1.0 2 ,2 ,1,2 , and 2 (see Methods). Dotted arrows indicate the direction of the change in the temporal pattern as the parameter increases. b The definition of ipeak (incremental peak) and iTPI (incremental transient peak index), reflecting the peak amplitude and the temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration I. c ipeak and iTPI of I of subject #3 by changing k or k or both ratio Iout Conversely, as iTPI approaches 0, the difference in I between the first- and second-phase secretions becomes smaller, meaning that the temporal change of I becomes more sustained. We calculated ipeak and iTPI from the simulated time courses of −1 I by changing the original estimates of k or k or both by 2 ratio Iout to 2 times. As k increased, ipeak increased but iTPI did not ratio change (Fig. 4c, left panel), indicating that increasing k ratio increases the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase secretion without changing its temporal pattern. As k increased, iTPI Iout increased and ipeak decreased (Fig. 4c, middle panel), indicating that increasing k changes the temporal patterns of I from Iout sustained to transient and decreases the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase secretion. When both k and k increased at the same ratio, both ratio Iout ipeak and iTPI increased (Fig. 4c, right panel), indicating that increasing both k and k increases the peak amplitude of I ratio Iout and changes the temporal pattern from sustained to transient. The increase in ipeak means that the effect of k , which increases ratio ipeak, is stronger than that of k , which decreases ipeak. Given Iout that both k and k decrease from NGT to borderline type and ratio Iout T2DM, both ipeak and iTPI decrease (Fig. 5). This finding is consistent with earlier clinical observations that the peak amplitude of circulating insulin concentration during the first- phase secretion decreases and the temporal pattern becomes 2–4 more sustained during the progression of glucose intolerance. Fig. 5 Overview of our study and main results. Mathematical We performed parameter sensitivity analysis on ipeak and iTPI in modeling based on hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- the simulation for each model parameter (Table 2, Methods). We euglycemic clamp (glucose and insulin clamp) data in subjects compared the median of the parameter for all 111 subjects as the showed changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral parameter sensitivity index (Table 2). For ipeak, the k had the ratio insulin clearance from NGT to T2DM. Hepatic insulin clearance (1 significantly highest median, and for iTPI, k showed the Iout −k ) increases and peripheral insulin clearance k decreases, ratio Iout significantly highest median, indicating that hepatic insulin characterizing the decrease in peak amplitude and the change in the temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration from transient clearance and peripheral insulin clearance are the most critical to sustained, respectively parameters controlling the peak amplitude and temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. The measured temporal changes of the serum insulin concen- tration during hyperglycemic clamp (0–90 min) showed no clear suggesting that hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance are not difference between the NGT and borderline type subjects (Fig. 1). the only parameters responsible for the peak amplitude and However, the estimated k and k in the NGT subjects were temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. ratio Iout significantly higher than those in the borderline type subjects, Other parameters such as insulin secretion, which also affects the Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Table 2. Parameter sensitivity analysis for ipeak and iTPI Rank ipeak iTPI Median P Median P −1 1 k 1.00 k 4.64 × 10 ratio Iout −1 −38 −1 −6 2 m 3.52 × 10 6.26 × 10 β −2.53 × 10 1.30 × 10 −1 −36 −1 −15 3 k −2.74 × 10 1.23 × 10 α −1.42 × 10 5.36 × 10 Iout −4 −34 −1 −7 4 h −3.64 × 10 4.04 × 10 h 1.38 × 10 8.70 × 10 −4 −36 −2 −9 5 β 2.59 × 10 1.23 × 10 m 7.18 × 10 2.56 × 10 −4 −36 −15 −35 6 α 1.61 × 10 1.23 × 10 k 8.28 × 10 2.62 × 10 ratio Medians of the indicated parameters for all 111 subjects were used for parameter sensitivity analysis for ipeak and iTPI (see Methods). The higher the absolute value of the parameter, the higher the sensitivity. P values relative to the median for the top-ranked parameter were determined by two-sided Wilcoxon rank –3 sum test, and the value of <4.17 × 10 (=0.05/12, corrected by the number of tests, divided by 12) is considered statistically significant temporal changes of serum insulin concentration, may compen- clearance and the temporal pattern changes from transient to sate for the temporal changes by insulin clearance between the sustained occur because of a decrease in peripheral insulin NGT and borderline type subjects. This also means that changes in clearance (Fig. 5). Importantly, the decrease in peripheral insulin the hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to clearance alone can explain only the temporal change of serum borderline type and T2DM cannot be directly assessed from the insulin concentration, not the decrease of peak amplitude. Thus, measured time course of serum insulin concentration, but must be the increase of hepatic insulin clearance and decrease of evaluated with a mathematical model. peripheral insulin clearance simultaneously cause the decrease From Eq. 3, the parameter k directly reflects post-hepatic in the peak amplitude of serum insulin concentration during the ratio insulin delivery and is involved in the increase in gain of I. first-phase secretion and change in temporal pattern from Therefore, the change of k is directly reflected in the peak transient to sustained. Our result demonstrates that, in addition ratio 3,4 amplitude, so the sensitivity to ipeak becomes 1. This means that to the decrease in insulin secretion, the increase in hepatic hepatic insulin clearance is more responsible for the peak clearance also contributes to the decrease in peak amplitude of amplitude of serum insulin concentration than the pre-hepatic serum insulin concentration in the first-phase secretion from NGT insulin secretion before extraction by the liver. to borderline type and T2DM. The parameter k corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance In our model, as k , the ratio of post-hepatic insulin compared Iout ratio and is the degradation rate of I, meaning that k is the time to C-peptide, increased, ipeak, the peak amplitude of peripheral Iout constant of serum insulin degradation. k is the parameter insulin concentration, increased (Fig. 4c). According to clinical Iout directly responsible for temporal conversion of input X, delivered measurements, k was also correlated with ipeak calculated ratio insulin after the extraction by the liver, into output, I. Thus, k is directly from the serum insulin concentration measured during Iout the first-phase secretion in hyperglycemic clamp (Supplementary the most sensitive parameter for iTPI corresponding to the shift Figure S8a, r = 0.423, P < 0.001), indicating that hepatic insulin between the transient and sustained temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration. clearance is pathologically correlated with the peak amplitude in the first-phase secretion from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. On the other hand, in our model, as k , the peripheral insulin Iout DISCUSSION clearance, increased, iTPI, representing the temporal pattern of We developed several alternative mathematical models using peripheral insulin concentration, increased (Fig. 4c). However, in concentrations of plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide clinical measurements, k was not highly correlated with iTPI Iout during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- calculated directly from the serum insulin concentration measured euglycemic clamps, and selected the model showing the best fit during hyperglycemic clamp (Supplementary Figure S8a, r = for most subjects. Although Model VI was selected for 76 of 0.297, P < 0.01). The reason for this lack of correlation between 121 subjects, 45 subjects were not optimal for Model VI. This k and iTPI in clinical measurement remains unclear; however, it Iout suggests that some of the parameters of Model VI were may be because little insulin was secreted during hyperglycemic unnecessary in subjects whose selected model is Model I, II, IV, clamp in some borderline type and T2DM subjects, and iTPI or V by comparing the structure with Model VI. However, no cannot be estimated accurately because of low concentration of parameter of Model VI showed significant difference between serum insulin. subjects who selected Model I, II, IV,or V and subjects who Many studies have shown that insulin clearance decreases in 18–21,47,48 selected Model VI (Supplementary Figure S7), suggesting that T2DM patients. However, the change in hepatic insulin there is no biased feature on the structure of the control of clearance in this condition has been controversial, with some circulating insulin concentration in subjects who were not optimal studies finding an increase in T2DM subjects and others a 18,23 for Model VI, and Model VI can be applied to all subjects. decrease. We previously developed a mathematical model During the progression of glucose intolerance, it has been using data gathered during hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- shown that the peak amplitude of circulating insulin concentra- euglycemic clamps, and peripheral insulin clearance significantly tion during the first-phase secretion decreases and the temporal decreased from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. However, 2–4 pattern becomes more sustained. In this study, we found that hepatic and peripheral insulin clearances were not estimated both k , corresponding to peripheral insulin clearance, and k separately because we did not use C-peptide data. Recently, Iout ratio decrease from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. Given that (1 − Polidori et al. estimated both hepatic and peripheral insulin k ), corresponding to hepatic insulin clearance, increases as the clearance by modeling analysis using plasma insulin and C- ratio k decreases, our finding strongly suggests that, from NGT to peptide concentrations obtained from the insulin-modified ratio borderline type and T2DM, the peak amplitude of serum insulin frequently sampled IVGTT. They found that the peripheral insulin concentration decreases due to the increase in hepatic insulin clearance significantly decreased in borderline type subjects npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. compared with NGT subjects, whereas hepatic insulin clearance circulating insulin concentration selectively regulate insulin did not significantly differ between the borderline type and NGT actions on the target tissues. Given that hepatic and peripheral subjects ; the former finding is consistent with our result that insulin clearances are responsible for the amplitude and temporal peripheral insulin clearance decreases from NGT to borderline pattern of circulating insulin concentration, these clearances are type and T2DM. We demonstrated that hepatic insulin clearance likely to be involved in selective control of insulin