An Empirical Analysis of the Demographic Trends in Least Developed Countries

An Empirical Analysis of the Demographic Trends in Least Developed Countries Ageing is no longer an issue belonging just to developed countries. In the present paper we examine the presence of this phenomenon and its expected evolution in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), from 1950 to 2100. The empirical work carried out sustains that LDCs are in the process of becoming ageing countries. Indeed, the old age dependency ratio in LDCs is predicted to converge towards that of the most developed countries between 2010 and 2020. Furthermore, results reveal that ageing dynamics varies according to LDCs regions, disclosing that LDCs from Asia are more likely to be ageing first. The results suggest that, unlike developed countries, LDCs will experience the process of demographic burden (ageing) before they could benefit from the demographic dividend (higher proportion of working group and lower proportion of young age group). http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Ageing International Springer Journals

An Empirical Analysis of the Demographic Trends in Least Developed Countries

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Publisher
Springer US
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 by Springer Science+Business Media New York
Subject
Social Sciences; Social Sciences, general; Aging
ISSN
0163-5158
eISSN
1936-606X
D.O.I.
10.1007/s12126-017-9283-9
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Ageing is no longer an issue belonging just to developed countries. In the present paper we examine the presence of this phenomenon and its expected evolution in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), from 1950 to 2100. The empirical work carried out sustains that LDCs are in the process of becoming ageing countries. Indeed, the old age dependency ratio in LDCs is predicted to converge towards that of the most developed countries between 2010 and 2020. Furthermore, results reveal that ageing dynamics varies according to LDCs regions, disclosing that LDCs from Asia are more likely to be ageing first. The results suggest that, unlike developed countries, LDCs will experience the process of demographic burden (ageing) before they could benefit from the demographic dividend (higher proportion of working group and lower proportion of young age group).

Journal

Ageing InternationalSpringer Journals

Published: Feb 28, 2017

References

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