Logistic regression techniques for panel data are used to identify factors affecting farm credit transition probabilities. Results indicate that most farmspecific factors do not have adequate explanatory influence on the probability of farm credit risk transition. Class upgrade probabilities are more significantly affected by changes in certain macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth signals from changes in stock price indexes and farm real estate values and larger money supply that relax the credit constraint. Increases in interest rates, on the other hand, negatively affect such probabilities.
Agricultural Finance Review – Emerald Publishing
Published: Nov 1, 2004
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