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How to be rigorous with scenario planning

How to be rigorous with scenario planning In a recent issue of Futuribles, authors from the European Commission's Forward Studies Unit outlined five scenarios for Europe 2010. The scenarios were constructed using the so-called "shaping actors, shaping factors" method, claimed by the authors as specific to their unit. In this article, Michel Godet reacts to that claim and makes two fundamental criticisms of their methodology. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png foresight Emerald Publishing

How to be rigorous with scenario planning

Michel Godet
foresight , Volume 2 (1): 5 – Feb 1, 2000
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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © 2000 MCB UP Ltd. All rights reserved.
ISSN
1463-6689
DOI
10.1108/14636680010802438
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

In a recent issue of Futuribles, authors from the European Commission's Forward Studies Unit outlined five scenarios for Europe 2010. The scenarios were constructed using the so-called "shaping actors, shaping factors" method, claimed by the authors as specific to their unit. In this article, Michel Godet reacts to that claim and makes two fundamental criticisms of their methodology.

Journal

foresight – Emerald Publishing

Published: Feb 1, 2000

Keywords: Methodology; European Commission

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