action, glucose significantly increases, whereas peripheral insulin clearance homeostasis, and the pathogenesis of T2DM. significantly decreases from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. We previously developed a mathematical model for concentra- One difference between the study by Polidori et al. and our study tions of plasma glucose and serum insulin measured during is C-peptide kinetics. They used the reported two-compartment consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic model of C-peptide kinetics for calculating insulin secretion rate clamps and found significant decreases in insulin secretion, by deconvolution, while we selected the structure of C-peptide sensitivity, and peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to border- kinetics that fitted for our data, which may improve the accuracy line type to T2DM. The differences between our previous study of the parameter estimation of hepatic insulin clearance, and this study are the model structure and C-peptide data. The estimated by use of serum insulin and C-peptide concentration. previous model consisted of plasma glucose and serum insulin The increase in hepatic insulin clearance may be caused by and required only glucose and insulin infusion as inputs. The impaired suppression of endocytosis of insulin receptors on the model in this study does not have plasma glucose concentration liver, and the decrease in peripheral insulin clearance may be but includes serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations, while caused by a decrease of the number of insulin receptors on target plasma glucose concentration and insulin infusion are used as 45 40 tissues. Polidori et al. also found that hepatic and peripheral inputs (Fig. 2a, Supplementary Figure S2). In the previous study, insulin clearances were not highly correlated. Consistent with their only peripheral insulin clearance, but not hepatic insulin clearance, results, in our analysis, the insulin clearance parameters k and was estimated because C-peptide data were not used. The ratio k were not highly correlated (Supplementary Figure S8b, r = decrease of insulin clearance from NGT to T2DM in the previous Iout 0.296, P < 0.01), suggesting that both insulin clearances are study is consistent with the decrease of peripheral insulin independently regulated. clearance from NGT to T2DM in this study. In the previous study, We are aware that some of the results of this analysis only hold the parameter corresponding to insulin secretion in the NGT and if the parameters are identifiable based on our serum insulin and borderline type subjects was significantly higher than that in the C-peptide data. We performed 20 trials of parameter estimation T2DM subjects; however, the parameter related to insulin for each subject (Methods), but most subjects (107 subjects) had secretion did not show a significant difference between the only one trial which minimized RSS. The values of estimated NGT, borderline type, and T2DM subjects in this study, possibly parameters and RSS varied among the 20 trials of each subject. For because previously defined insulin secretion is described by the remaining four subjects, estimated parameters varied among insulin secretion and delivery in this model, and the parameters trials that returned the same RSS, especially the parameters α and related to insulin secretion and delivery (α, β, h, m, X , and k ) b ratio β differed to a large extent, while the parameters k and k are too diversified. The parameter corresponding to insulin Iout ratio did not largely differ (Supplementary Figure S9). If the number of sensitivity was not incorporated in this study. estimated trials, parents, and generations of evolutionary pro- Many mathematical models to reproduce circulating C-peptide gramming increases, a trial that gives a different parameter concentration have been developed. A two-compartment model solution with smaller RSS than that reported in this study might be for C-peptide kinetics was originally proposed. A combined obtained. Structural or a priori identifiability of parameters based model that included both circulating insulin and C-peptide on the system equations, which tests if model parameters can kinetics described by a single compartment structure was be determined from the available data, was not performed in this introduced to estimate hepatic insulin clearance. The C- study. Large variability in the fitted parameters, like for instance in peptide minimal model describing peripheral insulin and C- α and β, could be due to the identifiability of the parameters and peptide appearance and kinetics was also developed to assess 33–37 not due to biological variance, and interpretation of the results has hepatic insulin clearance, and several other model structures 38,39 to take this into account. for circulating C-peptide concentration were reported. One Insulin selectively regulates various functions, such as signaling difference between others’ and our studies is the experimental activities, metabolic control, and gene expression, depending on protocol in which data were applied to parameter estimation. its temporal patterns. For example, we previously reported that IVGTT or hyperglycemic clamp were performed for parameter pulse stimulation of insulin in rat hepatoma Fao cells, resembling estimation in models of circulating C-peptide concentration, the first-phase secretion, selectively regulated glycogen synthase whereas we used hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- kinase-3β (GSK3β), which regulates glycogenesis, and S6 kinase, euglycemic clamps, which may improve the accuracy of the which regulates protein synthesis, whereas ramp stimulation of parameter estimation of peripheral insulin clearance, k . Iout insulin, resembling the second-phase secretion, selectively regu- Recently, a model of plasma insulin concentration including lated GSK3β and glucose-6-phosphatase (G6Pase), which regulates hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance and the delivery of insulin gluconeogenesis. We also found that insulin-dependent meta- from the systemic circulation to the liver during the insulin- bolic control and gene expression are selectively regulated by modified IVGTT was proposed. In that model, the parameter of 50,51 temporal patterns and doses of insulin in FAO cells. Sustained hepatic insulin clearance was negatively correlated with acute stimulation of insulin suppressed the expression of insulin insulin secretion in response to glucose, and the parameter of 52–54 receptors, leading to reduced insulin sensitivity in FAO cells. peripheral insulin clearance was correlated with insulin sensitiv- Likewise, phosphorylation of the insulin receptor substrate (IRS)-1/ ity, consistent with the results in this study (Fig. 3). Since the age 2 in rat liver increased when pulsatile (rather than continuous) of subjects in our study differed between groups with NGT, stimulation of insulin was imposed in the portal circulation. This borderline type, and T2DM (Supplementary Table S4), the may have occurred through the negative feedback within the correlations between the parameters and clinical indices may be insulin signaling pathway, the phosphatidylinositide (PI) 3-kinase/ affected by age. However, the parameters showing the highest 53,56 Alt pathway, targeting IRS-1/2. In addition, IRS-2, rather than correlation with clinical indices of insulin secretion, AUC , IRI10 IRS-1, mainly regulates hepatic gluconeogenesis through its rapid insulin sensitivity, ISI, and insulin clearance, MCR, were not downregulation by insulin, suggesting the selective roles of IRS- changed with conditioning of age (Supplementary Table S7). 1/2 in response to temporal patterns of plasma insulin. These The high correlation between the parameter of hepatic insulin findings indicate that the amplitude and temporal pattern of clearance, k , and the clinical index of insulin secretion, AUC , ratio IRI10 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. suggests the possibility that hepatic insulin clearance considerably models, I represents serum insulin concentration (pM), and CP and CP represent serum C-peptide concentration (pM) including insulin and C- affects the clinical index of insulin secretion measured by peptide secretion and hepatic and peripheral clearance. We used a peripheral insulin concentration because the clinical index of conversion factor of insulin (6.00 nmol/U) and the molecular weights of insulin secretion, AUC , was measured by the post-hepatic IRI10 glucose (180.16 g/mol) and C-peptide (3020.3 g/mol) to convert the unit of insulin delivery, and therefore reflects both insulin secretion and serum insulin, plasma glucose, and serum C-peptide, respectively. We used hepatic insulin clearance. This suggests that insulin secretion plasma glucose concentration G (mM) as input in the models, which was per se in the clinical index of insulin secretion may be determined by stepwise interpolation of the measured plasma glucose overestimated because of the involvement of hepatic insulin data. Note that plasma glucose data were obtained as the 5-min average clearance. Further study is necessary to address this issue. values, and each sampling time was reduced by 2 min in the calculation of In conclusion, using the mathematical model for serum insulin stepwise interpolation. The actual insulin infusion rate (IIR, mU/kg/min) was converted to the and C-peptide concentrations during consecutive hyperglycemic corresponding serum concentrations (cIIR) as follows: and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps, we determined the quantitative structure of the control of circulating insulin IIR ðmU=kg=minÞ 6:00  10 ðpmol=mUÞ (7) cIIRðÞ pM=min¼ ; concentration. The estimated model parameters revealed the 3 BV  10 increase of hepatic insulin clearance and decrease of peripheral where BV denotes blood volume (75 and 65 mL/kg for men and women, insulin clearance from NGT to borderline type and T2DM, and respectively ). these changes selectively regulate the amplitude and temporal In the models, insulin infusions are represented by influx. This flux patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. The changes follows the nonlinear function f that predicts insulin infusion concentra- tions. Given that insulin infusion was performed only during the in opposite direction of both types of clearance shed light on the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic (from 100 to 220 min) clamp, the function f pathological mechanism underlying the abnormal temporal was given by the following equations: patterns of circulating insulin concentration from NGT to border- line type and T2DM. 0 ðt  100Þ fðtÞ¼ ; (8) ii  expðii ðt  100ÞÞ þ ii ðt>100Þ 1 2 3 where the parameters ii (j = 1, 2, 3) are estimated to reproduce cIIR for MATERIALS AND METHODS j each subject with a nonlinear least squares technique. Parameters for all Subjects and measurements subjects are shown in Supplementary Table S9. The plasma and serum measurement data originated from our previous 14,30 research. This metabolic analysis was approved by the ethics Parameter estimation committee of Kobe University Hospital and was registerd with the University hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000002359), and The model parameters for each subject were estimated to reproduce the written informed consent was obtained from