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proved unfounded, the unexpectedly large surge in global Covid‐19 cases is causing more cautious behaviour by individuals and greater disruption to businesses than at first envisaged. January 2022 World ...
anticipated activity growth in H2 because of disruption relating to the spread of the Delta variant and mounting supply chain issues. October 2021 World : PMIs Index Services Manufacturing The outlook weakens ...
, the global composite PMI has trended upwards, driven by improvements in the services component as economies have gradually eased activity restrictions. World : GDP % quarter Forecast Our baseline view ...
– a sustained relaxation of restrictions could lead to a bigger rebound in demand if households run down their excess savings by more than we assume in our baseline forecast. April 2021 World economy World ...
After a truly dreadful 2020, during which the world economy contracted by about 4%, the onset of Covid‐19 vaccination programmes around the world has provided some light at the end of the tunnel ...
in the light of rising Covid‐19 cases, we have lowered our forecast for global GDP growth next year from 5.8% to 5.2%. October 2020 World economy World : GDP %quarter Forecast Non-China EM q/q contribution ...
% contraction we anticipated three months ago. July 2020 World economy World : GDP Forecast %quarter Non-China EM q/q contribution China q/q contribution A short but very sharp recession Advanced economies q/q ...
With much of the global economy now in some form of lockdown due to the coronavirus pandemic, we expect world GDP to contract by about 7% in H1 2020. Activity is expected to rebound sharply in H2 ...
Although recent developments suggest that the risks of an escalation in US‐China trade tensions have eased, we doubt this will deliver a significant boost to the global economy . We still expect world ...
expect global GDP growth to average 2.5% each year, the weakest rate since 2009. October 2019 World economy World : GDP & PMI Index % y/y Global composite PMI (Adv two months, LHS) 65 6 Global GDP (RHS ...
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