Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Start a 14-Day Trial for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

Reply to “Predicting the size of the epidemic of the new variant of Creutzfeldt‐Jakob disease” by Neil Ferguson, Christl A. Donnelly, Azra C. Ghani and Roy M. Anderson

Reply to “Predicting the size of the epidemic of the new variant of Creutzfeldt‐Jakob disease” by... The authors welcome the debate hosted by the British Food Journal on the likely size of the outbreak of New Variant CJD, if it is caused by eating BSE-contaminated beef. We are pleased that there is a substantial measure of agreement between our estimates and those of Ferguson et al., for the most likely number of deaths, even if there is disagreement on the upper bound. We note that our low predictions for vCJD deaths based on vCJD data to the end of 1997 continue to be borne out by figures available at the time of writing, one year later. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png British Food Journal Emerald Publishing

Reply to “Predicting the size of the epidemic of the new variant of Creutzfeldt‐Jakob disease” by Neil Ferguson, Christl A. Donnelly, Azra C. Ghani and Roy M. Anderson

British Food Journal , Volume 101 (4): 6 – May 1, 1999

Loading next page...
 
/lp/emerald-publishing/reply-to-predicting-the-size-of-the-epidemic-of-the-new-variant-of-RfEV0oC5Xk

References (5)

Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © 1999 MCB UP Ltd. All rights reserved.
ISSN
0007-070X
DOI
10.1108/00070709910272150
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The authors welcome the debate hosted by the British Food Journal on the likely size of the outbreak of New Variant CJD, if it is caused by eating BSE-contaminated beef. We are pleased that there is a substantial measure of agreement between our estimates and those of Ferguson et al., for the most likely number of deaths, even if there is disagreement on the upper bound. We note that our low predictions for vCJD deaths based on vCJD data to the end of 1997 continue to be borne out by figures available at the time of writing, one year later.

Journal

British Food JournalEmerald Publishing

Published: May 1, 1999

Keywords: Health; Meat

There are no references for this article.