Trade-growth nexus and the rolling window analysis in United Arab Emirates

Trade-growth nexus and the rolling window analysis in United Arab Emirates PurposeThis paper aims to examine the relationship between trade and economic growth using data of UAE economy for the period of 1974-2011.Design/methodology/approachThe bounds testing is applied for testing the cointegration relationship between the variables. The rolling window approach has been used to analyze the stability of long run coefficients.FindingsThe empirical analysis shows the presence of cointegration between trade and economic growth. Furthermore, exports have positive, but imports have negative effect on economic growth. The rolling window approach confirms the stability of long-run estimates.Practical implicationsThis paper provides new insights for policymakers to use trade as economic tool for sustainable economic development.Originality/valueThis paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to UAE, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the relationship between trade and economic growth by using long time series data and applying more rigorous techniques like time varying rolling window analysis. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of Asia Business Studies Emerald Publishing

Trade-growth nexus and the rolling window analysis in United Arab Emirates

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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © Emerald Group Publishing Limited
ISSN
1558-7894
DOI
10.1108/JABS-07-2016-0098
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

PurposeThis paper aims to examine the relationship between trade and economic growth using data of UAE economy for the period of 1974-2011.Design/methodology/approachThe bounds testing is applied for testing the cointegration relationship between the variables. The rolling window approach has been used to analyze the stability of long run coefficients.FindingsThe empirical analysis shows the presence of cointegration between trade and economic growth. Furthermore, exports have positive, but imports have negative effect on economic growth. The rolling window approach confirms the stability of long-run estimates.Practical implicationsThis paper provides new insights for policymakers to use trade as economic tool for sustainable economic development.Originality/valueThis paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to UAE, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the relationship between trade and economic growth by using long time series data and applying more rigorous techniques like time varying rolling window analysis.

Journal

Journal of Asia Business StudiesEmerald Publishing

Published: Dec 10, 2018

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