all subjects. In brief, 50 NGT, experimentally measured time course by a meta-evolutionary program- 18 borderline type, and 53 T2DM subjects underwent the consecutive ming method to approach the neighborhood of the local minimum, clamp analyses. From 0 to 90 min, a hyperglycemic clamp was applied by followed by application of the nonlinear least squares technique to reach 2 61 intravenous infusion of a bolus of glucose (9622 mg/m ) within 15 min the local minimum. Each parameter was estimated in the range from −6 4 followed by that of a variable amount of glucose to maintain the plasma 10 to 10 . For these methods, the model parameters were estimated to glucose level at 200 mg/dL. Ten minutes after the end of the minimize the objective function value, which is defined as the RSS between the actual time course obtained by clamp analyses and the hyperglycemic clamp, a 120-min hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was model trajectories. RSS is given by: initiated by intravenous infusion of human regular insulin (Humulin R, Eli Lilly Japan K.K.) at a rate of 40 mU/m /min and with a target plasma 2 2 X X IðtÞ I ðtÞ CPðtÞ CP ðtÞ sim sim glucose level of 90 mg/dL. For the NGT and borderline type subjects whose RSS ¼ þ ; (9) I CP plasma glucose levels were <90 mg/dL, the plasma glucose concentration mean mean points points was clamped at the fasting level. We measured the plasma glucose level where every 1 min during the clamp analyses and obtained the 5-min average P P values. We also measured insulin and C-peptide level in serum samples IðtÞ points collected at 5, 10, 15, 60, 75, 90, 100, 190, and 220 min after the onset of subjects I ¼ ; (10) mean the tests. First-phase insulin secretion during the hyperglycemic clamp was points subjects defined as the incremental area under the immunoreactive insulin (IRI) concentration curve (μU/mL/min) from 0 to 10 min (AUC ). The ISI IRI10 P P derived from the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was calculated by CPðtÞ subjects points dividing the mean glucose infusion rate during the final 30 min of the CP ¼ : (11) mean points clamp (mg/kg/min) by both the plasma glucose (mg/dL) and serum insulin subjects (μU/mL) levels at the end of the clamp and then multiplying the result by 100. A clamp-based analog of the disposition index, the clamp disposition I(t) and CP(t) are the serum insulin and C-peptide concentration, and index (clamp DI), was calculated as the product of AUC and ISI, as IRI10 I (t) and CP (t) are simulated serum insulin and C-peptide concentra- sim sim 14 13 described previously. The MCR, an index of insulin clearance, was tions at t min, respectively. Serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations calculated by dividing the insulin infusion rate at the steady state were normalized by dividing them by the averages of serum concentra- (1.46 mU/kg/min) by the increase in insulin concentration above the basal tions over all time points of all subjects of insulin (I , 302.7 pM) and C- mean level in the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp : 1.46 (mU/kg/min) × peptide (CP , 1475 pM), respectively. The numbers of parents and mean body weight (kg) × body surface area (m ) / (end IRI− fasting IRI) (μU/mL), generations in the meta-evolutionary programming were 400 and 4000, 1/2 where body surface area is defined as (body weight (kg)) × (body height respectively. Parameter estimation was tried 20 times by changing the 1/2 (cm)) / 60 (Mosteller formula). Since this study is a retrospective analysis initial parameter values for each subject, and the parameter with the of previously collected data, randomization and blinding of the groups smallest RSS among 20 trials was taken as the estimated solution of each with NGT, borderline type, and T2DM was not performed. The actual data subject. Model parameters for all subjects are shown in Supplementary for all 121 subjects are shown in Supplementary Figure S10 and Table S9. Supplementary Table S8. Model selection Mathematical models The model was chosen among the six models according to the AIC. For a We developed six mathematical models based on the proposed models in given model and a single subject, AIC was calculated as follows: order to choose the best model for reproducing our measurement of 2π  RSS serum insulin and C-peptide during consecutive hyperglycemic and AIC ¼ n ln þ n þ 2K ; (12) hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps (Supplementary Figure S2). In these npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. where n is the total number of sampling time points of serum insulin and REFERENCES C-peptide, and K is the number of estimated parameters of the model. 1. DeFronzo, R. A., Bonadonna, R. C. & Ferrannini, E. Pathogenesis of NIDDM. A balanced overview. Diabetes Care 15, 318–368 (1992). 2. Cerasi, E. & Luft, R. The plasma insulin response to glucose infusion in healthy Determination of parameter outliers subjects and in diabetes mellitus. 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Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral insulin clearance characterize abnormal temporal patterns of serum insulin in diabetic subjects

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www.nature.com/npjsba ARTICLE OPEN Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral insulin clearance characterize abnormal temporal patterns of serum insulin in diabetic subjects 1 1,2 3 3 4 4 4 Kaoru Ohashi , Masashi Fujii , Shinsuke Uda , Hiroyuki Kubota , Hisako Komada , Kazuhiko Sakaguchi , Wataru Ogawa and 1,2,5 Shinya Kuroda Insulin plays a central role in glucose homeostasis, and impairment of insulin action causes glucose intolerance and leads to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). A decrease in the transient peak and sustained increase of circulating insulin following an infusion of glucose accompany T2DM pathogenesis. However, the mechanism underlying this abnormal temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration remains unknown. Here we show that changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance characterize this abnormal temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration observed in T2DM. We developed a mathematical model using a hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp in 111 subjects, including healthy normoglycemic and diabetic subjects. The hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance significantly increase and decrease, respectively, from healthy to borderline type and T2DM. The increased hepatic insulin clearance reduces the amplitude of circulating insulin concentration, whereas the decreased peripheral insulin clearance changes the temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration from transient to sustained. These results provide further insight into the pathogenesis of T2DM, and thus may contribute to develop better treatment of this condition. npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 4:14 ; doi:10.1038/s41540-018-0051-6 INTRODUCTION circulating insulin concentration transiently increases during the first 10 min and then continuously increases during the following Insulin is the major anabolic hormone regulating the glucose 120 min, which are known as the first and second phase of insulin homeostasis. The impaired action of insulin is a characteristic of 1 12 secretion, respectively. type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), accompanied by abnormality in 2–4 These temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration the temporal patterns of circulating insulin concentration. The differ between normal glucose tolerance (NGT), borderline type, circulating insulin concentration changes over the course of 24 h, including a persistently low level during fasting and a surge in and T2DM. Based on an OGTT, a subject with FPG <110 mg/dL response to food ingestion, consisting of basal and additional (6.1 mM) and 2-h PG <140 mg/dL (7.8 mM) is categorized as NGT. 5,6 secretions from the pancreas, respectively. A subject with FPG of 110–125 mg/dL (6.1–6.9 mM) or 2-h PG of Ability of additional insulin secretion is assessed by the oral 140–199 mg/dL (7.8–11.0 mM) is categorized as borderline type, glucose tolerance test (OGTT), in which a subject’s ability to and those with FPG ≥126 mg/dL (7.0 mM) or 2-h PG ≥200 mg/dL tolerate the glucose load (glucose tolerance) is evaluated by (11.1 mM) as T2DM. In general, plasma insulin concentration measuring the circulating glucose concentration after an over- during the late-phase secretion of an OGTT in borderline type night fast (fasting plasma glucose concentration; FPG) and again subjects is higher than in NGT subjects, whereas the concentration 2 h after a 75-g oral glucose load (2-h post-load glucose during the early-phase secretion is similar in NGT and borderline concentration; 2-h PG). During this test, the circulating insulin 9,10 type subjects. Plasma insulin concentration during the first- concentration transiently increases and then continuously phase secretion of an IVGTT decreases as glucose intolerance increases or decreases, known as the early and late phases of 9,10 progresses, whereas that during the second-phase secretion is insulin secretion, respectively. The direct contribution of 2–4 relatively maintained. Such changes of the temporal patterns of circulating glucose concentration to circulating insulin concentra- circulating insulin concentration during the progression of glucose tion is assessed by the use of an intravenous glucose tolerance intolerance from NGT to T2DM suggest that these temporal test (IVGTT). This test excludes the effects of intestinal patterns are involved in the maintenance and impairment of absorption of glucose and incretins secretion that trigger insulin glucose homeostasis. Together with the measurement of circulat- secretion, thus permitting quantitative estimates of the ability of circulating glucose to initiate insulin secretion. During this test, the ing glucose concentration, the time course of circulating insulin 1 2 Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan; Molecular Genetics Research Laboratory, Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan; Division of Integrated Omics, Research Center for Transomics Medicine, Medical Institute of Bioregulation, Kyushu University, 3-1-1 Maidashi, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka, Fukuoka 812-8582, Japan; Division of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, 7-5-1 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe, Hyogo 650-0017, Japan and CREST, Japan Science and Technology Corporation, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan Correspondence: Shinya Kuroda (skuroda@bs.s.u-tokyo.ac.jp) Received: 23 May 2017 Revised: 12 February 2018 Accepted: 12 February 2018 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. 