An Experimental Approach to Economic Voting

An Experimental Approach to Economic Voting The relationship between economic conditions and political behavior has received great attention for several decades. While it is widely accepted that incumbents are more likely to get reelected when the economy performs better, some methodological challenges have made it difficult to test this theory on survey data. This article reports on a series of studies that manipulate individual assessments of economic conditions, and use the downstream of these experiments to identify the causal effect of those assessments on presidential approval. Our findings suggest that changes in voter’s perceptions of the economy indeed translate into substantial changes in political support for the president. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Political Behavior Springer Journals

An Experimental Approach to Economic Voting

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 by Springer Science+Business Media New York
Subject
Political Science and International Relations; Political Science; Sociology, general
ISSN
0190-9320
eISSN
1573-6687
D.O.I.
10.1007/s11109-015-9303-y
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The relationship between economic conditions and political behavior has received great attention for several decades. While it is widely accepted that incumbents are more likely to get reelected when the economy performs better, some methodological challenges have made it difficult to test this theory on survey data. This article reports on a series of studies that manipulate individual assessments of economic conditions, and use the downstream of these experiments to identify the causal effect of those assessments on presidential approval. Our findings suggest that changes in voter’s perceptions of the economy indeed translate into substantial changes in political support for the president.

Journal

Political BehaviorSpringer Journals

Published: Feb 12, 2015

References

  • The end of economic voting? Contingency dilemmas and the limits of democratic accountability
    Anderson, CJ
  • Electoral accountability: Recent theoretical and empirical work
    Ashworth, S
  • Beyond the running tally: Partisan bias in political perceptions
    Bartels, LM

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