Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia: A Bottom-Up Default Analysis

Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia: A Bottom-Up Default Analysis Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Springer Journals

Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia: A Bottom-Up Default Analysis

Loading next page...
 
/lp/springer_journal/assessing-corporate-vulnerabilities-in-indonesia-a-bottom-up-default-VpOtIWRvj3
Publisher
Springer Japan
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 by Springer Japan KK
Subject
Finance; Finance, general; Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics; International Economics; Econometrics; Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods
ISSN
1387-2834
eISSN
1573-6946
D.O.I.
10.1007/s10690-017-9233-2
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans.

Journal

Asia-Pacific Financial MarketsSpringer Journals

Published: Oct 14, 2017

References

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Unlimited reading

Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.

Stay up to date

Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.

Organize your research

It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

DeepDyve Freelancer

DeepDyve Pro

Price
FREE
$49/month

$360/year
Save searches from
Google Scholar,
PubMed
Create lists to
organize your research
Export lists, citations
Read DeepDyve articles
Abstract access only
Unlimited access to over
18 million full-text articles
Print
20 pages/month
PDF Discount
20% off