26–28 concentration is used to assess the insulin secretion from the concentration by accounting for this mutual dependence. The pancreas and insulin sensitivity. model known as the minimal model is used to estimate insulin However, it is difficult to assess the insulin secretion and sensitivity and insulin secretion abilities for each individual based sensitivity of body tissues directly from the circulating insulin on the time courses of circulating glucose and insulin concentra- concentration because of the negative feedback between tions during IVGTT. Furthermore, from the parameters of the circulating insulin and glucose. A rise in circulating glucose model, Bergman et al. identified a relationship between the concentration stimulates insulin secretion, and the resultant rise in subject’s glucose intolerance and the product of insulin secretion circulating insulin concentration stimulates glucose uptake, and sensitivity. causing circulating glucose concentration to fall. This feedback We previously developed a mathematical model based on time means there is mutual dependence between glucose and insulin, courses of plasma glucose and serum insulin during consecutive making it difficult to distinguish the effect of insulin secretion and hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp condi- sensitivity directly from the circulating insulin concentration. tions, and estimated the parameters of insulin secretion, To directly assess insulin secretion without the effect of the sensitivity, and peripheral insulin clearance for each subject. We feedback from insulin to glucose, DeFronzo et al. developed the found that peripheral insulin clearance significantly decreased hyperglycemic clamp technique, in which insulin secretion is from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. However, the hepatic and measured while circulating glucose concentration is at a fixed peripheral insulin clearance could not be distinguished because C- hyperglycemic plateau maintained by exogenous continuous peptide was not incorporated in the model. glucose infusion. The measurements of circulating insulin Hepatic insulin clearance is calculated as the difference concentration during the first 10 min and after 10 min are used between pre-hepatic and post-hepatic insulin concentrations to assess the insulin secretion ability and are known as the first- assessed by comparing circulating C-peptide and insulin concen- 13,14 and second-phase insulin secretions, respectively. trations, because C-peptide, unlike insulin, is not removed by the Conversely, to directly assess insulin sensitivity without the liver. Since the circulating C-peptide concentration is also effect of the feedback from glucose to insulin, the controlled by its secretion and clearance, a mathematical model hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was developed. In this for C-peptide kinetics was developed. The models for circulating method, circulating insulin concentration is maintained at a fixed insulin and C-peptide have been used to estimate the secretion hyperinsulinemic plateau and circulating glucose at a fixed normal and kinetics of insulin and C-peptide, as well as hepatic insulin 32–39 plateau by continuous infusion of both insulin and glucose. Tissue clearance. However, peripheral insulin clearance was not insulin sensitivity is defined as the ratio of the glucose infusion assessed in the models, because exogenous insulin infusion, rate to the circulating insulin concentration when they reach which is required for accurate estimation of peripheral insulin 13,14 plateaus. clearance, was not performed. The body controls the circulating insulin concentration by 40 Recently, Polidori et al. reported that both hepatic and balancing insulin secretion and insulin clearance. The major extrahepatic insulin clearance, corresponding to peripheral insulin organs responsible for insulin clearance are the liver, which clearance, can be estimated by modeling analysis using plasma 15,16 removes portal insulin during first-pass transit, and insulin- insulin and C-peptide concentrations obtained from the insulin- sensitive tissues such as muscle, which remove insulin from the modified frequently sampled IVGTT. The parameters of hepatic systemic circulation. The insulin clearance from portal vein in the and peripheral insulin clearance in the model were not highly liver and from peripheral plasma in other organs is called hepatic correlated, suggesting that the two types of insulin clearance are and peripheral insulin clearance, respectively. Although the regulated differently. In addition, hepatic insulin clearance was relationship between changes of insulin clearance and the negatively correlated with insulin secretion, and peripheral insulin progression of glucose intolerance have been reported, the clearance was positively correlated with insulin sensitivity. effects of insulin clearance are controversial. Some studies found However, hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance in T2DM that during the progression of glucose intolerance, insulin 18–21 subjects and the roles of both types of clearance in the changes clearance decreased, whereas hepatic insulin clearance 22 18,23 in temporal pattern of circulating insulin concentration during the increased or decreased. Thus, the hepatic and peripheral progression of glucose intolerance have yet to be examined. insulin clearances were not explicitly distinguished, making it In this study, we developed a mathematical model based on the difficult to interpret the effect of both types. time course of the serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations Hepatic insulin clearance cannot be assessed directly from during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- circulating insulin concentration because insulin is extracted from euglycemic clamp conditions, and estimated the hepatic and the liver before secreted insulin is delivered into the systemic peripheral insulin clearance for each subject. The parameters from circulation. However, insulin is secreted at an equimolar ratio with 111 subjects (47 NGT, 17 borderline type, and 47 T2DM) showed a C-peptide, a peptide cleaved from proinsulin to produce insulin, significant increase in hepatic insulin clearance and significant which is not extracted in the liver. Thus, by measuring circulating decrease in peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to borderline C-peptide concentration simultaneously with circulating insulin type and T2DM, respectively. We also found that hepatic and concentration, the pre-hepatic insulin concentration can be peripheral insulin clearance play distinct roles in the abnormal accurately assessed. The C-peptide index, which is the ratio of temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration from NGT to circulating glucose to C-peptide concentration, is an index of borderline type and T2DM, namely an increase in hepatic insulin insulin secretion with clinical utility. Hepatic insulin clearance is clearance reduces the amplitude of serum insulin concentration, clinically quantified as the ratio of circulating insulin to C-peptide whereas a decrease in peripheral insulin clearance changes the concentration during the first 10 min under the hyperglycemic temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration from transient to clamp condition. sustained. The clinical indices of insulin secretion and clearance are indirect measures because they are obtained from temporal patterns of circulating concentrations, which are simultaneously RESULTS affected by insulin secretion and clearance. Therefore, the clinical Consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic index of insulin secretion implicitly involves the effect of insulin clamp data clearance and vice versa. Mathematical models have been developed for specifically quantifying insulin secretion, sensitivity, We calculated the averaged time courses of concentrations of and clearance abilities from temporal patterns of circulating plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide during consecutive npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute 1234567890():,; Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp condi- Mathematical model for serum insulin and C-peptide tions of NGT (n = 50), borderline type (n = 18), and T2DM (n = 53) concentrations 14,30 (Fig. 1, Supplementary Figure S1). During the hyperglycemic Many mathematical models that reproduce circulating insulin and 29,32–37 clamp, plasma glucose concentrations at the hyperglycemic C-peptide concentrations have been developed. We devel- plateau were similar among the NGT, borderline type, and T2DM oped six mathematical models based on these models, and the best model was selected for reproducing measured serum insulin groups. and C-peptide concentrations during consecutive hyperglycemic Both the first (0–15 min) and second phase of insulin secretion 14,30 and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp (Supplementary Fig- (15–90 min) were clearly observed in the NGT and borderline type ure S2). These models contain serum insulin and C-peptide subjects, whereas the two phases of insulin secretion were concentrations including both insulin and C-peptide secretion and significantly reduced in the T2DM subjects. Serum C-peptide their hepatic and peripheral clearance. Plasma glucose perturba- concentration showed a similar increase during the first and tion and insulin infusion were used as inputs (Supplementary second phase of insulin secretion in the NGT and borderline type Figure S1). For each of the 121 subjects, parameters of the six subjects, whereas serum C-peptide concentration was significantly models were estimated by using measured concentrations of lower in the T2DM subjects during both phases. Although insulin plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide. The resulting model and C-peptide should be secreted in an equimolar manner, the was selected based on minimizing the Akaike information serum C-peptide concentration was higher than the serum insulin 41 criterion (AIC), taking into account model complexity and concentration because insulin—but not C-peptide—was removed goodness of fit of serum insulin and C-peptide time courses. by the liver and C-peptide clearance in the periphery was slower The model consisting of four variables (Model VI in Supplemen- than insulin clearance. tary Figure S2) was selected as the best model with the minimum During the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp at 100–220 min, AIC for 76 of 121 subjects (Fig. 2a, Table 1). In this model, the serum insulin concentration was at a steady-state plateau of variables I and CP correspond to serum concentrations of insulin hyperinsulinemia, but serum insulin concentration differed and C-peptide, respectively. The variable X corresponds to stored significantly from the NGT to borderline type and T2DM subjects. insulin and C-peptide in β-cells or β-cell masses. Because the The average serum insulin concentration of the NGT subjects was amounts of stored insulin and C-peptide are equal, a single lowest and that of the borderline type subjects was highest. These variable, X, is used for both. The variable Y is the insulin provision rate depending on plasma glucose concentration. The differential differences indicate that the ability to remove infused insulin from equations of the model are as follows: serum is different among the three groups and suggest that the difference lies in the peripheral insulin clearance. The plasma dY αfβðG  hÞ YgðG>hÞ ¼ ; Yð0Þ¼ 0 (1) glucose concentration returned to the basal level from hypergly- dt αY ðG  hÞ cemia at a different decay rate among the three groups. The average decay rate was lowest in the T2DM subjects and highest Y  m  X ðÞ G>h dX ¼ Y  v ¼ ; Xð0Þ¼ X (2) in the NGT subjects, suggesting that insulin sensitivity, which is CPin b dt YGðÞ  h the ability to promote the hypoglycemic effect in response to serum insulin, decreases from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. dI ¼ k  v  v þ influx ratio CPin Iout The serum C-peptide concentration returned to the fasting level in dt all groups, and differed significantly between the NGT and k  m  X  k ðÞ I  I þ fðtÞ ðÞ G>h ratio Iout b borderline type subjects. Only insulin was infused during ¼ ; Ið0Þ¼ I k ðÞ I  I þ fðtÞ ðÞ G  h Iout b the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp, indicating that serum (3) C-peptide was derived only from endogenous secretion. Fig. 1 Concentrations of plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps. The mean ± SD among the subjects for NGT (green, n = 50), borderline type (red, n = 18), and T2DM (blue, n = 53) of experimental (upper 3 panels) and simulation with Model VI (lower 2 panels) time courses are shown. Hyperglycemic clamp (HGC) was performed for 90 min and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp (HEC) for 120 min with a 10-min interval. The plasma glucose level is the average value calculated every 5 min of the measurements made every 1 min, and the serum insulin and C-peptide levels are measured values at sampling time (Methods). Simulation time courses are plotted every 10 min. Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S1 illustrate the significant difference of concentrations at each time point among the three groups Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. For the 45 of 121 subjects who were not optimal for this model Table 1. Comparison of the models based on the Akaike information (Fig. 2a; Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2), the distributions of criterion (AIC) the residual sum of squares (RSS) between modeled and measured concentrations of insulin and C-peptide in this model Model No. subjects of min NGT Borderline T2DM AIC mean ± were not significantly different from the distributions of the RSS of AIC SD the remaining 76 subjects who were optimal with minimum AIC I 25 7 4 14 −21.1 ± 22.9* for this model (Supplementary Figure S3). There also seems to be no bias in the distribution of the NGT, borderline type, and T2DM II 531 1 −19.0 ± 24.2* subjects among the best models (Table 1). Model VI was also III 000 0 −16.2 ± 24.9* selected when AIC of each model was calculated using measured IV 700 7 −17.2 ± 25.3* time courses of all 121 subjects (Supplementary Table S2). V 843 1 −28.4 ± 26.2 However, in the RSS distributions of all 121 subjects in this model, VI 76 36 10 30 −31.4 ± 25.2 RSS values of three subjects were relatively high and detected as Total 121 50 18 53 outliers, and the three subjects were excluded from the analysis in this study (Supplementary Figure S3). In addition, there seems to The number of subjects optimal for each model with minimum AIC is be no bias of temporal patterns of serum insulin and C-peptide shown (see Methods) concentrations among the subjects in each model (Supplementary *AIC different from Model VI (P < 0.01, corrected by the number of t-tests, Figure S4, Supplementary Table S3). Therefore, we selected the multiplied by 5) model (Fig. 2a; Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2) for further study because it was able to reproduce time courses of serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations for the remaining 118 sub- dCP ¼ v  v jects. The simulation with Model VI (Fig. 1, Supplementary Figure CPin CPout dt S1) reproduced measured concentrations of insulin and C-peptide, m  X  k ðÞ CP  CP ðÞ G>h CPout b and reflected significant differences among the NGT, borderline ¼ ; CPð0Þ¼ CP ; k ðÞ CP  CP ðÞ G  h type, and T2DM subjects. Seven subjects (one NGT, one borderline CPout b type, and five T2DM subjects) were excluded because their model (4) parameters were detected as outlier based on the adjusted where I and CP correspond to fasting (basal) serum insulin and b b outlyingness (Methods), and we analyzed the model for the C-peptide concentration, respectively, directly given by the remaining 111 subjects (47 NGT, 17 borderline type, and 47 T2DM) measurement, and X is an initial value of X to be estimated. (Supplementary Table S4). Equation 1 describes how insulin provision rate Y increases according to αβ(G − h) when G > h, and decreases with αY. This Changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral insulin means that provision of X, stored amounts of insulin and C- clearance from NGT to borderline type and T2DM peptide, depends on parameters α and β, and stimulated only We statistically compared the model parameters among the NGT, when the plasma glucose concentration exceeds the threshold borderline type, and T2DM groups (Fig. 2b and Methods). Four of value, h, which corresponds to FPG. the nine parameters, k , k , h, and X , were significantly Equation 2 describes how X increases according to the provision Iout ratio b different. rate Y and decreases according to the insulin and C-peptide The parameter k is the degradation rate of serum insulin and secretion v . v is X secreted at the rate m when G > h. Since Iout CPin CPin corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance. The value of k in X , which is the initial value of X, relates to the insulin and C- Iout the NGT subjects was higher than that in the borderline type and peptide secretion when G > h for the first time during hypergly- T2DM subjects (Fig. 2c), indicating that peripheral clearance cemic clamp, X is responsible for the first-phase secretion. decreases in development of glucose intolerance, which is Equation 3 describes how serum insulin concentration I 30,40 consistent with previous studies. increases according to the post-hepatic insulin delivery, k · ratio The parameter k is the ratio of post-hepatic insulin to C- , and decreases according to peripheral insulin clearance v . ratio CPin Iout I also increases according to infused insulin, influx. k · v is peptide, and (1 − k ) corresponds to the insulin extracted by ratio ratio CPin the liver, that is, hepatic insulin clearance. The value of (1 − k ) expanded as k · m · X, which corresponds to insulin delivered ratio ratio into peripheral circulation after passage through the liver when G in the NGT subjects was lower than that in the borderline type and > h. The parameter k is the molar ratio of post-hepatic insulin T2DM subjects (Fig. 2c), indicating the increase of hepatic insulin ratio clearance in the borderline type and T2DM subjects. This is to C-peptide, which represents the fraction of insulin delivered to the peripheral circulation without being extracted by the liver. consistent with an earlier clinical observation. Given that C-peptide is not extracted by the liver, k can The parameter h is the threshold of plasma glucose concentra- ratio represent the remaining fraction of insulin after the extraction by tion for the insulin secretion and corresponds to FPG. This the liver over the total amount of secreted insulin, and ranges parameter in the T2DM subjects was significantly higher than that from 0 to 1. Therefore, (1 − k ) represents the fraction of insulin in the NGT subjects (Fig. 2b), consistent with the fact that FPG is ratio 9,10 extracted by the liver and not delivered to the peripheral higher in T2DM. circulation and corresponds to hepatic insulin clearance; influx is The parameter X is the initial value of X, which corresponds to the insulin infusion rate during hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic the stored amounts of insulin and C-peptide or β-cell masses clamp. The infusion rate at time t is represented by the function before the start of the hyperglycemic clamp. This parameter in the f(t) (Methods). v represents serum insulin degradation with the T2DM subjects was significantly lower than that in the NGT Iout rate parameter k . Therefore, k represents insulin degradation subjects (Fig. 2b), consistent with observations that β-cell masses Iout Iout 42–44 in the periphery and corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance. and stored insulin decrease in T2DM patients. Equation 4 describes how serum C-peptide concentration CP Using the same clamp data, we previously showed that insulin 14,30 increases according to the C-peptide secretion v and decreases secretion decreases from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. In CPin according to peripheral C-peptide clearance v . v is C- this study, however, the parameters α and β, related to insulin CPout CPin peptide secreted and delivered to peripheral serum without secretion, did not show any significant differences among the hepatic clearance. v represents serum C-peptide degradation NGT, borderline type, and T2DM subjects, possibly because CPout with the rate parameter k . previously defined insulin secretion is described by insulin CPout npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 2 Mathematical model of serum insulin and C-peptide. a The structure of the model (see also Eqs. 1–4 and Model VI in Supplementary Figure S2). I and CP are serum insulin and C-peptide concentration, respectively. X is the amount of stored insulin and C-peptide, and Y is the provision rate controlled by plasma glucose concentration, G. Arrows indicate fluxes with corresponding parameters (red). b The estimated parameters for the NGT (green), borderline type (red), and T2DM (blue) subjects. Each dot corresponds to the indicated parameter for an individual subject. c The parameters of k and (1 − k ), corresponding to peripheral and hepatic insulin clearance, respectively. *P < 0.05, Iout ratio **P < 0.01, NS not significant (two-sided Wilcoxon rank sum test with FDR-correction). Post-hoc statistical power analysis is shown in Supplementary Table S5. The bar and error bar show the median and lower and upper quartiles, respectively. Each dot corresponds to the indicated parameter for an individual subject secretion and delivery in this model, which depends on other finding that peripheral insulin clearance is highly correlated with parameters such as h, m, X , and k , and the parameters ISI and MCR. k is the degradation rate of serum insulin, which Iout b ratio depends on the number of insulin receptors on target tissues, involved in insulin secretion and delivery are too diverse. indicating that serum insulin degradation and insulin sensitivity The parameters k , k , k , h, and X show smaller ratio Iout CPout b are mutually correlated. Therefore, it is reasonable that k is variations than others (Fig. 2b). This is probably because Iout correlated not only with MCR but also with ISI. these parameters are directly related to the measured concentra- The model parameter showing the highest correlation with tions of serum insulin and C-peptide and plasma glucose, and insulin secretion during the first phase, AUC (see Methods), therefore can be accurately estimated, whereas other parameters IRI10 which is the index of insulin secretion, was k (r = 0.425, P < ratio are not, resulting in large variation possibly due to inaccurate 0.01). Note that (1 − k ) corresponds to hepatic insulin ratio estimation. clearance. Because the parameter k is the fraction of insulin ratio remaining after the hepatic extraction, its correlation with insulin Relationship between hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance secretion is reasonable. parameters and clinical indices of serum insulin regulation In addition, the model parameter showing the highest We examined