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The Cost of Delayed Lottery Resolution

The Cost of Delayed Lottery Resolution When an individual is given a lottery, he usually must wait some time interval before that lottery is resolved. Previous work from the literature has shown that if the individual has to make consumption decisions during that time interval, the lottery's utility will not equal the expected utility of its consequences. In this paper, we derive a formula for the utility of the lottery for situations with relatively small gambles. Our formula is consistent with many of D. Kahneman and A. Tversky's observations. It also is similar, in some ways, to Bell's notion of elation and disappointment. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Operations Research INFORMS

The Cost of Delayed Lottery Resolution

Operations Research , Volume 36 (1): 7 – Feb 1, 1988
7 pages

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Publisher
INFORMS
Copyright
Copyright © INFORMS
Subject
Research Article
ISSN
0030-364X
eISSN
1526-5463
DOI
10.1287/opre.36.1.115
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

When an individual is given a lottery, he usually must wait some time interval before that lottery is resolved. Previous work from the literature has shown that if the individual has to make consumption decisions during that time interval, the lottery's utility will not equal the expected utility of its consequences. In this paper, we derive a formula for the utility of the lottery for situations with relatively small gambles. Our formula is consistent with many of D. Kahneman and A. Tversky's observations. It also is similar, in some ways, to Bell's notion of elation and disappointment.

Journal

Operations ResearchINFORMS

Published: Feb 1, 1988

Keywords: Keywords : 94 reference effects ; 855 disappointment as an attribute ; 857 utility theory

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