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Farmlevel and macroeconomic determinants of farm credit risk migration rates

Farmlevel and macroeconomic determinants of farm credit risk migration rates Logistic regression techniques for panel data are used to identify factors affecting farm credit transition probabilities. Results indicate that most farmspecific factors do not have adequate explanatory influence on the probability of farm credit risk transition. Class upgrade probabilities are more significantly affected by changes in certain macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth signals from changes in stock price indexes and farm real estate values and larger money supply that relax the credit constraint. Increases in interest rates, on the other hand, negatively affect such probabilities. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Agricultural Finance Review Emerald Publishing

Farmlevel and macroeconomic determinants of farm credit risk migration rates

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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
Copyright © Emerald Group Publishing Limited
ISSN
0002-1466
DOI
10.1108/00214660480001159
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Logistic regression techniques for panel data are used to identify factors affecting farm credit transition probabilities. Results indicate that most farmspecific factors do not have adequate explanatory influence on the probability of farm credit risk transition. Class upgrade probabilities are more significantly affected by changes in certain macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth signals from changes in stock price indexes and farm real estate values and larger money supply that relax the credit constraint. Increases in interest rates, on the other hand, negatively affect such probabilities.

Journal

Agricultural Finance ReviewEmerald Publishing

Published: Nov 1, 2004

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