Convertible Preferred Stock Valuation: Tests of Alternative Models

Convertible Preferred Stock Valuation: Tests of Alternative Models We undertake a comprehensive test of several contingent claim valuation models adapted to callable, convertible preferred stocks employing a sample of 24 issues and over 27,000 daily price observations. To our knowledge, no large-scale tests of these models have been published. The most complete model tested is an extension of the 1970s developments of Ingersoll and of Brennan and Schwartz, allowing for realistic contract features including delayed callability and nonconstant call prices. The mean and the mean absolute pricing errors are approximately −0.18 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively, and this model fits the data substantially better than the simpler alternatives that ignore such features. Thus, the added computational complexity required for the most complete model examined is evidently merited. Moreover, to the extent that the most complete model accurately mirrors reality, the evidence suggests that investors rationally account for many of the complex features imbedded in typical contracts. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Springer Journals

Convertible Preferred Stock Valuation: Tests of Alternative Models

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Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Finance; Corporate Finance; Accounting/Auditing; Econometrics; Operation Research/Decision Theory
ISSN
0924-865X
eISSN
1573-7179
D.O.I.
10.1023/A:1008205802071
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

We undertake a comprehensive test of several contingent claim valuation models adapted to callable, convertible preferred stocks employing a sample of 24 issues and over 27,000 daily price observations. To our knowledge, no large-scale tests of these models have been published. The most complete model tested is an extension of the 1970s developments of Ingersoll and of Brennan and Schwartz, allowing for realistic contract features including delayed callability and nonconstant call prices. The mean and the mean absolute pricing errors are approximately −0.18 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively, and this model fits the data substantially better than the simpler alternatives that ignore such features. Thus, the added computational complexity required for the most complete model examined is evidently merited. Moreover, to the extent that the most complete model accurately mirrors reality, the evidence suggests that investors rationally account for many of the complex features imbedded in typical contracts.

Journal

Review of Quantitative Finance and AccountingSpringer Journals

Published: Oct 6, 2004

References

  • Convertible Bonds: Valuation and Optimal Strategies for Call and Conversion
    Brennan, M.; Schwartz, E.
  • An Analysis of Convertible Debentures
    Brigham, E.

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