New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11056-018-9648-2 Using stakeholder preferences to select native tree species for reforestation in Lebanon 1,3 1 2,3 1 Arbi J. Sarkissian · Robert M. Brook · Salma N. Talhouk · Neal Hockley Received: 11 September 2017 / Accepted: 23 May 2018 / Published online: 1 June 2018 © The Author(s) 2018 Abstract Using a diverse assemblage of suitable species for reforestation is necessary to enhance biodiversity and ensure resilient forest ecosystems. However, selection of diverse native species for reforestation is difficult, requiring consideration of the preferences of different stakeholders. In this study we identify species to be included in reforestation of an ecologically important watershed in North Lebanon based on ratings produced by stake- holders from Lebanon’s public, private and academic sectors. Twenty-two tree species being produced in Lebanese nurseries were identified as ecologically suitable by experts. Stakeholders (n = 34) were asked to rate these 22 species according to conservation priority and ecological suitability in an online survey. Although there was a high degree of vari- ability in ratings among respondents, those who identified as biodiversity-focused did not differ from those who identified as forestry-focused. Looking within the two foci, we found significant variability among forestry-focused respondents but not among biodiversity- focused respondents. Although there was no significant difference in ratings between biodi - versity- and forestry-focussed respondents, the resultant rankings differed considerably. We also found significant variability in preferences within forestry-focussed but not biodiver - sity-focussed respondents. Weighting by respondents’ knowledge of species had little effect on rankings. The variability in preferences between stakeholders, including the consider- able within-group variability we found among forestry-focused respondents, highlights the Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (https ://doi.org/10.1007/s1105 6-018-9648-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. * Arbi J. Sarkissian firstname.lastname@example.org School of Environment, Natural Resources and Geography, Bangor University, Bangor LL57 2UW, Wales, UK Faculty of Agricultural and Food Sciences, American University of Beirut, Riad El Solh, Beirut 1107-2020, Lebanon Nature Conservation Center, American University of Beirut, P.O. Box 11-0236, Riad El Solh, Beirut 1107-2020, Lebanon 1 3 638 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 importance of soliciting preferences from multiple stakeholders when selecting species to be used in reforestation efforts. Keywords Biodiversity · Forestry · Species selection · Stakeholders · Prioritisation · Reforestation Introduction Species used in restoration are often chosen to meet short term objectives, such as mitigat- ing on-site degradation (de Baets et al. 2009). Selecting hardier and more adaptable spe- cies that are readily available (or easy to produce) can be a more cost-effective means of meeting some of these objectives. But this may also be detrimental to local biodiversity if the species selected are exotic, potentially invasive, or simply a very restricted set of native species (Le Maitre et al. 2011). Species selection can become contentious when there are multiple stakeholders (e.g. experts, policymakers, practitioners and local residents) with potentially divergent aims and objectives in restoration (Pullar and Lamb 2012; Reubens et al. 2011). There may be competing aims between those with professional interests in for- estry and those with interests in conserving biodiversity, despite both sectors having some overlapping aims and objectives in reforestation e.g. increasing and/or maintaining forest cover (Angelsen et al. 2012). The importance of stakeholder participation in facilitating adaptive co-management of complex social-ecological systems has been well documented (Kofinas 2009). Yet stake- holder preferences for species may vary by subjective tastes and the extent of knowledge individuals have about the species and their ecology. Stakeholders involved in restoration or other conservation measures often face difficult trade-offs between social, economic and ecological objectives (Visser et al. 2011). Restoration objectives that support multifunc- tional landscapes frequently require the assessment of a suite of potential scenarios to min- imise future ecosystem service trade-offs (Reed et