Behind the Jokowi’s victory: did economic voting matter in the 2014 Indonesian presidential election?

Behind the Jokowi’s victory: did economic voting matter in the 2014 Indonesian presidential... The 2014 presidential election marked Indonesia’s transition into a mature democratic Islamic country. Joko Widodo, known as Jokowi, was inaugurated as Indonesia’s seventh president, defeated Prabowo Subianto by a margin of 53.1–46.9%, respectively. In the absence of an incumbent, voters evaluated both presidential candidates based on a mix of prospective and retrospective economic performance. This study merges data from the Village Potential Census (PODES) and the crowdsource data (Kawal Pemilu) from vote recap to investigate the existence of economic voting and the effect of socioeconomic conditions at the village level on voting behavior. Our study confirmed that economic access, conditions of infrastructure, and middle-class group played major roles in the Jokowi victory. The middle class tended to choose Jokowi, because his ideology best matched their own. Moreover, social cleavages related to religion and ethnicity are still dominant as villages with a Muslim majority tended to choose Prabowo that was associated with an Islamic representative. Unfortunately, media and black campaigns also significantly influenced voters’ decisions. This evidence provides valuable lessons learned for Indonesians in preparing for a better 2019 presidential election. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science Springer Journals

Behind the Jokowi’s victory: did economic voting matter in the 2014 Indonesian presidential election?

Loading next page...
 
/lp/springer_journal/behind-the-jokowi-s-victory-did-economic-voting-matter-in-the-2014-NTX62E03JW
Publisher
Springer Singapore
Copyright
Copyright © 2018 by The Japan Section of the Regional Science Association International
Subject
Economics; Regional/Spatial Science; Asian Economics; Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods
ISSN
2509-7946
eISSN
2509-7954
D.O.I.
10.1007/s41685-018-0083-3
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The 2014 presidential election marked Indonesia’s transition into a mature democratic Islamic country. Joko Widodo, known as Jokowi, was inaugurated as Indonesia’s seventh president, defeated Prabowo Subianto by a margin of 53.1–46.9%, respectively. In the absence of an incumbent, voters evaluated both presidential candidates based on a mix of prospective and retrospective economic performance. This study merges data from the Village Potential Census (PODES) and the crowdsource data (Kawal Pemilu) from vote recap to investigate the existence of economic voting and the effect of socioeconomic conditions at the village level on voting behavior. Our study confirmed that economic access, conditions of infrastructure, and middle-class group played major roles in the Jokowi victory. The middle class tended to choose Jokowi, because his ideology best matched their own. Moreover, social cleavages related to religion and ethnicity are still dominant as villages with a Muslim majority tended to choose Prabowo that was associated with an Islamic representative. Unfortunately, media and black campaigns also significantly influenced voters’ decisions. This evidence provides valuable lessons learned for Indonesians in preparing for a better 2019 presidential election.

Journal

Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional ScienceSpringer Journals

Published: May 21, 2018

References

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 18 million articles from more than
15,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Search

Query the DeepDyve database, plus search all of PubMed and Google Scholar seamlessly

Organize

Save any article or search result from DeepDyve, PubMed, and Google Scholar... all in one place.

Access

Get unlimited, online access to over 18 million full-text articles from more than 15,000 scientific journals.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

DeepDyve

Freelancer

DeepDyve

Pro

Price

FREE

$49/month
$360/year

Save searches from
Google Scholar,
PubMed

Create lists to
organize your research

Export lists, citations

Read DeepDyve articles

Abstract access only

Unlimited access to over
18 million full-text articles

Print

20 pages / month

PDF Discount

20% off