Financial distress prediction based on SVM and MDA methods: the case of Chinese listed companies

Financial distress prediction based on SVM and MDA methods: the case of Chinese listed companies How to accurately predict financial distress is an important issue for enterprise managers, investors, creditors and supervisors. In this paper we develop SVM models (Support Vector Machine) and MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) models, using Chinese listed companies as our sample. The empirical results show that the prediction ability of SVM models outperforms the MDA models. Additionally, internal governance and external market variables, as well as macroeconomic variables are added as the predictive variables. The results indicate that these variables have theoretical and empirical linkage with the financial distress of Chinese listed companies. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Quality & Quantity Springer Journals

Financial distress prediction based on SVM and MDA methods: the case of Chinese listed companies

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2010 by Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
Subject
Social Sciences; Methodology of the Social Sciences; Social Sciences, general
ISSN
0033-5177
eISSN
1573-7845
D.O.I.
10.1007/s11135-010-9376-y
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

How to accurately predict financial distress is an important issue for enterprise managers, investors, creditors and supervisors. In this paper we develop SVM models (Support Vector Machine) and MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) models, using Chinese listed companies as our sample. The empirical results show that the prediction ability of SVM models outperforms the MDA models. Additionally, internal governance and external market variables, as well as macroeconomic variables are added as the predictive variables. The results indicate that these variables have theoretical and empirical linkage with the financial distress of Chinese listed companies.

Journal

Quality & QuantitySpringer Journals

Published: Oct 18, 2010

References

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