al. 2013). Eliciting and aggregating het- erogeneous preferences is therefore a necessary challenge for engaging multi-stakeholder participation in policy and practice (Newton et al. 2012). Despite recent efforts to address these policy needs in Lebanon, engaging stakeholder participation in forestry and natural resource management issues has been challenging due to institutional divisions and lack of oversight, compounded by years of sociopolitical instability (Sarkissian et al. 2017). Lebanon is a relatively small (10,452 km ), predominantly mountainous country located in the eastern Mediterranean. It has been recognised as a centre for plant diversity (Davis et al. 1994) harbouring over 2600 vascular plant species with around 12% endemic to the eastern Mediterranean region (Zohary 1973). As a country with ancient roots dating back to the Phoenicians, much of its population over the centuries was concentrated in cities located along a narrow coastline. Settlements at higher elevations gradually increased over time and the resulting larger populations in turn converted forests into croplands and pas- tures. Forests outside of protected areas continued to decline considerably due to wars, urbanisation, herding, and forest fires (Talhouk et al. 2001). With threats to plant diversity in the eastern and southern Mediterranean basin increas- ing, Radford et al. (2011) conducted a rapid assessment of important plant areas (IPAs) in North African and Middle Eastern countries including Lebanon (Yazbek et al. 2010). The team defined a total of twenty IPAs in Lebanon, most located on the western slopes of the Mount Lebanon range with an average elevation of approximately 1200 m (ranging from 1 3 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 639 sea level to 3044 m ). Many of Lebanon’s protected areas (e.g. nature reserves, Biosphere reserves, Ramsar sites) occur within these IPAs. The decline of Lebanon’s forests stimulated efforts to undertake nationwide reforesta- tion and afforestation in the early 1960s, in which Cedrus libani Rich. (Cedar of Lebanon) and Pinus pinea L. (stone pine) were the main species planted (Regato and Asmar 2011). Since the late 1990s, national stakeholders have committed public and international funds to implement landscape-scale reforestation throughout much of Lebanon including ecolog- ically and culturally important areas (Mohanna et al. 2017). Many stakeholders from public and non-profit sectors have also shown interest in adopting a payments for ecosystem ser - vices (PES) approach to fund large-scale forest restoration with a focus on enhancing bio- diversity, which requires the planting of a diverse range of species beyond the limited set of predominantly conifer species used in the past (Sarkissian et al. 2017). It is important to incorporate perceptions of reforestation decision-making from wider society, including preferences for tree species from local stakeholders such as farmers (Garen et al. 2009; Reubens et al. 2011). Prior research in Lebanon revealed that most landowners would prefer to plant forest species with market value, e.g. pine nuts from Pinus pinea L., in the absence of payments (Sarkissian et al. 2017). In this study, we aim to complement this research by eliciting the preferences of national reforestation stakeholders (e.g. public sector, NGOs, or private entities) who are potential ‘buyers’ of PES schemes designed to diversify native species used in reforestation. The objectives of the current study were to (1) identify native tree and shrubby tree species for use in biodiversity-enhancing reforestation in the Bcherre–Ehden IPA in north- ern Lebanon according to stakeholders in forestry and conservation sectors, (2) to explore the heterogeneity of preferences between and within different stakeholder groups, and (3) examine the implications of weighting by self-reported knowledge when aggregating preferences. Methods A total of 64 native tree and shrub species in Lebanon with growth potentials of > 1 m were identified by experts from the American University of Beirut’s Nature Conservation Center (AUB-NCC). Species were identified using literature on flora in Lebanon and the Levant region (Post 1932; Mouterde 1966) and later updated with the most recent reference on Leba- nese flora (Tohmé and Tohmé 2007), noting that nomenclature often differed. The candidate list was then restricted to 22 species that were both (a) available from tree nurseries provid- ing seedlings to reforestation organisations