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A. Kayal (1999)
Measuring the Pace of Technological ProgressTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 60
S. Jordan (2004)
Engineering and Technology Management and the Development of the Hydrogen Fuel Cell
Keyur Shah, R. Besser (2007)
Key issues in the microchemical systems-based methanol fuel processor : Energy density, thermal integration, and heat loss mechanismsJournal of Power Sources, 166
G. Collantes (2007)
Incorporating stakeholders' perspectives into models of new technology diffusion: The case of fuel-cell vehicles
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Further Examination of Moore's Law with Data Envelopment AnalysisTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 69
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Predicting U.S. jet fighter aircraft introductions from 1944 to 1982: A dogfight between regression and TFDEA☆Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73
C. Haynes (2001)
Clarifying reversible efficiency misconceptions of high temperature fuel cells in relation to reversible heat enginesJournal of Power Sources, 92
A. Kayal
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J. Irvine (2004)
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R. Watts, A. Porter (1997)
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Wenming Yang, S. Chou, C. Shu (2007)
Effect of current-collector structure on performance of passive micro direct methanol fuel cellJournal of Power Sources, 164
U. Bessel, B. Eliason
Energy and the Hydrogen Economy
F. Bass
Diffusion Theory in Marketing: A Historical Perspective
Harold Linstone (1999)
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Stephen Jordan (2007)
Technology Forecasting with Science Indicators: The Case of Laptop Battery FuturesPICMET '07 - 2007 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering & Technology
M. Bengisu, R. Nekhili (2006)
Forecasting emerging technologies with the aid of science and technology databasesTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 73
Purpose – This paper aims to forecast technological change for laptop batteries. The most promising technology to replace laptop batteries emerging today is micro fuel cells. Design/methodology/approach – The authors use several sources of technical data like the Department of Energy Sandia National Laboratory Technical Library for exploring this topic further. Patents were searched for fuel cell and lithium battery development and to perform a technology cycle time analysis, identify countries filing patents, and discover what areas they are working on development. Findings – Based on the analysis, fuel cells promise to be the technology that will replace laptop lithium batteries. Originality/value – This paper attempts to draw a framework bringing different scientific data sources together for technology forecasting.
foresight – Emerald Publishing
Published: May 30, 2008
Keywords: Energy management; Forecasting; Technology led strategy
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