the correlation of the estimated model parameters correlation with both FPG and 2-h PG, the main indices of glucose with clinical indices of circulating insulin regulation among tolerance, was h (r = 0.448 and 0.504, respectively, both P < 0.001), 111 subjects (Fig. 3, Supplementary Table S6). The model which is the threshold glucose concentration for insulin secretion. parameter showing the highest correlation with insulin sensitivity This finding is consistent with h corresponding to FPG. The model index (ISI) and with the metabolic clearance rate (MCR), which is parameter showing the highest correlation with the clamp the index of insulin clearance (see Methods for details), was disposition index, clamp DI, which is calculated as the peripheral insulin clearance, k (r = 0.761 and 0.790, respectively, product of insulin secretion AUC and ISI and is the index of Iout IRI10 both P < 0.001). This correlation is consistent with our previous glucose tolerance, was k · k (r = 0.540, P < 0.001). ratio Iout Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 3 Model parameters showing the highest correlation with clinical indices. a Scatter plots for the indicated measured clinical indices versus the highest correlated model parameters (Supplementary Table S6). ISI insulin sensitivity index, MCR metabolic clearance rate, AUC IRI10 amount of insulin secretion during the first 10 min of hyperglycemic clamp. Each dot indicates the value of an individual subject. The correlation coefficient, r, and the P value for testing the hypothesis of no correlation are shown. The partial correlation coefficients among k , ISI, and MCR are shown in Supplementary Figure S5. b Summary of the model parameters k and k showing the highest correlation Iout Iout ratio with the indicated clinical indices Considering that k is related to post-hepatic insulin delivery, secretion. Note that the decrease in k also increases the ratio Iout and k is related to insulin sensitivity, which depends on the amplitude of I. Iout Because both k and k decreased from NGT to borderline number of insulin receptors on target organs, it is reasonable that ratio Iout type and T2DM (Fig. 2b), we examined the effect of the the product k · k shows the highest correlation with clamp ratio Iout simultaneous changes of k and k on the amplitude and ratio Iout DI, which is also the product of clinically estimated insulin transient/sustained patterns of I. When both k and k ratio Iout secretion and sensitivity. increased with the same ratio, I increased during first-phase secretion (0–10 min), whereas I decreased during second-phase Selective regulation of amplitude and temporal patterns of serum secretion (10–30 min) (Fig. 4a, right panel, red line). Thus, insulin concentration by hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance simultaneous increase of k and k results in the increase of ratio Iout Because k and k were the parameters showing the highest Iout ratio peak amplitude of I and in changes in the temporal pattern of I correlation with clinical indices of insulin sensitivity and secretion, from sustained to transient. respectively, both of which are related to the progression of We quantified the role of k and k in the peak amplitude ratio Iout glucose intolerance and T2DM, we analyzed the roles of k and ratio and temporal patterns of I.Wedefined the index ipeak k in the temporal changes of serum insulin concentration (Fig. (incremental peak) for the peak amplitude of I, and the index Iout 4). We changed the originally estimated values of k or k or iTPI (incremental transient peak index; modified from Kubota ratio Iout −1 1 46 both by 2 to 2 times and simulated the time course of I, serum et al. ) for the temporal pattern of I (Fig. 4b), as follows: insulin concentration, during hyperglycemic clamp for each ipeak ¼ ItðÞ IðÞ 0 ; ItðÞ>IðÞ t ; (5) local max local max local max next subject (Supplementary Figure S6). Similar temporal changes of I versus changes in the parameters were observed in all 111 sub- Iðt ÞIðt Þ local max local min iTPI ¼ ; jects, so only the simulation result of subject #3 (NGT) is shown ipeak (6) (Fig. 4a). Iðt Þ<Iðt Þ; t >t ; local min local min next local min local max The time course of I with the original parameters in the model where I(t) represents I at time t, t is the time at which I local_max of subject #3 showed the transient increase (Fig. 4a, black line). As stops increasing for the first time from 0 min, t is the local_max_next k increased, I increased without changing the transient pattern ratio next sampling time of t , t is the time at which I local_max local_min (Fig. 4a, left panel, red line). Indeed, an increase of k affects the ratio stops decreasing for the first time after t , and t local_max local_min_next value of I similarly at any time point, because k controls the ratio is the next sampling time of t . local_min gain of time derivative of I.As k increased, I decreased and the Iout The index ipeak is the difference in I between the local temporal pattern became more transient with an earlier peak time maximum I(t ) and the initial fasting concentration I(0) and local_max (Fig. 4a, middle panel, red line). Conversely, as k decreased, I Iout represents the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase increased and the temporal pattern became more sustained with secretion. The index iTPI is the ratio of the difference of I between a delayed peak time (Fig. 4a, middle panel, blue line). This result the local maximum I(t ) and the local minimum I(t ) local_max local_min suggests that k controls the shift in the temporal patterns of I Iout of I against ipeak, which reflects the ratio of I during the first- and from transient to sustained. These changes in the temporal second-phase secretions. As iTPI approaches 1, the difference in I pattern of I are characterized by a relative decrease in the first- between the first- and second-phase secretions becomes larger, phase secretion and relative increase in the second-phase meaning that the temporal change of I becomes more transient. npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Fig. 4 The roles of k and k in the amplitude and temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration. a Simulated time course of serum ratio Iout insulin concentration I during hyperglycemic clamp of subject #3 by changing k or k or both by scaling the fitted parameter value with ratio Iout −1.0 −0.5 0.5 1.0 2 ,2 ,1,2 , and 2 (see Methods). Dotted arrows indicate the direction of the change in the temporal pattern as the parameter increases. b The definition of ipeak (incremental peak) and iTPI (incremental transient peak index), reflecting the peak amplitude and the temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration I. c ipeak and iTPI of I of subject #3 by changing k or k or both ratio Iout Conversely, as iTPI approaches 0, the difference in I between the first- and second-phase secretions becomes smaller, meaning that the temporal change of I becomes more sustained. We calculated ipeak and iTPI from the simulated time courses of −1 I by changing the original estimates of k or k or both by 2 ratio Iout to 2 times. As k increased, ipeak increased but iTPI did not ratio change (Fig. 4c, left panel), indicating that increasing k ratio increases the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase secretion without changing its temporal pattern. As k increased, iTPI Iout increased and ipeak decreased (Fig. 4c, middle panel), indicating that increasing k changes the temporal patterns of I from Iout sustained to transient and decreases the peak amplitude of I during the first-phase secretion. When both k and k increased at the same ratio, both ratio Iout ipeak and iTPI increased (Fig. 4c, right panel), indicating that increasing both k and k increases the peak amplitude of I ratio Iout and changes the temporal pattern from sustained to transient. The increase in ipeak means that the effect of k , which increases ratio ipeak, is stronger than that of k , which decreases ipeak. Given Iout that both k and k decrease from NGT to borderline type and ratio Iout T2DM, both ipeak and iTPI decrease (Fig. 5). This finding is consistent with earlier clinical observations that the peak amplitude of circulating insulin concentration during the first- phase secretion decreases and the temporal pattern becomes 2–4 more sustained during the progression of glucose intolerance. Fig. 5 Overview of our study and main results. Mathematical We performed parameter sensitivity analysis on ipeak and iTPI in modeling based on hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- the simulation for each model parameter (Table 2, Methods). We euglycemic clamp (glucose and insulin clamp) data in subjects compared the median of the parameter for all 111 subjects as the showed changes in opposite direction of hepatic and peripheral parameter sensitivity index (Table 2). For ipeak, the k had the ratio insulin clearance from NGT to T2DM. Hepatic insulin clearance (1 significantly highest median, and for iTPI, k showed the Iout −k ) increases and peripheral insulin clearance k decreases, ratio Iout significantly highest median, indicating that hepatic insulin characterizing the decrease in peak amplitude and the change in the temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration from transient clearance and peripheral insulin clearance are the most critical to sustained, respectively parameters controlling the peak amplitude and temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. The measured temporal changes of the serum insulin concen- tration during hyperglycemic clamp (0–90 min) showed no clear suggesting that hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance are not difference between the NGT and borderline type subjects (Fig. 1). the only parameters responsible for the peak amplitude and However, the estimated k and k in the NGT subjects were temporal patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. ratio Iout significantly higher than those in the borderline type subjects, Other parameters such as insulin secretion, which also affects the Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. Table 2. Parameter sensitivity analysis for ipeak and iTPI Rank ipeak iTPI Median P Median P −1 1 k 1.00 k 4.64 × 10 ratio Iout −1 −38 −1 −6 2 m 3.52 × 10 6.26 × 10 β −2.53 × 10 1.30 × 10 −1 −36 −1 −15 3 k −2.74 × 10 1.23 × 10 α −1.42 × 10 5.36 × 10 Iout −4 −34 −1 −7 4 h −3.64 × 10 4.04 × 10 h 1.38 × 10 8.70 × 10 −4 −36 −2 −9 5 β 2.59 × 10 1.23 × 10 m 7.18 × 10 2.56 × 10 −4 −36 −15 −35 6 α 1.61 × 10 1.23 × 10 k 8.28 × 10 2.62 × 10 ratio Medians of the indicated parameters for all 111 subjects were used for parameter sensitivity analysis for ipeak and iTPI (see Methods). The higher the absolute value of the parameter, the higher the sensitivity. P values relative to the median for the top-ranked parameter were determined by two-sided Wilcoxon rank –3 sum test, and the value of <4.17 × 10 (=0.05/12, corrected by the number of tests, divided by 12) is considered statistically significant temporal changes of serum insulin concentration, may compen- clearance and the temporal pattern changes from transient to sate for the temporal changes by insulin clearance between the sustained occur because of a decrease in peripheral insulin NGT and borderline type subjects. This also means that changes in clearance (Fig. 5). Importantly, the