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The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead

The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead The Philippines is in the midst of a transition. The astonishing rise and decisive victory of Rodrigo Duterte in the presidential election in May 2016 marked a significant turning point in Philippine politics. Manila’s longstanding territorial and maritime boundary disputes with Beijing in the South China Sea are among the most immediate and intricate foreign policy challenges facing President Duterte. However, in an unexpected twist, previously acrimonious bilateral relations with China have demonstrated signs of improvement while Duterte’s relentless and fiercely critical rhetoric against the United States has placed the country’s robust and longstanding security and defence relations with America in question. This turn of events heralds uncertain times for both the Philippines and Southeast Asia. The Philippines at a Crossroads Philippine foreign policy under President Duterte will be profoundly different from the one pursued by the previous administration is a Senior Lecturer in the School of Law and staff member at the Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security (ANCORS), the University of Wollongong. Postal address: School of Law, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522 Australia; email: lowell@uow.edu.au. 01 Roundtable-3P.indd 349 of President http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs Institute of Southeast Asian Studies

The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead

The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead


The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead The Philippines is in the midst of a transition. The astonishing rise and decisive victory of Rodrigo Duterte in the presidential election in May 2016 marked a significant turning point in Philippine politics. Manila’s longstanding territorial and maritime boundary disputes with Beijing in the South China Sea are among the most immediate and intricate foreign policy challenges facing President Duterte. However, in an unexpected twist, previously acrimonious bilateral relations with China have demonstrated signs of improvement while Duterte’s relentless and fiercely critical rhetoric against the United States has placed the country’s robust and longstanding security and defence relations with America in question. This turn of events heralds uncertain times for both the Philippines and Southeast Asia. The Philippines at a Crossroads Philippine foreign policy under President Duterte will be profoundly different from the one pursued by the previous administration is a Senior Lecturer in the School of Law and staff member at the Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security (ANCORS), the University of Wollongong. Postal address: School of Law, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522 Australia; email: lowell@uow.edu.au. 01 Roundtable-3P.indd 349 of President Benigno Aquino III. The priorities, philosophy and dynamics that inform the policies of Duterte will be fashioned and influenced by his background as a local politician from the southern Philippines, predicated on his anti-establishment position as a virtual outsider in national politics and a neophyte in foreign affairs. On the sombre stage of global diplomacy where tradition, protocol and etiquette are primordial values, the raw honesty, populist theatrics, impulsiveness and frivolity of Duterte have not been well-received in other...
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Publisher
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies
Copyright
Copyright © The Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.
ISSN
1793-284X
Publisher site
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Abstract

The Philippines and the Arbitral Tribunal’s Award: A Sombre Victory and Uncertain Times Ahead The Philippines is in the midst of a transition. The astonishing rise and decisive victory of Rodrigo Duterte in the presidential election in May 2016 marked a significant turning point in Philippine politics. Manila’s longstanding territorial and maritime boundary disputes with Beijing in the South China Sea are among the most immediate and intricate foreign policy challenges facing President Duterte. However, in an unexpected twist, previously acrimonious bilateral relations with China have demonstrated signs of improvement while Duterte’s relentless and fiercely critical rhetoric against the United States has placed the country’s robust and longstanding security and defence relations with America in question. This turn of events heralds uncertain times for both the Philippines and Southeast Asia. The Philippines at a Crossroads Philippine foreign policy under President Duterte will be profoundly different from the one pursued by the previous administration is a Senior Lecturer in the School of Law and staff member at the Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security (ANCORS), the University of Wollongong. Postal address: School of Law, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522 Australia; email: lowell@uow.edu.au. 01 Roundtable-3P.indd 349 of President

Journal

Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic AffairsInstitute of Southeast Asian Studies

Published: Feb 4, 2016

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