Analysts’ accrual-related over-optimism: do analyst characteristics play a role?

Analysts’ accrual-related over-optimism: do analyst characteristics play a role? Bradshaw et al. (J Acc Res 39:45–74, 2001) find that analyst forecast over-optimism is greater for firms with high accruals. This “accrual-related over-optimism” is generally interpreted as evidence that analyst forecasts do not fully incorporate predictable earnings reversals associated with high accruals. We investigate whether analyst experience, access to resources (brokerage size), and portfolio complexity moderate the relation between over-optimistic forecasts and high accruals. We demonstrate the robustness of accrual-related over-optimism to controls for cash flow and prior forecast errors. We find that accrual-related over-optimism is lower for analysts with greater general experience and for analysts following fewer firms but find only limited evidence of lower accrual-related over-optimism for analysts from larger brokerages and for analysts following fewer industries. Review of Accounting Studies Springer Journals

Analysts’ accrual-related over-optimism: do analyst characteristics play a role?

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Springer US
Copyright © 2009 by Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
Business and Management; Accounting/Auditing; Corporate Finance; Public Finance
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