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Technology forecasting for residential energy management devices

Technology forecasting for residential energy management devices Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to forecast the performance and adoption of residential energy management technology (REMT). Design/methodology/approach – The paper integrates scenarios, analogy and Bass diffusion model. Findings – Four different scenarios were identified. Bass curve parameters were extracted through many different existing devices, and then fit into each scenario subjectively to produce four different kinds of diffusion curves. Originality/value – The approach and the model provide decision and policy makers to evaluate how they should position new energy management innovations based on the desired type of diffusion. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png foresight Emerald Publishing

Technology forecasting for residential energy management devices

Tugrul U. Daim; Ibrahim Iskin; Daniel Ho
foresight , Volume 13 (6): 18 – Oct 18, 2011
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18 pages

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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © 2011 Emerald Group Publishing Limited. All rights reserved.
ISSN
1463-6689
DOI
10.1108/14636681111179609
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to forecast the performance and adoption of residential energy management technology (REMT). Design/methodology/approach – The paper integrates scenarios, analogy and Bass diffusion model. Findings – Four different scenarios were identified. Bass curve parameters were extracted through many different existing devices, and then fit into each scenario subjectively to produce four different kinds of diffusion curves. Originality/value – The approach and the model provide decision and policy makers to evaluate how they should position new energy management innovations based on the desired type of diffusion.

Journal

foresight – Emerald Publishing

Published: Oct 18, 2011

Keywords: Energy management; Bass curve; Analogy; Scenarios; Energy technology

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