This paper proposes a range-based dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model combined by the return-based DCC model and the conditional autoregressive range (CARR) model. The substantial gain in efficiency of volatility estimation can boost the accuracy for estimating time-varying covariances. As to the empirical study, we use the S&P 500 stock index and the 10-year treasury bond futures to examine both in-sample and out-of-sample results for six models, including MA100, EWMA, CCC, BEKK, return-based DCC, and range-based DCC. Of all the models considered, the range-based DCC model is largely supported in estimating and forecasting the covariance matrices.
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting – Springer Journals
Published: Mar 31, 2009
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