at the time this study was being conducted and (b) considered ecologically suitable for the site (altitude range of 1000–1500 m; severe sum- mer dry season) by experts at the AUB-NCC. This site is characteristic of eu-mediterranean (> 1000 m) to oro-mediterranean (> 2000 m) bioclimatic zones. Average annual precipitation in this region ranges from 850 to 950 mm, mainly from October to May, with the heavier rains and snowfall occurring between December and March (Jomaa 2008). The vegetation types are typical of Mediterranean forest, woodland and scrub communities containing coniferous, deciduous and mixed forest/woodlands (Abi-Saleh and Safi 1988). Qornet es-Saouda (highest peak in Lebanon). 1 3 640 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 An online survey was conducted with stakeholders in the forestry and conservation sectors in May, 2013 (Online Resource 1). The survey (in both English and Arabic) was delivered via personalised email invitations with a brief description of the study and a link to the online sur- vey. Respondents were first asked to rate each of the 22 species listed as either: high, medium, or low conservation priorities for inclusion in reforestation in the research site (which was described in the email). They also had the option to select ‘Ecologically unsuitable’ if they believed the species should not be planted in the site described, or ‘Don’t know this species’ if they had insufficient knowledge. A hyperlink was provided next to each species directing the respondents to the ‘Euro + Med PlantBase’ website (2011) providing extra details of the species, e.g. authorities, nomenclature, synonyms, references, distribution. An optional second question asked participants to list up to five additional species that were both suitable for this research site and which they would consider as high conservation priorities for reforestation. The third and fourth questions asked respondents to describe their profession (‘Academia’, ‘Government/Public sector’, ‘Private sector’, and ‘Other’) and sectoral focus (‘Biodiversity conservation’, ‘Forestry’, ‘Agriculture’, and ‘Other’). Stakeholders selected to participate in this online survey were identified with the help of colleagues from AUB-NCC who provided us with contacts from their professional networks. Contact details and additional candidates were also obtained through searching the pub- lic domain and through snowballing. The online survey was created and administered using ® ® LimeSurvey . Statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS (version 22). The study received ethics approval from the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the American Univer- sity of Beirut (FAFS.ST.07). In total, 80 individual invitations (with LimeSur vey tokens) were sent to respondents from various academic and professional backgrounds. Thirty-four respondents (44%) fully completed the survey from early May to mid-June, 2013. The sample included respondents from academic institutions (n = 17), private sector/NGOs (n = 10), public institutions (n = 4) and other/unspecified (n = 3), with professional foci split between forestry and biodiversity conservation (Fig. 1). We used four different ways to aggregate rankings and compared the results. In all instances, ordinal ratings of importance (low, medium, and high) were given numerical values (1–3, respectively) and “ecologically unsuitable” coded as 0. In the first instance, we produced aggregate rankings based on each species’ mean score (0–3) treating ‘Don’t know this species’ as missing values (i.e. unweighted). We then produced two rankings split between biodiversity conservation focussed and forestry focussed individuals (n = 17 for each). To compare prefer- ences across stakeholder groups we used the Mann–Whitney U test to identify if there were any significant differences between the two foci (biodiversity conservation and forestry), and Friedman’s ANOVA to explore within foci variation. Lastly, we produced ranks weighting for how knowledgeable respondents were by treating missing values as an index of knowl- edge based on the proportion of total species (n = 22) they knew. The standard error of the mean was used to rank means that were tied (i.e. those with lower standard errors were ranked higher). Results Cedar of Lebanon (Cedrus libani Rich.) received the largest number of ‘High’ ratings by respondents. Grecian juniper (Juniperus excelsa M. Bieb.) received the most rat- ings for ecologically unsuitable (n = 5). Only