Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North Aegean Trough (Greece)

Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North... JSeismol https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-018-9763-8 ORIGINAL ARTICLE Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North Aegean Trough (Greece) Christos Kourouklas & Eleftheria Papadimitriou & George Tsaklidis & Vassilios Karakostas Received: 26 September 2017 /Accepted: 21 May 2018 Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature 2018, corrected publication June 2018 Abstract The determination of strong earthquakes’ re- for magnitude completeness. Two possible starting currence time above a predefined magnitude, associated dates of the catalog are assumed with the same magni- with specific fault segments, is an important component tude threshold, M ≥ 6.5 and divided into five data sets, of seismic hazard assessment. The occurrence of these according to a new segmentation model for the study earthquakes is neither periodic nor completely random area. Three Brownian Passage Time (BPT) models with but often clustered in time. This fact in connection with different levels of aperiodicity are applied and evaluat- their limited number, due to shortage of the available ed with the Anderson–Darling test for each segment in catalogs, inhibits a deterministic approach for recur- both catalog data where possible. The preferable rence time calculation, and for this reason, application models are then used in order to estimate the http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of Seismology Springer Journals

Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North Aegean Trough (Greece)

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Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright
Copyright © 2018 by Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature
Subject
Earth Sciences; Geophysics/Geodesy; Structural Geology; Hydrogeology; Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
ISSN
1383-4649
eISSN
1573-157X
D.O.I.
10.1007/s10950-018-9763-8
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

JSeismol https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-018-9763-8 ORIGINAL ARTICLE Earthquake recurrence models and occurrence probabilities of strong earthquakes in the North Aegean Trough (Greece) Christos Kourouklas & Eleftheria Papadimitriou & George Tsaklidis & Vassilios Karakostas Received: 26 September 2017 /Accepted: 21 May 2018 Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature 2018, corrected publication June 2018 Abstract The determination of strong earthquakes’ re- for magnitude completeness. Two possible starting currence time above a predefined magnitude, associated dates of the catalog are assumed with the same magni- with specific fault segments, is an important component tude threshold, M ≥ 6.5 and divided into five data sets, of seismic hazard assessment. The occurrence of these according to a new segmentation model for the study earthquakes is neither periodic nor completely random area. Three Brownian Passage Time (BPT) models with but often clustered in time. This fact in connection with different levels of aperiodicity are applied and evaluat- their limited number, due to shortage of the available ed with the Anderson–Darling test for each segment in catalogs, inhibits a deterministic approach for recur- both catalog data where possible. The preferable rence time calculation, and for this reason, application models are then used in order to estimate the

Journal

Journal of SeismologySpringer Journals

Published: Jun 4, 2018

References

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