The etiologic implication and prognostic roles of p16-positive tumor status are well established for squamous cell cancers (SCCs) of the oropharynx (1) but remain controversial for nonoropharyngeal SCCs (non-OPCs) of the head and neck. In the oropharynx, human papillomavirus (HPV)–driven carcinogenesis leads to p16 overexpression, which renders p16 a logical surrogate for HPV tumor detection (2–4). However, non-OPCs do not have an analogous molecular profile. The overall prevalence of HPV- or p16-positive non-OPCs appears to be low (5–7). Furthermore, the proportion of p16-positive non-OPCs exceeds the proportion of HPV-positive non-OPCs (8–11), and a survival benefit was only observed for p16-positive non-OPCs in a few studies. (12). Therefore, consensus guidelines do not support testing of non-OPCs for HPV or p16 as their prognostic implications have not yet been established (13). In this issue of the Journal, Bryant et al. challenge this dogma by suggesting that p16 may still have prognostic value (14). Recent large studies with centralized pathologic evaluation and geographic and anatomic site heterogeneity have examined the role of p16 in non-OPCs (5,6,8–12,15–17), notwithstanding the inherent biases of retrospective studies, lack of generalizability due to eligibility criteria for a clinical trial or care at an academic institution, and limited pathologic evaluation and survival data. Bryant et al. (14) examine this question with a novel strategy to overcome inherent limitations or biases of prior studies that may have misled us to the belief that p16 is not relevant in non-OPCs. A robust data set of American veterans with a large sample size and low health care migration (effectively serves as prospective data) was queried to evaluate overall, cause-specific (CSS), and competing survival. In this study (14), p16 status was not centrally reviewed; however, given that there is high interrater agreement regarding p16 interpretation (18), the retrospective data abstraction is likely sufficient. It is unlikely that a consistent cutoff was used to determine p16 positivity at 120 different centers. Only 29% of tumors considered positive were indeed “strong and diffuse” (equivalent to oropharynx criteria), with the majority graded as “positive NOS.” Second, p16 was available for only 8% (n = 387) of the 4594 non-OPCs, which raises concern for selection bias. Indeed, Supplementary Table 3 supports that p16 testing was more commonly performed for patients who were white, had a lower comorbidity index, had lower current tobacco use, were employed, and had laryngeal primary tumors if nonoropharyngeal (P < .001 for each) as compared with patients not tested. In their multivariable regression model (shown in Table 3), patients with younger age at diagnosis and higher income, independent predictors of improved survival, had the highest odds of p16 testing. Another important risk factor, which was clinically but not analytically available, that may have impacted the decision for p16 testing is lifetime tobacco exposure. Therefore, general prognostic factors observed by clinicians at the time of clinical evaluation may have led to differential p16 testing. Indeed, CSS was higher for non-OPCs tested for p16 as compared with those that were not (Figure 2B). In the Bryant analysis (14), 20% of non-OPCs overall and at each anatomic site considered (oral cavity, larynx, and hypopharynx) were p16-positive. Although this estimate falls within the range of some prior data, only 5.9% (n = 23) (Table 1) of p16-positive tumors had strong or diffuse staining. The latter estimate is more consistent with recent large multi-institutional retrospective studies that had centralized pathologic review with strict p16 criteria (70% cutoff or H score). A four-institution consortium systematically evaluated a larger sample size of non-OPCs and found that 11% and 4.5% of oral cavity (n = 409) and larynx (n = 404) SCCs, respectively, were p16-positive (9,10). Another two-institution study (n = 623) found that 10% were p16-positive (site-specific prevalence 5%–13%) (11). Therefore, it may be that when a strict cutoff is used, even in this data set, the prevalence of p16 may be lower than 20%. From other series, it is worthwhile to note that there is heterogeneity for p16 across sites and geographically (5,6,17). An additional consideration is that anatomic site classification not rigorously defined by comprehensive operative examination or imaging review can suffer from misclassification and lead to overestimates of p16 in nonoropharyngeal sites, when indeed the anatomic site of origin is the adjacent oropharynx, replete with p16-positive tumors. Next, p16 positivity was associated with a consistent significant reduction in risk of overall survival (OS) and CSS (hazard ratios [HRs] = 0.35–0.42), but not competing mortality (HRs = 0.46–0.56, Prange = .04–.11) for non-OPCs overall. In contrast to a similarly sized analysis with centralized p16 detection and interpretation, known