On the basis of the radiation-cloudiness model and the available long-term satellite data, we study the correlations of the greenhouse effect with the surface temperature of air and effective cloudiness equal to the product of the cloud amount by the conditional optical density of the clouds. We deduce the relations of satellite monitoring of the behavior of the anomalies of global air temperature caused by the excess amounts of volcanic products and greenhouse gases (formed as a result combustion of the fossil fuel) in the atmosphere. Realistic estimates of the processes of cooling and warming of the currently existing climate are obtained. Under the condition of preservation of the existing linear trends in the behaviors of the short-and long-wave flows of radiation into the outer space (observed according to satellite data for the last 20 yr), the global temperature in the second part of the current century can increase by 1.6–2.0°C.
Physical Oceanography – Springer Journals
Published: Feb 23, 2006
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