A Probability Based Approach to Estimating Cost of Capital for Small Business

A Probability Based Approach to Estimating Cost of Capital for Small Business While discount rates of listed companies can be readily estimated using "betas" and the Capital Asset Pricing Model, the same is not true for small business. Entrepreneurs often have to rely on subjective assessments of the financial viability of their business ventures. This paper suggests an alternative to estimate the costs of capital for small businesses. Costs of capital are derived from the probability of success for similar business. These required rates of return can be used as minimum hurdle rates to assess the viability and profitability of the business under consideration. Since risk neutrality is assumed of investors in this approach, the costs of capital established should only be regarded as minimum returns required by risk-averse investors. Therefore, this suggested approach attempts to provide a refined "rule-of-thumb" which may be of value to small business entrepreneurs and financiers, especially when detailed accounting and financial data of similar business are not readily available. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Small Business Economics Springer Journals

A Probability Based Approach to Estimating Cost of Capital for Small Business

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Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Business and Management; Management; Microeconomics; Entrepreneurship; Industrial Organization
ISSN
0921-898X
eISSN
1573-0913
D.O.I.
10.1023/A:1008067301393
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

While discount rates of listed companies can be readily estimated using "betas" and the Capital Asset Pricing Model, the same is not true for small business. Entrepreneurs often have to rely on subjective assessments of the financial viability of their business ventures. This paper suggests an alternative to estimate the costs of capital for small businesses. Costs of capital are derived from the probability of success for similar business. These required rates of return can be used as minimum hurdle rates to assess the viability and profitability of the business under consideration. Since risk neutrality is assumed of investors in this approach, the costs of capital established should only be regarded as minimum returns required by risk-averse investors. Therefore, this suggested approach attempts to provide a refined "rule-of-thumb" which may be of value to small business entrepreneurs and financiers, especially when detailed accounting and financial data of similar business are not readily available.

Journal

Small Business EconomicsSpringer Journals

Published: Sep 30, 2004

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