decrease in peripheral insulin the hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to clearance alone can explain only the temporal change of serum borderline type and T2DM cannot be directly assessed from the insulin concentration, not the decrease of peak amplitude. Thus, measured time course of serum insulin concentration, but must be the increase of hepatic insulin clearance and decrease of evaluated with a mathematical model. peripheral insulin clearance simultaneously cause the decrease From Eq. 3, the parameter k directly reflects post-hepatic in the peak amplitude of serum insulin concentration during the ratio insulin delivery and is involved in the increase in gain of I. first-phase secretion and change in temporal pattern from Therefore, the change of k is directly reflected in the peak transient to sustained. Our result demonstrates that, in addition ratio 3,4 amplitude, so the sensitivity to ipeak becomes 1. This means that to the decrease in insulin secretion, the increase in hepatic hepatic insulin clearance is more responsible for the peak clearance also contributes to the decrease in peak amplitude of amplitude of serum insulin concentration than the pre-hepatic serum insulin concentration in the first-phase secretion from NGT insulin secretion before extraction by the liver. to borderline type and T2DM. The parameter k corresponds to peripheral insulin clearance In our model, as k , the ratio of post-hepatic insulin compared Iout ratio and is the degradation rate of I, meaning that k is the time to C-peptide, increased, ipeak, the peak amplitude of peripheral Iout constant of serum insulin degradation. k is the parameter insulin concentration, increased (Fig. 4c). According to clinical Iout directly responsible for temporal conversion of input X, delivered measurements, k was also correlated with ipeak calculated ratio insulin after the extraction by the liver, into output, I. Thus, k is directly from the serum insulin concentration measured during Iout the first-phase secretion in hyperglycemic clamp (Supplementary the most sensitive parameter for iTPI corresponding to the shift Figure S8a, r = 0.423, P < 0.001), indicating that hepatic insulin between the transient and sustained temporal pattern of serum insulin concentration. clearance is pathologically correlated with the peak amplitude in the first-phase secretion from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. On the other hand, in our model, as k , the peripheral insulin Iout DISCUSSION clearance, increased, iTPI, representing the temporal pattern of We developed several alternative mathematical models using peripheral insulin concentration, increased (Fig. 4c). However, in concentrations of plasma glucose, serum insulin, and C-peptide clinical measurements, k was not highly correlated with iTPI Iout during consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- calculated directly from the serum insulin concentration measured euglycemic clamps, and selected the model showing the best fit during hyperglycemic clamp (Supplementary Figure S8a, r = for most subjects. Although Model VI was selected for 76 of 0.297, P < 0.01). The reason for this lack of correlation between 121 subjects, 45 subjects were not optimal for Model VI. This k and iTPI in clinical measurement remains unclear; however, it Iout suggests that some of the parameters of Model VI were may be because little insulin was secreted during hyperglycemic unnecessary in subjects whose selected model is Model I, II, IV, clamp in some borderline type and T2DM subjects, and iTPI or V by comparing the structure with Model VI. However, no cannot be estimated accurately because of low concentration of parameter of Model VI showed significant difference between serum insulin. subjects who selected Model I, II, IV,or V and subjects who Many studies have shown that insulin clearance decreases in 18–21,47,48 selected Model VI (Supplementary Figure S7), suggesting that T2DM patients. However, the change in hepatic insulin there is no biased feature on the structure of the control of clearance in this condition has been controversial, with some circulating insulin concentration in subjects who were not optimal studies finding an increase in T2DM subjects and others a 18,23 for Model VI, and Model VI can be applied to all subjects. decrease. We previously developed a mathematical model During the progression of glucose intolerance, it has been using data gathered during hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- shown that the peak amplitude of circulating insulin concentra- euglycemic clamps, and peripheral insulin clearance significantly tion during the first-phase secretion decreases and the temporal decreased from NGT to borderline type to T2DM. However, 2–4 pattern becomes more sustained. In this study, we found that hepatic and peripheral insulin clearances were not estimated both k , corresponding to peripheral insulin clearance, and k separately because we did not use C-peptide data. Recently, Iout ratio decrease from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. Given that (1 − Polidori et al. estimated both hepatic and peripheral insulin k ), corresponding to hepatic insulin clearance, increases as the clearance by modeling analysis using plasma insulin and C- ratio k decreases, our finding strongly suggests that, from NGT to peptide concentrations obtained from the insulin-modified ratio borderline type and T2DM, the peak amplitude of serum insulin frequently sampled IVGTT. They found that the peripheral insulin concentration decreases due to the increase in hepatic insulin clearance significantly decreased in borderline type subjects npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. compared with NGT subjects, whereas hepatic insulin clearance circulating insulin concentration selectively regulate insulin did not significantly differ between the borderline type and NGT actions on the target tissues. Given that hepatic and peripheral subjects ; the former finding is consistent with our result that insulin clearances are responsible for the amplitude and temporal peripheral insulin clearance decreases from NGT to borderline pattern of circulating insulin concentration, these clearances are type and T2DM. We demonstrated that hepatic insulin clearance likely to be involved in selective control of insulin action, glucose significantly increases, whereas peripheral insulin clearance homeostasis, and the pathogenesis of T2DM. significantly decreases from NGT to borderline type and T2DM. We previously developed a mathematical model for concentra- One difference between the study by Polidori et al. and our study tions of plasma glucose and serum insulin measured during is C-peptide kinetics. They used the reported two-compartment consecutive hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic model of C-peptide kinetics for calculating insulin secretion rate clamps and found significant decreases in insulin secretion, by deconvolution, while we selected the structure of C-peptide sensitivity, and peripheral insulin clearance from NGT to border- kinetics that fitted for our data, which may improve the accuracy line type to T2DM. The differences between our previous study of the parameter estimation of hepatic insulin clearance, and this study are the model structure and C-peptide data. The estimated by use of serum insulin and C-peptide concentration. previous model consisted of plasma glucose and serum insulin The increase in hepatic insulin clearance may be caused by and required only glucose and insulin infusion as inputs. The impaired suppression of endocytosis of insulin receptors on the model in this study does not have plasma glucose concentration liver, and the decrease in peripheral insulin clearance may be but includes serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations, while caused by a decrease of the number of insulin receptors on target plasma glucose concentration and insulin infusion are used as 45 40 tissues. Polidori et al. also found that hepatic and peripheral inputs (Fig. 2a, Supplementary Figure S2). In the previous study, insulin clearances were not highly correlated. Consistent with their only peripheral insulin clearance, but not hepatic insulin clearance, results, in our analysis, the insulin clearance parameters k and was estimated because C-peptide data were not used. The ratio k were not highly correlated (Supplementary Figure S8b, r = decrease of insulin clearance from NGT to T2DM in the previous Iout 0.296, P < 0.01), suggesting that both insulin clearances are study is consistent with the decrease of peripheral insulin independently regulated. clearance from NGT to T2DM in this study. In the previous study, We are aware that some of the results of this analysis only hold the parameter corresponding to insulin secretion in the NGT and if the parameters are identifiable based on our serum insulin and borderline type subjects was significantly higher than that in the C-peptide data. We performed 20 trials of parameter estimation T2DM subjects; however, the parameter related to insulin for each subject (Methods), but most subjects (107 subjects) had secretion did not show a significant difference between the only one trial which minimized RSS. The values of estimated NGT, borderline type, and T2DM subjects in this study, possibly parameters and RSS varied among the 20 trials of each subject. For because previously defined insulin secretion is described by the remaining four subjects, estimated parameters varied among insulin secretion and delivery in this model, and the parameters trials that returned the same RSS, especially the parameters α and related to insulin secretion and delivery (α, β, h, m, X , and k ) b ratio β differed to a large extent, while the parameters k and k are too diversified. The parameter corresponding to insulin Iout ratio did not largely differ (Supplementary Figure S9). If the number of sensitivity was not incorporated in this study. estimated trials, parents, and generations of evolutionary pro- Many mathematical models to reproduce circulating C-peptide gramming increases, a trial that gives a different parameter concentration have been developed. A two-compartment model solution with smaller RSS than that reported in this study might be for C-peptide kinetics was originally proposed. A combined obtained. Structural or a priori identifiability of parameters based model that included both circulating insulin and C-peptide on the system equations, which tests if model parameters can kinetics described by a single compartment structure was be determined from the available data, was not performed in this introduced to estimate hepatic insulin clearance. The C- study. Large variability in the fitted parameters, like for instance in peptide minimal model describing peripheral insulin and C- α and β, could be due to the identifiability of the parameters and peptide appearance and kinetics was also developed to assess 33–37 not due to biological variance, and interpretation of the results has hepatic insulin clearance, and several other model structures 38,39 to take this into account. for circulating C-peptide concentration were reported. One Insulin selectively regulates various functions, such as signaling difference between others’ and our studies is the experimental activities, metabolic control, and gene expression, depending on protocol