six of the 22 species were rated (i.e. were 1 3 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 641 Fig. 1 Respondents classified according to sector/profession and focus. Participants who indicated ‘Other’ under Sector/Profession indicated forestry expert, international agencies, and researcher as open responses (created on SPSS v.20) known) by all 34 respondents. Median ratings were equal for respondents in both groups for 12 of the 22 species (Fig. 2). Eight of the 22 species were unfamiliar to six or more respondents. There was significant variation in ratings across the 23 respondents familiar with the remaining 14 species [Friedman’s ANOVA, χ (13) = 62.25, p < 0.001]. Friedman’s tests on each subset of respondents indicated no significant variation between respondents within the biodiversity focus [Friedman’s ANOVA, χ (5) = 31.47, p > 0.05] but signifi- cant variation was found within the forestry focus [Friedman’s ANOVA, χ (9) = 50.55, p < 0.01]. Post-hoc Mann–Whitney U tests showed no significant difference (p > 0.05) in ratings between forestry- and biodiversity-focused respondents for the 22 species, even before correction for multiple comparisons. The rankings produced (based on mean scores) from these two groups’ ratings did, how- ever, appear noticeably different (Table 1). For example, Abies cilicica (Ant. & Kotschy) Carriére (Cilician fir) was top-ranked by biodiversity-focussed respondents and eleventh by the forestry-focussed ones. Conversely, Acer hyrcanum subsp. tauricola (Boiss. & Balansa) Yalt. (Taurus maple) and Fraxinus ornus L. (manna ash) were ranked second and third by forestry-focussed respondents, but 14th and 12th (respectively) by biodiversity-focussed ones. Both groups had fairly similar averages for knowledge of species (aggregated), although differences varied from species to species. Finally, weighting respondents by the proportion of species of which they claimed knowledge made little difference to rankings. 1 3 642 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 Fig. 2 Median ratings of species split between two foci—Biodiversity Conservation and Forestry (created on SPSS v.20). 0 = ecologically unsuitable, 1 = low conservation priority, 2 = medium conservation priority, and 3 = high conservation priority Discussion Previous studies have found contrasting perspectives between forestry and biodiversity conservation, especially with regards to international-scale policies such as Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+) (Angelsen et al. 2012). While we found a high degree of variability in rating among respondents, which was not fully explained by professional focus (forestry versus biodiversity conservation), there was no clear pattern of ratings between these two groups. Similar studies examining stakeholder preferences for tree species found much clearer differences between men and women, where roles and access to resources also differed based on gender (Ureta et al. 2016). In contrast, the groups in our study were determined based on respondents 1 3 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 643 1 3 Table 1 Rankings of species produced from biodiversity-focused (left) and forestry-focused (right) respondents. The rankings present both stakeholder knowledge of (i.e. lower of “% Known” was based on frequency of those who selected “Don’t know this species”) and preference for inclusion of 22 suitable species in the designated Important Plant Area (IPA) in Bcherre-Ehden, Lebanon Rank Biodiversity-focussed Rank Forestry-focussed Species Mean S.E. of mean % Known Species Mean S.E. of mean % Known 1 Abies cilicica 2.588 0.193 100 1 Cedrus libani 2.647 0.170 100 2 Cedrus libani 2.588 0.211 100 2 Acer hyrcanum 2.467 0.192 87 3 Quercus infectoria 2.529 0.125 100 3 Fraxinus ornus 2.400 0.163 87 4 Quercus cerris 2.529 0.151 100 4 Sorbus torminalis 2.385 0.213 69 5 Juniperus excelsa 2.438 0.302 94 5 Ostrya carpinifolia 2.308 0.237 69 6 Sorbus flabelifolia 2.400 0.190 87 6 Pyrus syriaca 2.294 0.166 100 7 Sorbus torminalis 2.333 0.187 87 7 Sorbus flabelifolia 2.250 0.250 58 8 Crataegus monogyna 2.294 0.143 100 8 Crataegus monogyna 2.235 0.161 100 9 Pyrus syriaca 2.250 0.144 94 9 Quercus infectoria 2.235 0.182 100 10 Quercus brantii 2.231 0.201 69 10 Quercus cerris 2.235 0.202 100 11 Prunus cocomilia 2.154 0.154 69 11 Abies cilicica 2.188 0.262 94 12 Fraxinus ornus 2.083 0.260 58 12 Cupressus sempervirens 2.176 0.214 100 13 Acer monspessulanum 2.071 0.195 79 13 Acer monspessulanum 2.071 0.245 