The problem of the substantiation of the optimal composition of indicators intended for assessing existing and predicting new scientific achievements is considered. The types of indicators that are commonly used in the management of scientific achievements are systematized. A differentiated approach to the selection of such indicators is proposed, depending on the sections of knowledge to which they relate. In addition to the scientometric parameters of knowledge sections, the factors that influence the formation of sets of indicators are listed. The development of a quantitative model of the ratio of types of indicators in their sets based on measures of sets and binary relations of order over numbers is presented. Within the framework of this model, an explanation is given for the prevalence of expert indicators. The decision on the composition of the indicator sets is made based on heuristic rules. An example of finding the optimal ratio of the types of indicators for predicting achievements in the natural sciences and assessing the results achieved in the humanities is given.
Automatic Documentation and Mathematical Linguistics – Springer Journals
Published: Jul 12, 2021
Keywords: choice of indicators; humanities; natural sciences; set of indicators; scientific achievement; performance evaluation; expert forecasting