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How will the recession affect crime rates in Greater Manchester?

How will the recession affect crime rates in Greater Manchester? Purpose – This paper aims to explore what impact the recent economic recession and ongoing economic difficulties experienced in the UK might have on crime in Greater Manchester. Design/methodology/approach – In this paper, we summarise existing literature on the relationship between crime trends and economic trends. Then, drawing on data on crime, the economy and other relevant socio‐demographic trends in Greater Manchester some broad conclusions are drawn about likely crime trends in Greater Manchester over the coming years. Findings – The paper concludes that recent reductions in crime might not be sustained, with crime rates in Manchester City's most vulnerable council area levelling out or even rising. This is particularly likely of the rate of violent crime. Research limitations/implications – This work is part of an ongoing project based at Manchester Metropolitan University to predict future crime trends in Greater Manchester. Originality/value – This paper will be of value to police forces and local authorities, principally when conducting their strategic assessments. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Safer Communities Emerald Publishing

How will the recession affect crime rates in Greater Manchester?

Safer Communities , Volume 10 (3): 14 – Jul 15, 2011

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References (43)

Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © 2011 Emerald Group Publishing Limited. All rights reserved.
ISSN
1757-8043
DOI
10.1108/17578041111171050
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Purpose – This paper aims to explore what impact the recent economic recession and ongoing economic difficulties experienced in the UK might have on crime in Greater Manchester. Design/methodology/approach – In this paper, we summarise existing literature on the relationship between crime trends and economic trends. Then, drawing on data on crime, the economy and other relevant socio‐demographic trends in Greater Manchester some broad conclusions are drawn about likely crime trends in Greater Manchester over the coming years. Findings – The paper concludes that recent reductions in crime might not be sustained, with crime rates in Manchester City's most vulnerable council area levelling out or even rising. This is particularly likely of the rate of violent crime. Research limitations/implications – This work is part of an ongoing project based at Manchester Metropolitan University to predict future crime trends in Greater Manchester. Originality/value – This paper will be of value to police forces and local authorities, principally when conducting their strategic assessments.

Journal

Safer CommunitiesEmerald Publishing

Published: Jul 15, 2011

Keywords: Crimes; Forecast; Economy; Greater Manchester; Recession; United Kingdom

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