tobacco exposure, there was no interaction between p16 status and anatomic site (12). Considering that lifetime tobacco exposure was not accounted for in the multivariable models, it is possible that there was residual confounding due to this recognized independent prognostic factor (19). However, the consistency of the hazard ratios, including those in the anatomic site–specific models (albeit not statistically significant), indicates that despite the potential limitations, p16 tumor status may have prognostic significance. The question to consider is what future steps are necessary to advance the authors’ proposal to recognize p16 as a prognostic biomarker of clinical utility in non-OPCs? First, this analysis would need to be reproduced in a separate validation cohort with standardized therapy, rigorous anatomic site classification, uniform assessments of p16, and clinical disease status. The Department of Veterans Affairs population may not be generalizable to the broader population because of specific exposures including occupational, socioeconomic status, tobacco and alcohol use, and comorbidity profile. Second, it will be critical to understand the performance properties of p16 assays in nonoropharynx (sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value) if the cutoff used in oropharynx cancer is applicable. Third, given the apparently low proportion of p16-positive non-OPCs, it is not expected that uniform testing of all tumors will be warranted (or cost-effective). Determining strategies to identify an enriched subset could render p16 testing more clinically effective and cost-effective. Last, prospective studies should test whether the prognostic benefit of rigorously and consistently defined p16 tumor status has therapeutic implications. If p16 is confirmed as a prognostic biomarker in non-OPCs, further risk stratification and understanding of the effect or interaction of other risk factors or exposures (eg, smoking, education) with p16 on survival estimates will be necessary. Although not essential to clinical application of a biomarker, understanding the etiologic implication of p16 may be of interest. A very small proportion of non-OPCs were HPV-positive, although few had both p16 and HPV in situ hybridization (n = 32) results. Indeed, patchy or intermediate p16 expression does not appear to indicate the presence of HPV (Supplementary Table 4, available online) (20–22). Therefore, p16 for a negligible portion of non-OPCs are HPV-related, and the others are p16-positive for other potential reasons including misclassification. Therefore, the present data are insufficient to designate p16 as a prognostic biomarker for non-OPCs. The observations in this study require further rigorous evaluation to determine whether they are attributable to p16 or alternative clinical factors. Notes Affiliations of authors: Department of Otolaryngology – Head and Neck Surgery and Bloomberg-Kimmel Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD (CF); Department of Immunology and Department of Otolaryngology, University of Pittsburgh, PA (RLF); Cancer Immunology Program, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, PA (RLF). The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. References 1 D'Souza G , Kreimer AR , Viscidi R , et al. . Case-control study of human papillomavirus and oropharyngeal cancer . N Engl J Med . 2007 ; 356 ( 19 ): 1944 – 1956 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 2 Khleif SN , DeGregori J , Yee CL , et al. . Inhibition of cyclin D-CDK4/CDK6 activity is associated with an E2F-mediated induction of cyclin kinase inhibitor activity . Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1996 ; 93 ( 9 ): 4350 – 4354 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 3 Chung CH , Gillison ML. Human papillomavirus in head and neck cancer: Its role in pathogenesis and clinical implications. Clin Cancer Res. 2009 ; 15 ( 22 ): 6758 – 6762 . 4 Bishop JA , Ma XJ , Wang H , et al. . Detection of transcriptionally active high-risk HPV in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma as visualized by a novel E6/E7 mRNA in situ hybridization method . Am J Surg Pathol. 2012 ; 36 ( 12 ): 1874 – 1882 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 5 Castellsagué X , Alemany L, , Quer M et al. . HPV involvement in head and neck cancers: Comprehensive assessment of biomarkers in 3680 patients . J Natl Cancer Inst . 2016 ; 108 ( 6 ):djv403. 6 Ndiaye C , Mena M , Alemany L , et al. . HPV DNA, E6/E7 mRNA, and p16INK4a detection in head and neck cancers: A systematic review and meta-analysis . Lancet Oncol. 2014 ; 15 ( 12 ): 1319 – 31 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 7 Kreimer AR , Clifford GM , Boyle P , Franceschi S. Human papillomavirus types in head and neck squamous cell carcinomas worldwide: A systematic review . Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2005 ; 14 ( 2 ): 467 – 475 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 8 Chernock RD , Wang X , Gao G , et al. . Detection and significance of human papillomavirus, CDKN2A(p16) and CDKN1A(p21) expression in squamous cell carcinoma of the larynx . Mod Pathol. 2013 ; 26 ( 2 ): 223 – 231 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 9 Taberna M , Resteghini C , Swanson B , et al. . Low etiologic fraction for human papillomavirus in larynx squamous cell carcinoma . Oral Oncol. 2016 ; 61 : 55 – 61 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 10 Lingen MW , Xiao W , Schmitt A , et al. . Low etiologic fraction for high-risk human papillomavirus in oral cavity squamous cell carcinomas . Oral Oncol. 2013 ; 49 ( 1 ): 1 – 8 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 11 D'Souza G , Westra WH , Wang SJ , et al. . Differences in the prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) in head and neck squamous cell cancers by sex, race, anatomic tumor site, and HPV detection method . JAMA Oncol . 2016 Dec 8. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2016.3067. [Epub ahead of print] 12 Chung CH , Zhang Q , Kong CS , et al. . p16 protein expression and human papillomavirus status as prognostic biomarkers of nonoropharyngeal head and neck squamous cell carcinoma . J Clin Oncol. 2014 ; 32 ( 35 ): 3930 – 3938 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 13 Lewis JS Jr , Beadle B , Bishop JA , et al. . Human papillomavirus testing in head and neck carcinomas: Guideline from the College of American Pathologists . Arch Pathol Lab Med. 2018 ; 142 ( 5 ): 559 – 597 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 14 Bryant AK , Sojourner EJ , Vitzthum LK , et al. . J Natl Cancer Inst. 2019 ; 111 ( 12 ): 1393 – 1399 . 15 Fakhry C , Westra WH , Wang SJ , et al. . The prognostic role of sex, race, and human papillomavirus in oropharyngeal and nonoropharyngeal head and neck squamous cell cancer . Cancer. 2017 ; 123 ( 9 ): 1566 – 1575 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 16 Lassen P , Primdahl H , Johansen J , et al. . Impact of HPV-associated p16-expression on radiotherapy outcome in advanced oropharynx and non-oropharynx cancer . Radiother Oncol. 2014 ; 113 ( 3 ): 310 – 316 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 17 Combes JD , Franceschi S. Role of human papillomavirus in non-oropharyngeal head and neck cancers . Oral Oncol. 2014 ; 50 ( 5 ): 370 – 379 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 18 Jordan RC , Lingen MW , Perez-Ordonez B , et al. . Validation of methods for oropharyngeal cancer HPV status determination in US cooperative group trials . Am J Surg Pathol. 2012 ; 36 ( 7 ): 945 – 954 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 19 Gillison ML , Zhang Q , Jordan R , et al. . Tobacco smoking and increased risk of death and progression for patients with p16-positive and p16-negative oropharyngeal cancer . J Clin Oncol. 2012 ; 30 ( 17 ): 2102 – 2111 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 20 Klingenberg B , Hafkamp HC , Haesevoets A , et al. . p16 INK4A overexpression is frequently detected in tumour-free tonsil tissue without association with HPV . Histopathology. 2010 ; 56 ( 7 ): 957 – 967 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 21 Parfenov M , Pedamallu CS , Gehlenborg N , et al. . Characterization of HPV and host genome interactions in primary head and neck cancers . Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A . 2014 ; 111 ( 43 ): 15544 – 15549 . Google Scholar Crossref Search ADS PubMed 22 Hayes DN, , Grandis JR, , El-Naggar AK. The Cancer Genome Atlas: Integrated analysis of genome alterations in squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck . J Clin Oncol . 2013 ; 31(15_suppl) :6009-. © The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: email@example.com This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model)
JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute – Oxford University Press
Published: Dec 1, 2018
It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.
Enjoy affordable access to
over 18 million articles from more than
15,000 peer-reviewed journals.
All for just $49/month
Query the DeepDyve database, plus search all of PubMed and Google Scholar seamlessly
Save any article or search result from DeepDyve, PubMed, and Google Scholar... all in one place.
Get unlimited, online access to over 18 million full-text articles from more than 15,000 scientific journals.
Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.
All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.
“Hi guys, I cannot tell you how much I love this resource. Incredible. I really believe you've hit the nail on the head with this site in regards to solving the research-purchase issue.”Daniel C.
“Whoa! It’s like Spotify but for academic articles.”@Phil_Robichaud
“I must say, @deepdyve is a fabulous solution to the independent researcher's problem of #access to #information.”@deepthiw
“My last article couldn't be possible without the platform @deepdyve that makes journal papers cheaper.”@JoseServera