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Effect of volatility of development aid on volatility of foreign direct investment inflows

Effect of volatility of development aid on volatility of foreign direct investment inflows This paper aims to examine the effect of development aid volatility on foreign direct investment (FDI) volatility in aid recipient countries.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical analysis has relied on a sample of 117 countries over the period 1981–2016 and used the two-step system generalized methods of moments (GMM) approach.FindingsThe findings indicate that development aid volatility exerts a positive and significant effect on FDI volatility, with the magnitude of this positive effect rising as countries’ real per capita income increases. Furthermore, development aid volatility is non-linearly related to FDI volatility, as additional rises in the degree of development aid volatility further amplify FDI volatility.Research limitations/implicationsThese outcomes highlight that volatility of development aid inflows enhances the volatility of FDI inflows. Thus, the enhancement of the aid coordination system between donor-countries and recipient-countries would not only help mitigate the volatility of aid – which reduces the macroeconomic effectiveness of aid – but also stabilizes FDI inflows to developing countries.Practical implicationsA limitation of the present paper is its reliance on aggregate FDI inflows to perform the analysis. Availability of data on greenfield FDI inflows and cross-border mergers and acquisitions FDI inflows over a long-time-period would provide an opportunity to conduct an in-depth analysis of the volatility of development aid on FDI inflows volatility. Furthermore, it could be interesting to investigate in the future (if data is available) the extent to which aid coordination systems between donor-countries and recipient-countries versus recipient-countries’ domestic factors contribute to explaining the dynamics of FDI inflows volatility in recipient-countries of these two types of capital flows.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this topic has not been addressed in the literature. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Review of International Business and Strategy Emerald Publishing

Effect of volatility of development aid on volatility of foreign direct investment inflows

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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
© Emerald Publishing Limited
ISSN
2059-6014
DOI
10.1108/ribs-04-2020-0051
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This paper aims to examine the effect of development aid volatility on foreign direct investment (FDI) volatility in aid recipient countries.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical analysis has relied on a sample of 117 countries over the period 1981–2016 and used the two-step system generalized methods of moments (GMM) approach.FindingsThe findings indicate that development aid volatility exerts a positive and significant effect on FDI volatility, with the magnitude of this positive effect rising as countries’ real per capita income increases. Furthermore, development aid volatility is non-linearly related to FDI volatility, as additional rises in the degree of development aid volatility further amplify FDI volatility.Research limitations/implicationsThese outcomes highlight that volatility of development aid inflows enhances the volatility of FDI inflows. Thus, the enhancement of the aid coordination system between donor-countries and recipient-countries would not only help mitigate the volatility of aid – which reduces the macroeconomic effectiveness of aid – but also stabilizes FDI inflows to developing countries.Practical implicationsA limitation of the present paper is its reliance on aggregate FDI inflows to perform the analysis. Availability of data on greenfield FDI inflows and cross-border mergers and acquisitions FDI inflows over a long-time-period would provide an opportunity to conduct an in-depth analysis of the volatility of development aid on FDI inflows volatility. Furthermore, it could be interesting to investigate in the future (if data is available) the extent to which aid coordination systems between donor-countries and recipient-countries versus recipient-countries’ domestic factors contribute to explaining the dynamics of FDI inflows volatility in recipient-countries of these two types of capital flows.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this topic has not been addressed in the literature.

Journal

Review of International Business and StrategyEmerald Publishing

Published: May 17, 2021

Keywords: Aid recipient countries; Development aid volatility; FDI volatility

References