in which data were applied to parameter estimation. its temporal patterns. For example, we previously reported that IVGTT or hyperglycemic clamp were performed for parameter pulse stimulation of insulin in rat hepatoma Fao cells, resembling estimation in models of circulating C-peptide concentration, the first-phase secretion, selectively regulated glycogen synthase whereas we used hyperglycemic and hyperinsulinemic- kinase-3β (GSK3β), which regulates glycogenesis, and S6 kinase, euglycemic clamps, which may improve the accuracy of the which regulates protein synthesis, whereas ramp stimulation of parameter estimation of peripheral insulin clearance, k . Iout insulin, resembling the second-phase secretion, selectively regu- Recently, a model of plasma insulin concentration including lated GSK3β and glucose-6-phosphatase (G6Pase), which regulates hepatic and peripheral insulin clearance and the delivery of insulin gluconeogenesis. We also found that insulin-dependent meta- from the systemic circulation to the liver during the insulin- bolic control and gene expression are selectively regulated by modified IVGTT was proposed. In that model, the parameter of 50,51 temporal patterns and doses of insulin in FAO cells. Sustained hepatic insulin clearance was negatively correlated with acute stimulation of insulin suppressed the expression of insulin insulin secretion in response to glucose, and the parameter of 52–54 receptors, leading to reduced insulin sensitivity in FAO cells. peripheral insulin clearance was correlated with insulin sensitiv- Likewise, phosphorylation of the insulin receptor substrate (IRS)-1/ ity, consistent with the results in this study (Fig. 3). Since the age 2 in rat liver increased when pulsatile (rather than continuous) of subjects in our study differed between groups with NGT, stimulation of insulin was imposed in the portal circulation. This borderline type, and T2DM (Supplementary Table S4), the may have occurred through the negative feedback within the correlations between the parameters and clinical indices may be insulin signaling pathway, the phosphatidylinositide (PI) 3-kinase/ affected by age. However, the parameters showing the highest 53,56 Alt pathway, targeting IRS-1/2. In addition, IRS-2, rather than correlation with clinical indices of insulin secretion, AUC , IRI10 IRS-1, mainly regulates hepatic gluconeogenesis through its rapid insulin sensitivity, ISI, and insulin clearance, MCR, were not downregulation by insulin, suggesting the selective roles of IRS- changed with conditioning of age (Supplementary Table S7). 1/2 in response to temporal patterns of plasma insulin. These The high correlation between the parameter of hepatic insulin findings indicate that the amplitude and temporal pattern of clearance, k , and the clinical index of insulin secretion, AUC , ratio IRI10 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. suggests the possibility that hepatic insulin clearance considerably models, I represents serum insulin concentration (pM), and CP and CP represent serum C-peptide concentration (pM) including insulin and C- affects the clinical index of insulin secretion measured by peptide secretion and hepatic and peripheral clearance. We used a peripheral insulin concentration because the clinical index of conversion factor of insulin (6.00 nmol/U) and the molecular weights of insulin secretion, AUC , was measured by the post-hepatic IRI10 glucose (180.16 g/mol) and C-peptide (3020.3 g/mol) to convert the unit of insulin delivery, and therefore reflects both insulin secretion and serum insulin, plasma glucose, and serum C-peptide, respectively. We used hepatic insulin clearance. This suggests that insulin secretion plasma glucose concentration G (mM) as input in the models, which was per se in the clinical index of insulin secretion may be determined by stepwise interpolation of the measured plasma glucose overestimated because of the involvement of hepatic insulin data. Note that plasma glucose data were obtained as the 5-min average clearance. Further study is necessary to address this issue. values, and each sampling time was reduced by 2 min in the calculation of In conclusion, using the mathematical model for serum insulin stepwise interpolation. The actual insulin infusion rate (IIR, mU/kg/min) was converted to the and C-peptide concentrations during consecutive hyperglycemic corresponding serum concentrations (cIIR) as follows: and hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps, we determined the quantitative structure of the control of circulating insulin IIR ðmU=kg=minÞ 6:00  10 ðpmol=mUÞ (7) cIIRðÞ pM=min¼ ; concentration. The estimated model parameters revealed the 3 BV  10 increase of hepatic insulin clearance and decrease of peripheral where BV denotes blood volume (75 and 65 mL/kg for men and women, insulin clearance from NGT to borderline type and T2DM, and respectively ). these changes selectively regulate the amplitude and temporal In the models, insulin infusions are represented by influx. This flux patterns of serum insulin concentration, respectively. The changes follows the nonlinear function f that predicts insulin infusion concentra- tions. Given that insulin infusion was performed only during the in opposite direction of both types of clearance shed light on the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic (from 100 to 220 min) clamp, the function f pathological mechanism underlying the abnormal temporal was given by the following equations: patterns of circulating insulin concentration from NGT to border- line type and T2DM. 0 ðt  100Þ fðtÞ¼ ; (8) ii  expðii ðt  100ÞÞ þ ii ðt>100Þ 1 2 3 where the parameters ii (j = 1, 2, 3) are estimated to reproduce cIIR for MATERIALS AND METHODS j each subject with a nonlinear least squares technique. Parameters for all Subjects and measurements subjects are shown in Supplementary Table S9. The plasma and serum measurement data originated from our previous 14,30 research. This metabolic analysis was approved by the ethics Parameter estimation committee of Kobe University Hospital and was registerd with the University hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000002359), and The model parameters for each subject were estimated to reproduce the written informed consent was obtained from all subjects. In brief, 50 NGT, experimentally measured time course by a meta-evolutionary program- 18 borderline type, and 53 T2DM subjects underwent the consecutive ming method to approach the neighborhood of the local minimum, clamp analyses. From 0 to 90 min, a hyperglycemic clamp was applied by followed by application of the nonlinear least squares technique to reach 2 61 intravenous infusion of a bolus of glucose (9622 mg/m ) within 15 min the local minimum. Each parameter was estimated in the range from −6 4 followed by that of a variable amount of glucose to maintain the plasma 10 to 10 . For these methods, the model parameters were estimated to glucose level at 200 mg/dL. Ten minutes after the end of the minimize the objective function value, which is defined as the RSS between the actual time course obtained by clamp analyses and the hyperglycemic clamp, a 120-min hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was model trajectories. RSS is given by: initiated by intravenous infusion of human regular insulin (Humulin R, Eli Lilly Japan K.K.) at a rate of 40 mU/m /min and with a target plasma 2 2 X X IðtÞ I ðtÞ CPðtÞ CP ðtÞ sim sim glucose level of 90 mg/dL. For the NGT and borderline type subjects whose RSS ¼ þ ; (9) I CP plasma glucose levels were <90 mg/dL, the plasma glucose concentration mean mean points points was clamped at the fasting level. We measured the plasma glucose level where every 1 min during the clamp analyses and obtained the 5-min average P P values. We also measured insulin and C-peptide level in serum samples IðtÞ points collected at 5, 10, 15, 60, 75, 90, 100, 190, and 220 min after the onset of subjects I ¼ ; (10) mean the tests. First-phase insulin secretion during the hyperglycemic clamp was points subjects defined as the incremental area under the immunoreactive insulin (IRI) concentration curve (μU/mL/min) from 0 to 10 min (AUC ). The ISI IRI10 P P derived from the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp was calculated by CPðtÞ subjects points dividing the mean glucose infusion rate during the final 30 min of the CP ¼ : (11) mean points clamp (mg/kg/min) by both the plasma glucose (mg/dL) and serum insulin subjects (μU/mL) levels at the end of the clamp and then multiplying the result by 100. A clamp-based analog of the disposition index, the clamp disposition I(t) and CP(t) are the serum insulin and C-peptide concentration, and index (clamp DI), was calculated as the product of AUC and ISI, as IRI10 I (t) and CP (t) are simulated serum insulin and C-peptide concentra- sim sim 14 13 described previously. The MCR, an index of insulin clearance, was tions at t min, respectively. Serum insulin and C-peptide concentrations calculated by dividing the insulin infusion rate at the steady state were normalized by dividing them by the averages of serum concentra- (1.46 mU/kg/min) by the increase in insulin concentration above the basal tions over all time points of all subjects of insulin (I , 302.7 pM) and C- mean level in the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp : 1.46 (mU/kg/min) × peptide (CP , 1475 pM), respectively. The numbers of parents and mean body weight (kg) × body surface area (m ) / (end IRI− fasting IRI) (μU/mL), generations in the meta-evolutionary programming were 400 and 4000, 1/2 where body surface area is defined as (body weight (kg)) × (body height respectively. Parameter estimation was tried 20 times by changing the 1/2 (cm)) / 60 (Mosteller formula). Since this study is a retrospective analysis initial parameter values for each subject, and the parameter with the of previously collected data, randomization and blinding of the groups smallest RSS among 20 trials was taken as the estimated solution of each with NGT, borderline type, and T2DM was not performed. The actual data subject. Model parameters for all subjects are shown in Supplementary for all 121 subjects are shown in Supplementary Figure S10 and Table S9. Supplementary Table S8. Model selection Mathematical models The model was chosen among the six models according to the AIC. For a We developed six mathematical models based on the proposed models in given model and a single subject, AIC was calculated as follows: order to choose the best model for reproducing our measurement of 2π  RSS serum insulin and C-peptide during consecutive hyperglycemic and AIC ¼ n ln þ n þ 2K ; (12) hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamps (Supplementary Figure S2). In these npj Systems Biology and Applications (2018) 14 Published in partnership with the Systems Biology Institute Increase in hepatic and decrease in peripheral K Ohashi et al. where n is the total number of sampling time points of serum insulin and REFERENCES C-peptide, and K is the number of estimated parameters of the model. 1. DeFronzo, R. A., Bonadonna, R. C. & Ferrannini, E. Pathogenesis of NIDDM. A balanced overview. Diabetes Care 15, 318–368 (1992). 2. Cerasi, E. & Luft, R. The plasma insulin response to glucose infusion in healthy Determination of parameter outliers subjects and in diabetes mellitus. 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