79 14 Acer hyrcanum 2.059 0.234 100 14 Prunus dulcis 2.000 0.195 87 15 Cupressus sempervirens 1.938 0.193 94 15 Juniperus excelsa 2.000 0.195 87 16 Ostrya carpinifolia 1.846 0.274 69 16 Prunus cocomilia 1.933 0.153 87 17 Pinus brutia 1.765 0.265 100 17 Pinus brutia 1.882 0.225 100 18 Prunus dulcis 1.750 0.194 94 18 Fraxinus angustifolia 1.786 0.281 79 19 Alnus orientalis 1.692 0.263 69 19 Pinus pinea 1.765 0.265 100 20 Fraxinus angustifolia 1.667 0.225 58 20 Quercus brantii 1.471 0.259 100 21 Celtis australis 1.563 0.203 94 21 Alnus orientalis 1.467 0.215 87 22 Pinus pinea 1.529 0.194 100 22 Celtis australis 1.267 0.206 87 Average 2.104 87 2.066 89 0 = ecologically unsuitable, 1 = low conservation priority, 2 = medium conservation priority, and 3 = high conservation priority 644 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 choosing whether the main focus of their profession was biodiversity conservation or forestry. Investigating preferences for forests scenes, Kearney and Bradley (2011) found that group membership failed to account for differences in preferences since presumably distinct groups (e.g. natural resource agencies) often comprise individuals with a wide- range of expertise and professional backgrounds. Even where there seem to be no consistent differences in preferences between groups of stakeholders, disagreements appear to exist amongst stakeholders within those groups. This could be because these categories failed to adequately represent respondents’ perspec- tives. However, most respondents (91%) readily self-identified with one or another of these categories. Instead it seems that preferences are diverse even within these groupings, some- thing which has implications for planning conservation-focussed reforestation: it implies that even within a specific group, a sufficiently broad sample of stakeholders should be consulted, rather than relying on a few representatives. Another important aspect is to con- sider how attitudes and knowledge factor into preferences, in particular how respondents interepret their own preferences (Kearney and Bradley 2011). Interestingly, while most forestry-focussed respondents rated Sorbus torminalis (L.) Crantz. and Ostrya carpinifolia Scop. high (ranked fourth and fifth, respectively), nearly a third did not know the species. And Sorbus flabelifolia (Spach) Hedl. was ranked sev - enth despite nearly half of the forestry-focussed respondents having no knowledge of this species. In contrast, most biodiversity-focussed respondents were familiar with the top nine ranked species. Similarly a substantial number of missing values (i.e. ‘Don’t know this species’) from both foci shows the value of consulting a broad sample of respond- ents, since few respondents will be familiar with all candidate species. It also underlines the need for standardising and updating the ever-changing taxonomic nomenclature, thus an opportunity for stakeholders to work collectively towards improving plant identification and knowledge dissemination more effectively. Our survey did not explore the criteria respondents were using to judge conservation importance, e.g. rarity of those species in the wild, or their importance in underpinning ecosystem functioning or in supplying particular ecosystem services. For example, Kermes oak (Quercus coccifera L.) is a common species found in much of the eastern Mediterra- nean basin (Ganatsas et al. 2012), yet was listed by six respondents (three from each foci) as an additional species considered to be both suitable and of high conservation priority for the site (Online Resource 2), suggesting that respondents were not predominantly consider- ing rare species. Reforestation stakeholders have expressed interests in developing asset-building PES schemes aimed at enhancing Lebanon’s biodiversity by paying landowners to plant diverse native species (Sarkissian et al. 2017). We expected the respondents to be knowledgeable about most of the common native tree species in Lebanon, and prefer- ences of experts would therefore play an invaluable role in the design and implementa- tion of future PES schemes. Identifying species of high conservation value fulfils the primary objective of enhancing biodiversity along with other on- and off-site ecosystem services. However, we acknowledge that it should not be the only criterion for species selection. In Mediterranean ecosystems, silvicultural treatments using pioneer species (e.g. Pinus spp.) are highly effective at restoring degraded landscapes (Ganatsas et al. 2012), which can later be supplemented with rarer species once those habitats develop. Syn: Quercus calliprinos Webb. 1 3 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 645 Interestingly, respondents in both groups rated the two pine species (Pinus pinea L. and P. brutia Ten.) as of relatively low conservation priority. It is also important to acknowledge that preferences are inherently subjective and often heterogenous. A recent study on stakeholder perceptions of a portfolio of tree spe- cies to be considered for plantation forestry in New Zealand described how assumptions about various attributes of those species were inaccurate (Smaill et al. 2014). That study also found similar preference heterogeneity to our own study, and showed how stake- holders may hold biases towards more familiar species, which perhaps was reflected in our respondents’ ratings as well. Such biases are not uncommon in conservation plan- ning (Coppolillo et al. 2004). However it is interesting to note that weighting responses by respondents’ level of knowledge did not greatly affect the rankings. Acknowledging biases in the evaluation of studies such as these are therefore critical, especially since the expertise of individuals within or across different professional backgrounds may not only vary, but also be lacking (Smaill et al. 2014; Kearney and Bradley 2011). Lastly, reforestation stakeholders will need to consider farmers as important stakehold- ers in their efforts to plant forest trees on private lands. Understanding farmer perceptions of reforestation (or afforestation) and eliciting their preferences for species are important research considerations. Our previous study showed that most Lebanese farmers strongly preferred productive species over non-productive native species, and that paying landown- ers to plant species of little or no private benefits could be costly (Sarkissian et al. 2017). It is important to consider these trade-offs to identify cost-effective strategies, which will likely require providing a mixture of productive species of low conservation priority (e.g. Pinus pinea L.) to be planted along with those of high-conservation-value. Multi-stakeholder engagement efforts are challenging yet vital for maintaining resil- ient forest and woodland ecosystems, biodiversity conservation, and human well-being. Establishing new forests to meet multiple objectives (e.g. social, economic and ecologi- cal) often involves difficult trade-offs (Carnus et al. 2006). A better understanding of stakeholder typologies is needed to facilitate collaborative engagement between stake- holders from different research and policy fields (or foci), including social scientists and local stakeholders involved in community-based projects (Reed et al. 2009). Our study therefore highlights the need for promoting multi-stakeholder engagement towards pol- icy efforts aimed at restoring and enhancing ecosystem services in Lebanon. Our results show that it is difficult to clearly ascertain stakeholder preferences without consulting multiple stakeholder groups and multiple individuals within a particular stakeholder group. We recommend that future studies further examine stakeholder preferences using qualitative methods, particularly since the population of knowledgeable stakeholders may often be quite small. These efforts would help both researchers and stakeholders to better understand where shared and diverging perspectives exist that could be used to inform quantitative surveys such as the one reported in this paper. Acknowledgements The lead author would like to thank the Khaldoun Barakat Research Fund for its financial contributions to this research project. The authors gratefully acknowledge Mariana Yazbek and Mohammad El-Zein for their expertise and contributions to this study. The authors would also like to thank the stakeholders for participating in the research and making this study possible. Author Contributions AJS and NH conceived and designed the research with inputs from SNT; AJS and SNT collected survey data; AJS, NH, RMB contributed to analysis of the data; AJS wrote the manuscript; NH and RMB edited the manuscript. 1 3 646 New Forests (2018) 49:637–647 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Inter- national License (http://creat iveco mmons .org/licen ses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. References Abi-Saleh B, Safi S (1988) Carte de la vegetation du Liban. 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