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Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers

Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers 08_Gray 14/5/07 3:50 pm Page 433 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS SUMMARY FOR POLICYMAKERS by Vincent Gray 75 Silverstream Road, Crofton Downs, Wellington 6035, New Zealand Email: vinmary.gray@paradise.net.nz 1. INTRODUCTION I first became interested in the possible consequences of the enhanced greenhouse effect when I was teaching English in the Teachers’ University in Kunming in 1991. I became an enthusiast and gave several lectures on the subject to Chinese students. When I returned to New Zealand, the drafts of the first IPCC Report were being circulated and I was asked to make comments. Over time I became an independent “expert reviewer”. Since then I have provided comments on both drafts of all four major scientific Reports (1990, 1995, 2001, and, now, 2007) plus the subsidiary reports of 1992 and 1994, amounting to many hundreds of pages. My disillusionment began very early. The first Report was an attempt to promote the value of computer models. Climate data on the supposed warming were largely confined to the end of the Report, presumably to conceal the lack of confirmation of the models. They still claimed that the “size of this warming” was “broadly consistent” with the models. Possibly after my http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Energy & Environment SAGE

Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers

Energy & Environment , Volume 18 (3-4): 8 – Jul 1, 2007

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Publisher
SAGE
Copyright
© 2007 SAGE Publications
ISSN
0958-305X
eISSN
2048-4070
DOI
10.1260/095830507781076194
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

08_Gray 14/5/07 3:50 pm Page 433 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS SUMMARY FOR POLICYMAKERS by Vincent Gray 75 Silverstream Road, Crofton Downs, Wellington 6035, New Zealand Email: vinmary.gray@paradise.net.nz 1. INTRODUCTION I first became interested in the possible consequences of the enhanced greenhouse effect when I was teaching English in the Teachers’ University in Kunming in 1991. I became an enthusiast and gave several lectures on the subject to Chinese students. When I returned to New Zealand, the drafts of the first IPCC Report were being circulated and I was asked to make comments. Over time I became an independent “expert reviewer”. Since then I have provided comments on both drafts of all four major scientific Reports (1990, 1995, 2001, and, now, 2007) plus the subsidiary reports of 1992 and 1994, amounting to many hundreds of pages. My disillusionment began very early. The first Report was an attempt to promote the value of computer models. Climate data on the supposed warming were largely confined to the end of the Report, presumably to conceal the lack of confirmation of the models. They still claimed that the “size of this warming” was “broadly consistent” with the models. Possibly after my

Journal

Energy & EnvironmentSAGE

Published: Jul 1, 2007

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