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- Publisher
- Springer Journals
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2006 by Springer
- Subject
- Philosophy; Philosophy of Science; Epistemology; Logic; Philosophy of Language; Metaphysics
- ISSN
- 0039-7857
- eISSN
- 1573-0964
- DOI
- 10.1007/s11229-004-6222-6
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
The notion of a severe test has played an important methodological role in the history of science. But it has not until recently been analyzed in any detail. We develop a generally Bayesian analysis of the notion, compare it with Deborah Mayo’s error-statistical approach by way of sample diagnostic tests in the medical sciences, and consider various objections to both. At the core of our analysis is a distinction between evidence and confirmation or belief. These notions must be kept separate if mistakes are to be avoided; combined in the right way, they provide an adequate understanding of severity.
Journal
Synthese – Springer Journals
Published: Feb 13, 2004